Wildcard - Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 74 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Handicap Analysis by League

The International 2025

13 matches (4 wins, 9 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 100% 0% 30.77%
-14.5 100% 0% 30.77%
-12.5 100% 0% 30.77%
-10.5 100% 0% 30.77%
-8.5 100% 0% 30.77%
-6.5 100% 0% 30.77%
-4.5 100% 11.11% 38.46%
-2.5 100% 11.11% 38.46%
-0.5 100% 11.11% 38.46%
0.5 100% 11.11% 38.46%
2.5 100% 11.11% 38.46%
4.5 100% 11.11% 38.46%
6.5 100% 22.22% 46.15%
8.5 100% 22.22% 46.15%
10.5 100% 22.22% 46.15%
12.5 100% 33.33% 53.85%
14.5 100% 33.33% 53.85%
16.5 100% 55.56% 69.23%

FISSURE Universe Episode 6

12 matches (6 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 25%
-14.5 66.67% 0% 33.33%
-12.5 66.67% 0% 33.33%
-10.5 66.67% 0% 33.33%
-8.5 83.33% 0% 41.67%
-6.5 83.33% 0% 41.67%
-4.5 83.33% 0% 41.67%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 16.67% 58.33%
6.5 100% 16.67% 58.33%
8.5 100% 33.33% 66.67%
10.5 100% 33.33% 66.67%
12.5 100% 50% 75%
14.5 100% 66.67% 83.33%
16.5 100% 66.67% 83.33%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

13 matches (6 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 15.38%
-14.5 50% 0% 23.08%
-12.5 50% 0% 23.08%
-10.5 50% 0% 23.08%
-8.5 66.67% 0% 30.77%
-6.5 83.33% 0% 38.46%
-4.5 83.33% 0% 38.46%
-2.5 83.33% 0% 38.46%
-0.5 100% 0% 46.15%
0.5 100% 0% 46.15%
2.5 100% 14.29% 53.85%
4.5 100% 14.29% 53.85%
6.5 100% 14.29% 53.85%
8.5 100% 14.29% 53.85%
10.5 100% 14.29% 53.85%
12.5 100% 28.57% 61.54%
14.5 100% 42.86% 69.23%
16.5 100% 42.86% 69.23%

FISSURE Universe Episode 5

12 matches (5 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 60% 0% 25%
-14.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-12.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-10.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-8.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-6.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-2.5 100% 0% 41.67%
-0.5 100% 0% 41.67%
0.5 100% 0% 41.67%
2.5 100% 14.29% 50%
4.5 100% 14.29% 50%
6.5 100% 14.29% 50%
8.5 100% 14.29% 50%
10.5 100% 28.57% 58.33%
12.5 100% 42.86% 66.67%
14.5 100% 42.86% 66.67%
16.5 100% 57.14% 75%

FISSURE Universe Episode 4

9 matches (3 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 66.67% 0% 22.22%
-14.5 66.67% 0% 22.22%
-12.5 66.67% 0% 22.22%
-10.5 66.67% 0% 22.22%
-8.5 66.67% 0% 22.22%
-6.5 66.67% 0% 22.22%
-4.5 66.67% 0% 22.22%
-2.5 66.67% 0% 22.22%
-0.5 100% 0% 33.33%
0.5 100% 0% 33.33%
2.5 100% 0% 33.33%
4.5 100% 0% 33.33%
6.5 100% 0% 33.33%
8.5 100% 33.33% 55.56%
10.5 100% 33.33% 55.56%
12.5 100% 33.33% 55.56%
14.5 100% 50% 66.67%
16.5 100% 66.67% 77.78%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

10 matches (3 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 66.67% 0% 20%
-14.5 100% 0% 30%
-12.5 100% 0% 30%
-10.5 100% 0% 30%
-8.5 100% 0% 30%
-6.5 100% 0% 30%
-4.5 100% 0% 30%
-2.5 100% 0% 30%
-0.5 100% 14.29% 40%
0.5 100% 14.29% 40%
2.5 100% 14.29% 40%
4.5 100% 14.29% 40%
6.5 100% 28.57% 50%
8.5 100% 42.86% 60%
10.5 100% 42.86% 60%
12.5 100% 42.86% 60%
14.5 100% 42.86% 60%
16.5 100% 42.86% 60%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota

