Handicap analysis

Team Aster Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 258 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5.

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Total Matches

258

Total Wins

134

Total Losses

124

Overall Handicap Summary

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %	Matches Covered
-16.5	39.55%	0%	20.54%	53
-14.5	47.76%	0%	24.81%	64
-12.5	57.46%	0.81%	30.23%	78
-10.5	67.16%	1.61%	35.66%	92
-8.5	78.36%	1.61%	41.47%	107
-6.5	83.58%	2.42%	44.57%	115
-4.5	90.3%	3.23%	48.45%	125
-2.5	92.54%	5.65%	50.78%	131
-0.5	92.54%	5.65%	50.78%	131
0.5	93.28%	9.68%	53.1%	137
2.5	97.01%	12.9%	56.59%	146
4.5	97.76%	16.94%	58.91%	152
6.5	98.51%	26.61%	63.95%	165
8.5	99.25%	37.1%	69.38%	179
10.5	99.25%	45.97%	73.64%	190
12.5	99.25%	56.45%	78.68%	203
14.5	99.25%	62.1%	81.4%	210
16.5	100%	71.77%	86.43%	223

Handicap Analysis by League

Riyadh Masters 2023 by Gamers8

31 matches • 21 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	28.57%	0%	19.35%
-14.5	28.57%	0%	19.35%
-12.5	38.1%	0%	25.81%
-10.5	52.38%	0%	35.48%
-8.5	57.14%	0%	38.71%
-6.5	66.67%	0%	45.16%
-4.5	80.95%	10%	58.06%
-2.5	90.48%	10%	64.52%
-0.5	90.48%	10%	64.52%
0.5	90.48%	10%	64.52%
2.5	95.24%	10%	67.74%
4.5	100%	10%	70.97%
6.5	100%	20%	74.19%
8.5	100%	40%	80.65%
10.5	100%	60%	87.1%
12.5	100%	90%	96.77%
14.5	100%	90%	96.77%
16.5	100%	90%	96.77%

DreamLeague Season 20 powered by Intel

31 matches • 11 wins • 20 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	45.45%	0%	16.13%
-14.5	45.45%	0%	16.13%
-12.5	54.55%	0%	19.35%
-10.5	72.73%	5%	29.03%
-8.5	100%	5%	38.71%
-6.5	100%	5%	38.71%
-4.5	100%	5%	38.71%
-2.5	100%	5%	38.71%
-0.5	100%	5%	38.71%
0.5	100%	5%	38.71%
2.5	100%	5%	38.71%
4.5	100%	20%	48.39%
6.5	100%	40%	61.29%
8.5	100%	45%	64.52%
10.5	100%	50%	67.74%
12.5	100%	50%	67.74%
14.5	100%	55%	70.97%
16.5	100%	65%	77.42%

Lima Major 2023

27 matches • 13 wins • 14 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	30.77%	0%	14.81%
-14.5	30.77%	0%	14.81%
-12.5	46.15%	0%	22.22%
-10.5	61.54%	0%	29.63%
-8.5	61.54%	0%	29.63%
-6.5	76.92%	0%	37.04%
-4.5	84.62%	0%	40.74%
-2.5	84.62%	0%	40.74%
-0.5	84.62%	0%	40.74%
0.5	84.62%	14.29%	48.15%
2.5	92.31%	28.57%	59.26%
4.5	92.31%	28.57%	59.26%
6.5	100%	28.57%	62.96%
8.5	100%	42.86%	70.37%
10.5	100%	50%	74.07%
12.5	100%	57.14%	77.78%
14.5	100%	57.14%	77.78%
16.5	100%	78.57%	88.89%

The International 2022

27 matches • 15 wins • 12 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	40%	0%	22.22%
-14.5	53.33%	0%	29.63%
-12.5	80%	0%	44.44%
-10.5	80%	0%	44.44%
-8.5	86.67%	0%	48.15%
-6.5	86.67%	0%	48.15%
-4.5	93.33%	0%	51.85%
-2.5	93.33%	0%	51.85%
-0.5	93.33%	0%	51.85%
0.5	93.33%	8.33%	55.56%
2.5	93.33%	16.67%	59.26%
4.5	93.33%	16.67%	59.26%
6.5	93.33%	25%	62.96%
8.5	100%	25%	66.67%
10.5	100%	41.67%	74.07%
12.5	100%	41.67%	74.07%
14.5	100%	50%	77.78%
16.5	100%	58.33%	81.48%

