Team Tidebound - Handicap Analysis
Analyzing 139 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5
How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.
Handicap Analysis by League
The International 2025
16 matches
(8 wins,
8 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 37.5% | 0% | 18.75% |
| -14.5 | 37.5% | 0% | 18.75% |
| -12.5 | 75% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -10.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 43.75% |
| -8.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 43.75% |
| -6.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 43.75% |
| -4.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 43.75% |
| -2.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 43.75% |
| -0.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 43.75% |
| 0.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 56.25% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 56.25% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 25% | 62.5% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 68.75% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 68.75% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
FISSURE Universe Episode 6
8 matches
(3 wins,
5 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 12.5% |
| -14.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 25% |
| -12.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 25% |
| -10.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -8.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 20% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 20% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 40% | 62.5% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 40% | 62.5% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 60% | 75% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 80% | 87.5% |
Clavision DOTA2 Masters 2025: Snow-Ruyi
21 matches
(15 wins,
6 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 23.81% |
| -14.5 | 40% | 0% | 28.57% |
| -12.5 | 60% | 0% | 42.86% |
| -10.5 | 80% | 0% | 57.14% |
| -8.5 | 86.67% | 0% | 61.9% |
| -6.5 | 86.67% | 0% | 61.9% |
| -4.5 | 86.67% | 0% | 61.9% |
| -2.5 | 93.33% | 0% | 66.67% |
| -0.5 | 93.33% | 0% | 66.67% |
| 0.5 | 93.33% | 16.67% | 71.43% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 76.19% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 80.95% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 80.95% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 80.95% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 80.95% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 90.48% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 90.48% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 90.48% |
FISSURE Universe Episode 5
10 matches
(4 wins,
6 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| -14.5 | 75% | 0% | 30% |
| -12.5 | 75% | 0% | 30% |
| -10.5 | 75% | 0% | 30% |
| -8.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 50% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 60% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 50% | 70% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 50% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 80% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 80% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 80% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 80% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5
12 matches
(6 wins,
6 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -14.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -12.5 | 50% | 16.67% | 33.33% |
| -10.5 | 50% | 16.67% | 33.33% |
| -8.5 | 66.67% | 16.67% | 41.67% |
| -6.5 | 66.67% | 16.67% | 41.67% |
| -4.5 | 66.67% | 16.67% | 41.67% |
| -2.5 | 66.67% | 16.67% | 41.67% |
| -0.5 | 83.33% | 16.67% | 50% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 58.33% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
SLAM III
6 matches
(3 wins,
3 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -14.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -12.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -10.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -8.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 83.33% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4
21 matches
(11 wins,
10 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 36.36% | 0% | 19.05% |
| -14.5 | 45.45% | 0% | 23.81% |
| -12.5 | 45.45% | 0% | 23.81% |
| -10.5 | 45.45% | 0% | 23.81% |
| -8.5 | 63.64% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -6.5 | 63.64% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -4.5 | 63.64% | 10% | 38.1% |
| -2.5 | 81.82% | 10% | 47.62% |
| -0.5 | 90.91% | 10% | 52.38% |
| 0.5 | 90.91% | 10% | 52.38% |
| 2.5 | 90.91% | 10% | 52.38% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 10% | 57.14% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 20% | 61.9% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 20% | 61.9% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 40% | 71.43% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 50% | 76.19% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 50% | 76.19% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 50% | 76.19% |
ESL One Raleigh 2025
10 matches