5 matches (1 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 100% 0% 20%
-14.5 100% 0% 20%
-12.5 100% 0% 20%
-10.5 100% 0% 20%
-8.5 100% 0% 20%
-6.5 100% 0% 20%
-4.5 100% 0% 20%
-2.5 100% 0% 20%
-0.5 100% 0% 20%
0.5 100% 0% 20%
2.5 100% 0% 20%
4.5 100% 0% 20%
6.5 100% 0% 20%
8.5 100% 0% 20%
10.5 100% 0% 20%
12.5 100% 0% 20%
14.5 100% 0% 20%
16.5 100% 0% 20%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.39

38 matches (16 wins, 22 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 56.25% 0% 23.68%
-14.5 68.75% 0% 28.95%
-12.5 68.75% 0% 28.95%
-10.5 68.75% 0% 28.95%
-8.5 81.25% 0% 34.21%
-6.5 87.5% 0% 36.84%
-4.5 87.5% 4.55% 39.47%
-2.5 93.75% 4.55% 42.11%
-0.5 100% 4.55% 44.74%
0.5 100% 4.55% 44.74%
2.5 100% 9.09% 47.37%
4.5 100% 13.64% 50%
6.5 100% 18.18% 52.63%
8.5 100% 22.73% 55.26%
10.5 100% 22.73% 55.26%
12.5 100% 36.36% 63.16%
14.5 100% 45.45% 68.42%
16.5 100% 54.55% 73.68%

Patch 7.38

31 matches (11 wins, 20 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 63.64% 0% 22.58%
-14.5 81.82% 0% 29.03%
-12.5 81.82% 0% 29.03%
-10.5 81.82% 0% 29.03%
-8.5 81.82% 0% 29.03%
-6.5 81.82% 0% 29.03%
-4.5 81.82% 0% 29.03%
-2.5 90.91% 0% 32.26%
-0.5 100% 5% 38.71%
0.5 100% 5% 38.71%
2.5 100% 10% 41.94%
4.5 100% 10% 41.94%
6.5 100% 15% 45.16%
8.5 100% 30% 54.84%
10.5 100% 35% 58.06%
12.5 100% 40% 61.29%
14.5 100% 45% 64.52%
16.5 100% 55% 70.97%

Patch 7.37

5 matches (1 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 100% 0% 20%
-14.5 100% 0% 20%
-12.5 100% 0% 20%
-10.5 100% 0% 20%
-8.5 100% 0% 20%
-6.5 100% 0% 20%
-4.5 100% 0% 20%
-2.5 100% 0% 20%
-0.5 100% 0% 20%
0.5 100% 0% 20%
2.5 100% 0% 20%
4.5 100% 0% 20%
6.5 100% 0% 20%
8.5 100% 0% 20%
10.5 100% 0% 20%
12.5 100% 0% 20%
14.5 100% 0% 20%
16.5 100% 0% 20%

Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)

74
Total Matches
28
Total Wins
46
Total Losses
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total % Matches Covered
-16.5 60.71% 0%
22.97%
17
-14.5 75% 0%
28.38%
21
-12.5 75% 0%
28.38%
21
-10.5 75% 0%
28.38%
21
-8.5 82.14% 0%
31.08%
23
-6.5 85.71% 0%
32.43%
24
-4.5 85.71% 2.17%
33.78%
25
-2.5 92.86% 2.17%
36.49%
27
-0.5 100% 4.35%
40.54%
30
0.5 100% 4.35%
40.54%
30
2.5 100% 8.7%
43.24%
32
4.5 100% 10.87%
44.59%
33
6.5 100% 15.22%
47.3%
35
8.5 100% 23.91%
52.7%
39
10.5 100% 26.09%
54.05%
40
12.5 100% 34.78%
59.46%
44
14.5 100% 41.3%
63.51%
47
16.5 100% 50%
68.92%
51

Summary

74
Total Matches
7
Leagues Analyzed
3
Patches Analyzed