The Oversight - Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 68 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Handicap Analysis by League

DPC 2023 NA Spring Tour Division II – presented by PGL

16 matches (5 wins, 11 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 80% 0% 25%
-14.5 80% 0% 25%
-12.5 80% 0% 25%
-10.5 80% 0% 25%
-8.5 100% 0% 31.25%
-6.5 100% 0% 31.25%
-4.5 100% 0% 31.25%
-2.5 100% 0% 31.25%
-0.5 100% 9.09% 37.5%
0.5 100% 9.09% 37.5%
2.5 100% 9.09% 37.5%
4.5 100% 9.09% 37.5%
6.5 100% 18.18% 43.75%
8.5 100% 27.27% 50%
10.5 100% 45.45% 62.5%
12.5 100% 45.45% 62.5%
14.5 100% 63.64% 75%
16.5 100% 63.64% 75%

DPC 2023 NA Winter Tour Division I – presented by PGL

14 matches (2 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 50% 0% 7.14%
-12.5 50% 0% 7.14%
-10.5 50% 0% 7.14%
-8.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-6.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-4.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-2.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-0.5 100% 0% 14.29%
0.5 100% 0% 14.29%
2.5 100% 0% 14.29%
4.5 100% 0% 14.29%
6.5 100% 0% 14.29%
8.5 100% 0% 14.29%
10.5 100% 0% 14.29%
12.5 100% 8.33% 21.43%
14.5 100% 8.33% 21.43%
16.5 100% 16.67% 28.57%

The International 2022

19 matches (5 wins, 14 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 60% 0% 15.79%
-14.5 60% 0% 15.79%
-12.5 60% 0% 15.79%
-10.5 60% 0% 15.79%
-8.5 60% 7.14% 21.05%
-6.5 60% 7.14% 21.05%
-4.5 100% 14.29% 36.84%
-2.5 100% 21.43% 42.11%
-0.5 100% 21.43% 42.11%
0.5 100% 21.43% 42.11%
2.5 100% 28.57% 47.37%
4.5 100% 28.57% 47.37%
6.5 100% 28.57% 47.37%
8.5 100% 28.57% 47.37%
10.5 100% 35.71% 52.63%
12.5 100% 35.71% 52.63%
14.5 100% 57.14% 68.42%
16.5 100% 78.57% 84.21%

The International 2021

19 matches (7 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 28.57% 0% 10.53%
-14.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-12.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-10.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-8.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-6.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-4.5 57.14% 0% 21.05%
-2.5 71.43% 8.33% 31.58%
-0.5 71.43% 8.33% 31.58%
0.5 85.71% 8.33% 36.84%
2.5 85.71% 8.33% 36.84%
4.5 85.71% 8.33% 36.84%
6.5 100% 33.33% 57.89%
8.5 100% 41.67% 63.16%
10.5 100% 41.67% 63.16%
12.5 100% 50% 68.42%
14.5 100% 58.33% 73.68%
16.5 100% 66.67% 78.95%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.33

4 matches (2 wins, 2 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 100% 0% 50%
-14.5 100% 0% 50%
-12.5 100% 0% 50%
-10.5 100% 0% 50%
-8.5 100% 0% 50%
-6.5 100% 0% 50%
-4.5 100% 0% 50%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 50% 75%
0.5 100% 50% 75%
2.5 100% 50% 75%
4.5 100% 50% 75%
6.5 100% 50% 75%
8.5 100% 50% 75%
10.5 100% 50% 75%
12.5 100% 50% 75%
14.5 100% 100% 100%
16.5 100% 100% 100%

Patch 7.32

45 matches (10 wins, 35 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 11.11%
-14.5 60% 0% 13.33%
-12.5 60% 0% 13.33%
-10.5 60% 0% 13.33%
-8.5 80% 2.86% 20%
-6.5 80% 2.86% 20%
-4.5 100% 5.71% 26.67%
-2.5 100% 8.57% 28.89%
-0.5 100% 8.57% 28.89%
0.5 100% 8.57% 28.89%
2.5 100% 11.43% 31.11%
4.5 100% 11.43% 31.11%
6.5 100% 14.29% 33.33%
8.5 100% 17.14% 35.56%
10.5 100% 25.71% 42.22%
12.5 100% 28.57% 44.44%
14.5 100% 40% 53.33%
16.5 100% 51.43% 62.22%

Patch 7.30

19 matches (7 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 28.57% 0% 10.53%
-14.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-12.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-10.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-8.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-6.5 42.86% 0% 15.79%
-4.5 57.14% 0% 21.05%
-2.5 71.43% 8.33% 31.58%
-0.5 71.43% 8.33% 31.58%
0.5 85.71% 8.33% 36.84%
2.5 85.71% 8.33% 36.84%
4.5 85.71% 8.33% 36.84%
6.5 100% 33.33% 57.89%
8.5 100% 41.67% 63.16%
10.5 100% 41.67% 63.16%
12.5 100% 50% 68.42%
14.5 100% 58.33% 73.68%
16.5 100% 66.67% 78.95%

Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)

68
Total Matches
19
Total Wins
49
Total Losses
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total % Matches Covered
-16.5 47.37% 0%
13.24%
9
-14.5 57.89% 0%
16.18%
11
-12.5 57.89% 0%
16.18%
11
-10.5 57.89% 0%
16.18%
11
-8.5 68.42% 2.04%
20.59%
14
-6.5 68.42% 2.04%
20.59%
14
-4.5 84.21% 4.08%
26.47%
18
-2.5 89.47% 8.16%
30.88%
21
-0.5 89.47% 10.2%
32.35%
22
0.5 94.74% 10.2%
33.82%
23
2.5 94.74% 12.24%
35.29%
24
4.5 94.74% 12.24%
35.29%
24
6.5 100% 20.41%
42.65%
29
8.5 100% 24.49%
45.59%
31
10.5 100% 30.61%
50%
34
12.5 100% 34.69%
52.94%
36
14.5 100% 46.94%
61.76%
42
16.5 100% 57.14%
69.12%
47

Summary

68
Total Matches
4
Leagues Analyzed
3
Patches Analyzed