The Bali Major

22 matches • 12 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	18.18%
-14.5	50%	0%	27.27%
-12.5	50%	0%	27.27%
-10.5	50%	0%	27.27%
-8.5	75%	0%	40.91%
-6.5	75%	0%	40.91%
-4.5	91.67%	0%	50%
-2.5	91.67%	10%	54.55%
-0.5	91.67%	10%	54.55%
0.5	91.67%	10%	54.55%
2.5	91.67%	10%	54.55%
4.5	91.67%	20%	59.09%
6.5	91.67%	20%	59.09%
8.5	91.67%	40%	68.18%
10.5	91.67%	40%	68.18%
12.5	91.67%	60%	77.27%
14.5	91.67%	60%	77.27%
16.5	100%	80%	90.91%

ESL One The Berlin Major powered by Intel

22 matches • 12 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	58.33%	0%	31.82%
-14.5	75%	0%	40.91%
-12.5	75%	0%	40.91%
-10.5	75%	0%	40.91%
-8.5	75%	0%	40.91%
-6.5	83.33%	0%	45.45%
-4.5	91.67%	0%	50%
-2.5	91.67%	0%	50%
-0.5	91.67%	0%	50%
0.5	91.67%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	54.55%
4.5	100%	0%	54.55%
6.5	100%	10%	59.09%
8.5	100%	10%	59.09%
10.5	100%	10%	59.09%
12.5	100%	20%	63.64%
14.5	100%	20%	63.64%
16.5	100%	30%	68.18%

DPC 2023 CN Summer Tour Division I - presented by Perfect World Esports

19 matches • 12 wins • 7 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	31.58%
-14.5	58.33%	0%	36.84%
-12.5	75%	0%	47.37%
-10.5	75%	0%	47.37%
-8.5	100%	0%	63.16%
-6.5	100%	14.29%	68.42%
-4.5	100%	14.29%	68.42%
-2.5	100%	14.29%	68.42%
-0.5	100%	14.29%	68.42%
0.5	100%	14.29%	68.42%
2.5	100%	28.57%	73.68%
4.5	100%	28.57%	73.68%
6.5	100%	57.14%	84.21%
8.5	100%	57.14%	84.21%
10.5	100%	57.14%	84.21%
12.5	100%	85.71%	94.74%
14.5	100%	85.71%	94.74%
16.5	100%	85.71%	94.74%

DPC 2023 CN Winter Tour Division I - presented by Perfect World Esports

19 matches • 13 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	53.85%	0%	36.84%
-14.5	61.54%	0%	42.11%
-12.5	76.92%	16.67%	57.89%
-10.5	84.62%	16.67%	63.16%
-8.5	92.31%	16.67%	68.42%
-6.5	92.31%	16.67%	68.42%
-4.5	92.31%	16.67%	68.42%
-2.5	100%	16.67%	73.68%
-0.5	100%	16.67%	73.68%
0.5	100%	16.67%	73.68%
2.5	100%	16.67%	73.68%
4.5	100%	16.67%	73.68%
6.5	100%	16.67%	73.68%
8.5	100%	50%	84.21%
10.5	100%	66.67%	89.47%
12.5	100%	100%	100%
14.5	100%	100%	100%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

DPC 2023 CN Spring Tour Division I - presented by Perfect World Esports

18 matches • 10 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	20%	0%	11.11%
-14.5	20%	0%	11.11%
-12.5	20%	0%	11.11%
-10.5	40%	0%	22.22%
-8.5	70%	0%	38.89%
-6.5	80%	0%	44.44%
-4.5	90%	0%	50%
-2.5	90%	12.5%	55.56%
-0.5	90%	12.5%	55.56%
0.5	90%	25%	61.11%
2.5	100%	25%	66.67%
4.5	100%	25%	66.67%
6.5	100%	50%	77.78%
8.5	100%	62.5%	83.33%
10.5	100%	62.5%	83.33%
12.5	100%	62.5%	83.33%
14.5	100%	87.5%	94.44%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

The International 2021

17 matches • 5 wins • 12 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	40%	0%	11.76%
-14.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-12.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-10.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-8.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-6.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-4.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-2.5	80%	8.33%	29.41%
-0.5	80%	8.33%	29.41%
0.5	80%	16.67%	35.29%
2.5	100%	16.67%	41.18%
4.5	100%	25%	47.06%
6.5	100%	33.33%	52.94%
8.5	100%	41.67%	58.82%
10.5	100%	50%	64.71%
12.5	100%	58.33%	70.59%
14.5	100%	66.67%	76.47%
16.5	100%	75%	82.35%

