Team Tidebound - Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 94 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Handicap Analysis by League

FISSURE Universe Episode 5

10 matches (4 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 20%
-14.5 75% 0% 30%
-12.5 75% 0% 30%
-10.5 75% 0% 30%
-8.5 100% 0% 40%
-6.5 100% 0% 40%
-4.5 100% 0% 40%
-2.5 100% 16.67% 50%
-0.5 100% 16.67% 50%
0.5 100% 16.67% 50%
2.5 100% 16.67% 50%
4.5 100% 33.33% 60%
6.5 100% 50% 70%
8.5 100% 50% 70%
10.5 100% 66.67% 80%
12.5 100% 66.67% 80%
14.5 100% 66.67% 80%
16.5 100% 66.67% 80%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

12 matches (6 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 16.67%
-14.5 33.33% 0% 16.67%
-12.5 50% 16.67% 33.33%
-10.5 50% 16.67% 33.33%
-8.5 66.67% 16.67% 41.67%
-6.5 66.67% 16.67% 41.67%
-4.5 66.67% 16.67% 41.67%
-2.5 66.67% 16.67% 41.67%
-0.5 83.33% 16.67% 50%
0.5 100% 16.67% 58.33%
2.5 100% 33.33% 66.67%
4.5 100% 50% 75%
6.5 100% 50% 75%
8.5 100% 50% 75%
10.5 100% 50% 75%
12.5 100% 50% 75%
14.5 100% 50% 75%
16.5 100% 50% 75%

SLAM III

6 matches (3 wins, 3 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 16.67%
-14.5 66.67% 0% 33.33%
-12.5 100% 0% 50%
-10.5 100% 0% 50%
-8.5 100% 0% 50%
-6.5 100% 0% 50%
-4.5 100% 0% 50%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 0% 50%
6.5 100% 33.33% 66.67%
8.5 100% 66.67% 83.33%
10.5 100% 100% 100%
12.5 100% 100% 100%
14.5 100% 100% 100%
16.5 100% 100% 100%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

21 matches (11 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 36.36% 0% 19.05%
-14.5 45.45% 0% 23.81%
-12.5 45.45% 0% 23.81%
-10.5 45.45% 0% 23.81%
-8.5 63.64% 0% 33.33%
-6.5 63.64% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 63.64% 10% 38.1%
-2.5 81.82% 10% 47.62%
-0.5 90.91% 10% 52.38%
0.5 90.91% 10% 52.38%
2.5 90.91% 10% 52.38%
4.5 100% 10% 57.14%
6.5 100% 20% 61.9%
8.5 100% 20% 61.9%
10.5 100% 40% 71.43%
12.5 100% 50% 76.19%
14.5 100% 50% 76.19%
16.5 100% 50% 76.19%

ESL One Raleigh 2025

10 matches (4 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 75% 0% 30%
-14.5 75% 0% 30%
-12.5 75% 0% 30%
-10.5 75% 0% 30%
-8.5 75% 0% 30%
-6.5 100% 0% 40%
-4.5 100% 0% 40%
-2.5 100% 0% 40%
-0.5 100% 0% 40%
0.5 100% 0% 40%
2.5 100% 0% 40%
4.5 100% 0% 40%
6.5 100% 0% 40%
8.5 100% 0% 40%
10.5 100% 0% 40%
12.5 100% 0% 40%
14.5 100% 33.33% 60%
16.5 100% 50% 70%

FISSURE Universe Episode 4

21 matches (13 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 46.15% 0% 28.57%
-14.5 46.15% 0% 28.57%
-12.5 61.54% 0% 38.1%
-10.5 76.92% 0% 47.62%
-8.5 84.62% 0% 52.38%
-6.5 92.31% 0% 57.14%
-4.5 92.31% 0% 57.14%
-2.5 100% 0% 61.9%
-0.5 100% 0% 61.9%
0.5 100% 0% 61.9%
2.5 100% 12.5% 66.67%
4.5 100% 25% 71.43%
6.5 100% 37.5% 76.19%
8.5 100% 50% 80.95%
10.5 100% 50% 80.95%
12.5 100% 50% 80.95%
14.5 100% 50% 80.95%
16.5 100% 50% 80.95%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

14 matches (8 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 28.57%
-14.5 62.5% 0% 35.71%
-12.5 62.5% 0% 35.71%
-10.5 75% 0% 42.86%
-8.5 75% 0% 42.86%
-6.5 87.5% 0% 50%
-4.5 100% 0% 57.14%
-2.5 100% 0% 57.14%
-0.5 100% 0% 57.14%
0.5 100% 0% 57.14%
2.5 100% 0% 57.14%
4.5 100% 16.67% 64.29%
6.5 100% 16.67% 64.29%
8.5 100% 16.67% 64.29%
10.5 100% 16.67% 64.29%
12.5 100% 33.33% 71.43%
14.5 100% 33.33% 71.43%
16.5 100% 66.67% 85.71%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.39

22 matches (10 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 40% 0% 18.18%
-14.5 50% 0% 22.73%
-12.5 60% 8.33% 31.82%
-10.5 60% 8.33% 31.82%
-8.5 80% 8.33% 40.91%
-6.5 80% 8.33% 40.91%
-4.5 80% 8.33% 40.91%
-2.5 80% 16.67% 45.45%
-0.5 90% 16.67% 50%
0.5 100% 16.67% 54.55%
2.5 100% 25% 59.09%
4.5 100% 41.67% 68.18%
6.5 100% 50% 72.73%
8.5 100% 50% 72.73%
10.5 100% 58.33% 77.27%
12.5 100% 58.33% 77.27%
14.5 100% 58.33% 77.27%
16.5 100% 58.33% 77.27%

Patch 7.38

72 matches (39 wins, 33 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 46.15% 0% 25%
-14.5 53.85% 0% 29.17%
-12.5 61.54% 0% 33.33%
-10.5 69.23% 0% 37.5%
-8.5 76.92% 0% 41.67%
-6.5 84.62% 0% 45.83%
-4.5 87.18% 3.03% 48.61%
-2.5 94.87% 3.03% 52.78%
-0.5 97.44% 3.03% 54.17%
0.5 97.44% 3.03% 54.17%
2.5 97.44% 6.06% 55.56%
4.5 100% 12.12% 59.72%
6.5 100% 21.21% 63.89%
8.5 100% 27.27% 66.67%
10.5 100% 36.36% 70.83%
12.5 100% 42.42% 73.61%
14.5 100% 48.48% 76.39%
16.5 100% 57.58% 80.56%

Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)

94
Total Matches
49
Total Wins
45
Total Losses
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total % Matches Covered
-16.5 44.9% 0%
23.4%
22
-14.5 53.06% 0%
27.66%
26
-12.5 61.22% 2.22%
32.98%
31
-10.5 67.35% 2.22%
36.17%
34
-8.5 77.55% 2.22%
41.49%
39
-6.5 83.67% 2.22%
44.68%
42
-4.5 85.71% 4.44%
46.81%
44
-2.5 91.84% 6.67%
51.06%
48
-0.5 95.92% 6.67%
53.19%
50
0.5 97.96% 6.67%
54.26%
51
2.5 97.96% 11.11%
56.38%
53
4.5 100% 20%
61.7%
58
6.5 100% 28.89%
65.96%
62
8.5 100% 33.33%
68.09%
64
10.5 100% 42.22%
72.34%
68
12.5 100% 46.67%
74.47%
70
14.5 100% 51.11%
76.6%
72
16.5 100% 57.78%
79.79%
75

Summary

94
Total Matches
7
Leagues Analyzed
2
Patches Analyzed