Handicap analysis

Ascent Esports Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 250 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5.

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Total Matches

250

Total Wins

114

Total Losses

136

Overall Handicap Summary

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %	Matches Covered
-16.5	33.33%	0%	15.2%	38
-14.5	42.98%	0%	19.6%	49
-12.5	55.26%	0%	25.2%	63
-10.5	64.91%	0%	29.6%	74
-8.5	71.05%	0%	32.4%	81
-6.5	76.32%	1.47%	35.6%	89
-4.5	78.95%	2.21%	37.2%	93
-2.5	81.58%	2.94%	38.8%	97
-0.5	82.46%	5.15%	40.4%	101
0.5	92.98%	21.32%	54%	135
2.5	97.37%	28.68%	60%	150
4.5	98.25%	31.62%	62%	155
6.5	100%	36.76%	65.6%	164
8.5	100%	41.18%	68%	170
10.5	100%	47.79%	71.6%	179
12.5	100%	54.41%	75.2%	188
14.5	100%	61.03%	78.8%	197
16.5	100%	66.91%	82%	205

Handicap Analysis by League

The International 2016

42 matches • 27 wins • 15 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	14.81%	0%	9.52%
-14.5	29.63%	0%	19.05%
-12.5	44.44%	0%	28.57%
-10.5	51.85%	0%	33.33%
-8.5	62.96%	0%	40.48%
-6.5	74.07%	0%	47.62%
-4.5	81.48%	0%	52.38%
-2.5	81.48%	0%	52.38%
-0.5	81.48%	6.67%	54.76%
0.5	81.48%	6.67%	54.76%
2.5	88.89%	6.67%	59.52%
4.5	92.59%	13.33%	64.29%
6.5	100%	26.67%	73.81%
8.5	100%	33.33%	76.19%
10.5	100%	40%	78.57%
12.5	100%	46.67%	80.95%
14.5	100%	60%	85.71%
16.5	100%	66.67%	88.1%

The International 2021

32 matches • 16 wins • 16 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	43.75%	0%	21.88%
-14.5	50%	0%	25%
-12.5	68.75%	0%	34.38%
-10.5	87.5%	0%	43.75%
-8.5	87.5%	0%	43.75%
-6.5	93.75%	0%	46.88%
-4.5	93.75%	0%	46.88%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	6.25%	53.13%
0.5	100%	6.25%	53.13%
2.5	100%	12.5%	56.25%
4.5	100%	25%	62.5%
6.5	100%	43.75%	71.88%
8.5	100%	50%	75%
10.5	100%	62.5%	81.25%
12.5	100%	68.75%	84.38%
14.5	100%	68.75%	84.38%
16.5	100%	81.25%	90.63%

The International 2018

28 matches • 15 wins • 13 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	53.33%	0%	28.57%
-14.5	60%	0%	32.14%
-12.5	80%	0%	42.86%
-10.5	93.33%	0%	50%
-8.5	93.33%	0%	50%
-6.5	100%	7.69%	57.14%
-4.5	100%	7.69%	57.14%
-2.5	100%	7.69%	57.14%
-0.5	100%	15.38%	60.71%
0.5	100%	23.08%	64.29%
2.5	100%	30.77%	67.86%
4.5	100%	30.77%	67.86%
6.5	100%	38.46%	71.43%
8.5	100%	46.15%	75%
10.5	100%	53.85%	78.57%
12.5	100%	61.54%	82.14%
14.5	100%	61.54%	82.14%
16.5	100%	61.54%	82.14%

The International 2017

28 matches • 12 wins • 16 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	14.29%
-14.5	41.67%	0%	17.86%
-12.5	58.33%	0%	25%
-10.5	66.67%	0%	28.57%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	35.71%
-6.5	83.33%	0%	35.71%
-4.5	83.33%	0%	35.71%
-2.5	100%	0%	42.86%
-0.5	100%	0%	42.86%
0.5	100%	0%	42.86%
2.5	100%	0%	42.86%
4.5	100%	0%	42.86%
6.5	100%	0%	42.86%
8.5	100%	0%	42.86%
10.5	100%	12.5%	50%
12.5	100%	25%	57.14%
14.5	100%	37.5%	64.29%
16.5	100%	43.75%	67.86%