DreamLeague Season 19 powered by Intel

16 matches • 6 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	18.75%
-14.5	50%	0%	18.75%
-12.5	50%	0%	18.75%
-10.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-6.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-4.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-2.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-0.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
0.5	100%	0%	37.5%
2.5	100%	0%	37.5%
4.5	100%	0%	37.5%
6.5	100%	0%	37.5%
8.5	100%	10%	43.75%
10.5	100%	40%	62.5%
12.5	100%	40%	62.5%
14.5	100%	60%	75%
16.5	100%	70%	81.25%

The International 2019

9 matches • 4 wins • 5 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	25%	0%	11.11%
-14.5	50%	0%	22.22%
-12.5	50%	0%	22.22%
-10.5	75%	0%	33.33%
-8.5	75%	0%	33.33%
-6.5	100%	0%	44.44%
-4.5	100%	0%	44.44%
-2.5	100%	0%	44.44%
-0.5	100%	0%	44.44%
0.5	100%	0%	44.44%
2.5	100%	0%	44.44%
4.5	100%	0%	44.44%
6.5	100%	0%	44.44%
8.5	100%	20%	55.56%
10.5	100%	20%	55.56%
12.5	100%	40%	66.67%
14.5	100%	40%	66.67%
16.5	100%	40%	66.67%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.33

125 matches • 68 wins • 57 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	41.18%	0%	22.4%
-14.5	48.53%	0%	26.4%
-12.5	55.88%	0%	30.4%
-10.5	63.24%	1.75%	35.2%
-8.5	77.94%	1.75%	43.2%
-6.5	82.35%	3.51%	46.4%
-4.5	91.18%	5.26%	52%
-2.5	94.12%	7.02%	54.4%
-0.5	94.12%	7.02%	54.4%
0.5	94.12%	7.02%	54.4%
2.5	97.06%	8.77%	56.8%
4.5	98.53%	15.79%	60.8%
6.5	98.53%	29.82%	67.2%
8.5	98.53%	38.6%	71.2%
10.5	98.53%	43.86%	73.6%
12.5	98.53%	57.89%	80%
14.5	98.53%	59.65%	80.8%
16.5	100%	68.42%	85.6%

Patch 7.32

107 matches • 57 wins • 50 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	38.6%	0%	20.56%
-14.5	43.86%	0%	23.36%
-12.5	57.89%	2%	31.78%
-10.5	70.18%	2%	38.32%
-8.5	78.95%	2%	42.99%
-6.5	84.21%	2%	45.79%
-4.5	89.47%	2%	48.6%
-2.5	91.23%	4%	50.47%
-0.5	91.23%	4%	50.47%
0.5	92.98%	12%	55.14%
2.5	96.49%	18%	59.81%
4.5	96.49%	18%	59.81%
6.5	98.25%	24%	63.55%
8.5	100%	36%	70.09%
10.5	100%	50%	76.64%
12.5	100%	56%	79.44%
14.5	100%	66%	84.11%
16.5	100%	78%	89.72%

Patch 7.30

17 matches • 5 wins • 12 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	40%	0%	11.76%
-14.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-12.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-10.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-8.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-6.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-4.5	80%	0%	23.53%
-2.5	80%	8.33%	29.41%
-0.5	80%	8.33%	29.41%
0.5	80%	16.67%	35.29%
2.5	100%	16.67%	41.18%
4.5	100%	25%	47.06%
6.5	100%	33.33%	52.94%
8.5	100%	41.67%	58.82%
10.5	100%	50%	64.71%
12.5	100%	58.33%	70.59%
14.5	100%	66.67%	76.47%
16.5	100%	75%	82.35%

Patch 7.22

9 matches • 4 wins • 5 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	25%	0%	11.11%
-14.5	50%	0%	22.22%
-12.5	50%	0%	22.22%
-10.5	75%	0%	33.33%
-8.5	75%	0%	33.33%
-6.5	100%	0%	44.44%
-4.5	100%	0%	44.44%
-2.5	100%	0%	44.44%
-0.5	100%	0%	44.44%
0.5	100%	0%	44.44%
2.5	100%	0%	44.44%
4.5	100%	0%	44.44%
6.5	100%	0%	44.44%
8.5	100%	20%	55.56%
10.5	100%	20%	55.56%
12.5	100%	40%	66.67%
14.5	100%	40%	66.67%
16.5	100%	40%	66.67%