(4 wins,
6 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 75% | 0% | 30% |
| -14.5 | 75% | 0% | 30% |
| -12.5 | 75% | 0% | 30% |
| -10.5 | 75% | 0% | 30% |
| -8.5 | 75% | 0% | 30% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 60% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 50% | 70% |
FISSURE Universe Episode 4
21 matches
(13 wins,
8 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 46.15% | 0% | 28.57% |
| -14.5 | 46.15% | 0% | 28.57% |
| -12.5 | 61.54% | 0% | 38.1% |
| -10.5 | 76.92% | 0% | 47.62% |
| -8.5 | 84.62% | 0% | 52.38% |
| -6.5 | 92.31% | 0% | 57.14% |
| -4.5 | 92.31% | 0% | 57.14% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 61.9% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 61.9% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 61.9% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 66.67% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 25% | 71.43% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 76.19% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 50% | 80.95% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 50% | 80.95% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 50% | 80.95% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 50% | 80.95% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 50% | 80.95% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3
14 matches
(8 wins,
6 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 50% | 0% | 28.57% |
| -14.5 | 62.5% | 0% | 35.71% |
| -12.5 | 62.5% | 0% | 35.71% |
| -10.5 | 75% | 0% | 42.86% |
| -8.5 | 75% | 0% | 42.86% |
| -6.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 50% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 57.14% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 57.14% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 57.14% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 57.14% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 57.14% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 64.29% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 64.29% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 64.29% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 64.29% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 71.43% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 71.43% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 66.67% | 85.71% |
Handicap Analysis by Patch
Patch 7.39
67 matches
(36 wins,
31 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 36.11% | 0% | 19.4% |
| -14.5 | 44.44% | 0% | 23.88% |
| -12.5 | 63.89% | 3.23% | 35.82% |
| -10.5 | 77.78% | 3.23% | 43.28% |
| -8.5 | 86.11% | 3.23% | 47.76% |
| -6.5 | 86.11% | 3.23% | 47.76% |
| -4.5 | 86.11% | 3.23% | 47.76% |
| -2.5 | 88.89% | 6.45% | 50.75% |
| -0.5 | 91.67% | 6.45% | 52.24% |
| 0.5 | 94.44% | 12.9% | 56.72% |
| 2.5 | 97.22% | 16.13% | 59.7% |
| 4.5 | 97.22% | 25.81% | 64.18% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 32.26% | 68.66% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 32.26% | 68.66% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 41.94% | 73.13% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 51.61% | 77.61% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 54.84% | 79.1% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 61.29% | 82.09% |
Patch 7.38
72 matches
(39 wins,
33 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 46.15% | 0% | 25% |
| -14.5 | 53.85% | 0% | 29.17% |
| -12.5 | 61.54% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -10.5 | 69.23% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -8.5 | 76.92% | 0% | 41.67% |
| -6.5 | 84.62% | 0% | 45.83% |
| -4.5 | 87.18% | 3.03% | 48.61% |
| -2.5 | 94.87% | 3.03% | 52.78% |
| -0.5 | 97.44% | 3.03% | 54.17% |
| 0.5 | 97.44% | 3.03% | 54.17% |
| 2.5 | 97.44% | 6.06% | 55.56% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 12.12% | 59.72% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 21.21% | 63.89% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 27.27% | 66.67% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 36.36% | 70.83% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 42.42% | 73.61% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 48.48% | 76.39% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 57.58% | 80.56% |
Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)
139
Total Matches
75
Total Wins
64
Total Losses
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % | Matches Covered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 41.33% | 0% |
22.3%
|
31 |
| -14.5 | 49.33% | 0% |
26.62%
|
37 |
| -12.5 | 62.67% | 1.56% |
34.53%
|
48 |
| -10.5 | 73.33% | 1.56% |
40.29%
|
56 |
| -8.5 | 81.33% | 1.56% |
44.6%
|
62 |
| -6.5 | 85.33% | 1.56% |
46.76%
|
65 |
| -4.5 | 86.67% | 3.13% |
48.2%
|
67 |
| -2.5 | 92% | 4.69% |
51.8%
|
72 |
| -0.5 | 94.67% | 4.69% |
53.24%
|
74 |
| 0.5 | 96% | 7.81% |
55.4%
|
77 |
| 2.5 | 97.33% | 10.94% |
57.55%
|
80 |
| 4.5 | 98.67% | 18.75% |
61.87%
|
86 |
| 6.5 | 100% | 26.56% |
66.19%
|
92 |
| 8.5 | 100% | 29.69% |
67.63%
|
94 |
| 10.5 | 100% | 39.06% |
71.94%
|
100 |
| 12.5 | 100% | 46.88% |
75.54%
|
105 |
| 14.5 | 100% | 51.56% |
77.7%
|
108 |
| 16.5 | 100% | 59.38% |
81.29%
|
113 |
Summary
139
Total Matches
10
Leagues Analyzed
2
Patches Analyzed