DPC 2023 SEA Spring Tour Division II - presented by Epulze

20 matches • 9 wins • 11 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	44.44%	0%	20%
-14.5	77.78%	0%	35%
-12.5	88.89%	0%	40%
-10.5	100%	0%	45%
-8.5	100%	0%	45%
-6.5	100%	0%	45%
-4.5	100%	0%	45%
-2.5	100%	0%	45%
-0.5	100%	0%	45%
0.5	100%	0%	45%
2.5	100%	0%	45%
4.5	100%	0%	45%
6.5	100%	9.09%	50%
8.5	100%	9.09%	50%
10.5	100%	18.18%	55%
12.5	100%	36.36%	65%
14.5	100%	45.45%	70%
16.5	100%	45.45%	70%

DPC 2023 SEA Winter Tour Division I - presented by Epulze

19 matches • 6 wins • 13 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	66.67%	0%	21.05%
-14.5	66.67%	0%	21.05%
-12.5	66.67%	0%	21.05%
-10.5	66.67%	0%	21.05%
-8.5	66.67%	0%	21.05%
-6.5	66.67%	7.69%	26.32%
-4.5	66.67%	7.69%	26.32%
-2.5	66.67%	7.69%	26.32%
-0.5	66.67%	7.69%	26.32%
0.5	66.67%	15.38%	31.58%
2.5	100%	38.46%	57.89%
4.5	100%	38.46%	57.89%
6.5	100%	38.46%	57.89%
8.5	100%	53.85%	68.42%
10.5	100%	53.85%	68.42%
12.5	100%	61.54%	73.68%
14.5	100%	84.62%	89.47%
16.5	100%	84.62%	89.47%

The International 2022

19 matches • 9 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	66.67%	0%	31.58%
-14.5	66.67%	0%	31.58%
-12.5	66.67%	0%	31.58%
-10.5	77.78%	0%	36.84%
-8.5	77.78%	0%	36.84%
-6.5	77.78%	0%	36.84%
-4.5	77.78%	0%	36.84%
-2.5	77.78%	0%	36.84%
-0.5	88.89%	0%	42.11%
0.5	100%	0%	47.37%
2.5	100%	10%	52.63%
4.5	100%	10%	52.63%
6.5	100%	10%	52.63%
8.5	100%	20%	57.89%
10.5	100%	30%	63.16%
12.5	100%	30%	63.16%
14.5	100%	40%	68.42%
16.5	100%	60%	78.95%

The International 2019

17 matches • 7 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	14.29%	0%	5.88%
-14.5	28.57%	0%	11.76%
-12.5	42.86%	0%	17.65%
-10.5	57.14%	0%	23.53%
-8.5	71.43%	0%	29.41%
-6.5	85.71%	0%	35.29%
-4.5	85.71%	0%	35.29%
-2.5	85.71%	10%	41.18%
-0.5	85.71%	10%	41.18%
0.5	100%	10%	47.06%
2.5	100%	40%	64.71%
4.5	100%	50%	70.59%
6.5	100%	50%	70.59%
8.5	100%	50%	70.59%
10.5	100%	60%	76.47%
12.5	100%	70%	82.35%
14.5	100%	70%	82.35%
16.5	100%	80%	88.24%

DPC 2023 SEA Summer Tour Division II - presented by Epulze

15 matches • 3 wins • 12 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	0%	0%	0%
-10.5	0%	0%	0%
-8.5	33.33%	0%	6.67%
-6.5	33.33%	0%	6.67%
-4.5	66.67%	8.33%	20%
-2.5	66.67%	8.33%	20%
-0.5	66.67%	8.33%	20%
0.5	66.67%	8.33%	20%
2.5	100%	16.67%	33.33%
4.5	100%	16.67%	33.33%
6.5	100%	16.67%	33.33%
8.5	100%	16.67%	33.33%
10.5	100%	16.67%	33.33%
12.5	100%	16.67%	33.33%
14.5	100%	16.67%	33.33%
16.5	100%	25%	40%

The International 2015

15 matches • 4 wins • 11 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	0%	0%	0%
-10.5	0%	0%	0%
-8.5	0%	0%	0%
-6.5	0%	0%	0%
-4.5	0%	0%	0%
-2.5	0%	0%	0%
-0.5	0%	0%	0%
0.5	100%	100%	100%
2.5	100%	100%	100%
4.5	100%	100%	100%
6.5	100%	100%	100%
8.5	100%	100%	100%
10.5	100%	100%	100%
12.5	100%	100%	100%
14.5	100%	100%	100%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

The International 2014

15 matches • 6 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	0%	0%	0%
-10.5	0%	0%	0%
-8.5	0%	0%	0%
-6.5	0%	0%	0%
-4.5	0%	0%	0%
-2.5	0%	0%	0%
-0.5	0%	0%	0%
0.5	100%	100%	100%
2.5	100%	100%	100%
4.5	100%	100%	100%
6.5	100%	100%	100%
8.5	100%	100%	100%
10.5	100%	100%	100%
12.5	100%	100%	100%
14.5	100%	100%	100%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.32

50 matches • 20 wins • 30 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	60%	0%	24%
-14.5	65%	0%	26%
-12.5	70%	0%	28%
-10.5	80%	0%	32%
-8.5	80%	0%	32%
-6.5	80%	3.33%	34%
-4.5	80%	3.33%	34%
-2.5	80%	3.33%	34%
-0.5	85%	3.33%	36%
0.5	90%	6.67%	40%
2.5	100%	20%	52%
4.5	100%	20%	52%
6.5	100%	23.33%	54%
8.5	100%	33.33%	60%
10.5	100%	40%	64%
12.5	100%	50%	70%
14.5	100%	66.67%	80%
16.5	100%	73.33%	84%

Patch 6.88

42 matches • 27 wins • 15 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	14.81%	0%	9.52%
-14.5	29.63%	0%	19.05%
-12.5	44.44%	0%	28.57%
-10.5	51.85%	0%	33.33%
-8.5	62.96%	0%	40.48%
-6.5	74.07%	0%	47.62%
-4.5	81.48%	0%	52.38%
-2.5	81.48%	0%	52.38%
-0.5	81.48%	6.67%	54.76%
0.5	81.48%	6.67%	54.76%
2.5	88.89%	6.67%	59.52%
4.5	92.59%	13.33%	64.29%
6.5	100%	26.67%	73.81%
8.5	100%	33.33%	76.19%
10.5	100%	40%	78.57%
12.5	100%	46.67%	80.95%
14.5	100%	60%	85.71%
16.5	100%	66.67%	88.1%

Patch 7.06

28 matches • 12 wins • 16 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	14.29%
-14.5	41.67%	0%	17.86%
-12.5	58.33%	0%	25%
-10.5	66.67%	0%	28.57%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	35.71%
-6.5	83.33%	0%	35.71%
-4.5	83.33%	0%	35.71%
-2.5	100%	0%	42.86%
-0.5	100%	0%	42.86%
0.5	100%	0%	42.86%
2.5	100%	0%	42.86%
4.5	100%	0%	42.86%
6.5	100%	0%	42.86%
8.5	100%	0%	42.86%
10.5	100%	12.5%	50%
12.5	100%	25%	57.14%
14.5	100%	37.5%	64.29%
16.5	100%	43.75%	67.86%

Patch 7.33

23 matches • 7 wins • 16 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	28.57%	0%	8.7%
-14.5	57.14%	0%	17.39%
-12.5	57.14%	0%	17.39%
-10.5	57.14%	0%	17.39%
-8.5	71.43%	0%	21.74%
-6.5	71.43%	0%	21.74%
-4.5	85.71%	6.25%	30.43%
-2.5	85.71%	6.25%	30.43%
-0.5	85.71%	6.25%	30.43%
0.5	85.71%	6.25%	30.43%
2.5	100%	12.5%	39.13%
4.5	100%	12.5%	39.13%
6.5	100%	12.5%	39.13%
8.5	100%	12.5%	39.13%
10.5	100%	12.5%	39.13%
12.5	100%	12.5%	39.13%
14.5	100%	12.5%	39.13%
16.5	100%	18.75%	43.48%

Patch 7.30

19 matches • 7 wins • 12 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	57.14%	0%	21.05%
-14.5	71.43%	0%	26.32%
-12.5	85.71%	0%	31.58%
-10.5	100%	0%	36.84%
-8.5	100%	0%	36.84%
-6.5	100%	0%	36.84%
-4.5	100%	0%	36.84%
-2.5	100%	0%	36.84%
-0.5	100%	0%	36.84%
0.5	100%	0%	36.84%
2.5	100%	8.33%	42.11%
4.5	100%	25%	52.63%
6.5	100%	41.67%	63.16%
8.5	100%	50%	68.42%
10.5	100%	58.33%	73.68%
12.5	100%	66.67%	78.95%
14.5	100%	66.67%	78.95%
16.5	100%	83.33%	89.47%

Patch 7.22

17 matches • 7 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	14.29%	0%	5.88%
-14.5	28.57%	0%	11.76%
-12.5	42.86%	0%	17.65%
-10.5	57.14%	0%	23.53%
-8.5	71.43%	0%	29.41%
-6.5	85.71%	0%	35.29%
-4.5	85.71%	0%	35.29%
-2.5	85.71%	10%	41.18%
-0.5	85.71%	10%	41.18%
0.5	100%	10%	47.06%
2.5	100%	40%	64.71%
4.5	100%	50%	70.59%
6.5	100%	50%	70.59%
8.5	100%	50%	70.59%
10.5	100%	60%	76.47%
12.5	100%	70%	82.35%
14.5	100%	70%	82.35%
16.5	100%	80%	88.24%

Patch 7.19

17 matches • 7 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	57.14%	0%	23.53%
-14.5	57.14%	0%	23.53%
-12.5	71.43%	0%	29.41%
-10.5	100%	0%	41.18%
-8.5	100%	0%	41.18%
-6.5	100%	10%	47.06%
-4.5	100%	10%	47.06%
-2.5	100%	10%	47.06%
-0.5	100%	10%	47.06%
0.5	100%	20%	52.94%
2.5	100%	30%	58.82%
4.5	100%	30%	58.82%
6.5	100%	40%	64.71%
8.5	100%	50%	70.59%
10.5	100%	50%	70.59%
12.5	100%	60%	76.47%
14.5	100%	60%	76.47%
16.5	100%	60%	76.47%

Patch 6.84

15 matches • 4 wins • 11 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	0%	0%	0%
-10.5	0%	0%	0%
-8.5	0%	0%	0%
-6.5	0%	0%	0%
-4.5	0%	0%	0%
-2.5	0%	0%	0%
-0.5	0%	0%	0%
0.5	100%	100%	100%
2.5	100%	100%	100%
4.5	100%	100%	100%
6.5	100%	100%	100%
8.5	100%	100%	100%
10.5	100%	100%	100%
12.5	100%	100%	100%
14.5	100%	100%	100%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

Patch 6.81

15 matches • 6 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	0%	0%	0%
-10.5	0%	0%	0%
-8.5	0%	0%	0%
-6.5	0%	0%	0%
-4.5	0%	0%	0%
-2.5	0%	0%	0%
-0.5	0%	0%	0%
0.5	100%	100%	100%
2.5	100%	100%	100%
4.5	100%	100%	100%
6.5	100%	100%	100%
8.5	100%	100%	100%
10.5	100%	100%	100%
12.5	100%	100%	100%
14.5	100%	100%	100%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

Patch 7.29

13 matches • 9 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	23.08%
-14.5	33.33%	0%	23.08%
-12.5	55.56%	0%	38.46%
-10.5	77.78%	0%	53.85%
-8.5	77.78%	0%	53.85%
-6.5	88.89%	0%	61.54%
-4.5	88.89%	0%	61.54%
-2.5	100%	0%	69.23%
-0.5	100%	25%	76.92%
0.5	100%	25%	76.92%
2.5	100%	25%	76.92%
4.5	100%	25%	76.92%
6.5	100%	50%	84.62%
8.5	100%	50%	84.62%
10.5	100%	75%	92.31%
12.5	100%	75%	92.31%
14.5	100%	75%	92.31%
16.5	100%	75%	92.31%

Patch 7.17

7 matches • 4 wins • 3 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	28.57%
-14.5	50%	0%	28.57%
-12.5	75%	0%	42.86%
-10.5	75%	0%	42.86%
-8.5	75%	0%	42.86%
-6.5	100%	0%	57.14%
-4.5	100%	0%	57.14%
-2.5	100%	0%	57.14%
-0.5	100%	33.33%	71.43%
0.5	100%	33.33%	71.43%
2.5	100%	33.33%	71.43%
4.5	100%	33.33%	71.43%
6.5	100%	33.33%	71.43%
8.5	100%	33.33%	71.43%
10.5	100%	66.67%	85.71%
12.5	100%	66.67%	85.71%
14.5	100%	66.67%	85.71%
16.5	100%	66.67%	85.71%

Patch 7.18

4 matches • 4 wins • 0 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	50%
-14.5	75%	0%	75%
-12.5	100%	0%	100%
-10.5	100%	0%	100%
-8.5	100%	0%	100%
-6.5	100%	0%	100%
-4.5	100%	0%	100%
-2.5	100%	0%	100%
-0.5	100%	0%	100%
0.5	100%	0%	100%
2.5	100%	0%	100%
4.5	100%	0%	100%
6.5	100%	0%	100%
8.5	100%	0%	100%
10.5	100%	0%	100%
12.5	100%	0%	100%
14.5	100%	0%	100%
16.5	100%	0%	100%