PVISION - Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 293 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Handicap Analysis by League

The International 2025

23 matches (15 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 13.33% 0% 8.7%
-14.5 40% 0% 26.09%
-12.5 40% 0% 26.09%
-10.5 53.33% 0% 34.78%
-8.5 53.33% 0% 34.78%
-6.5 53.33% 0% 34.78%
-4.5 66.67% 0% 43.48%
-2.5 73.33% 0% 47.83%
-0.5 73.33% 0% 47.83%
0.5 73.33% 0% 47.83%
2.5 80% 0% 52.17%
4.5 80% 0% 52.17%
6.5 86.67% 0% 56.52%
8.5 100% 12.5% 69.57%
10.5 100% 25% 73.91%
12.5 100% 37.5% 78.26%
14.5 100% 62.5% 86.96%
16.5 100% 62.5% 86.96%

FISSURE Universe Episode 6

13 matches (8 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 25% 0% 15.38%
-14.5 37.5% 0% 23.08%
-12.5 62.5% 0% 38.46%
-10.5 75% 0% 46.15%
-8.5 87.5% 0% 53.85%
-6.5 87.5% 0% 53.85%
-4.5 100% 0% 61.54%
-2.5 100% 0% 61.54%
-0.5 100% 0% 61.54%
0.5 100% 20% 69.23%
2.5 100% 20% 69.23%
4.5 100% 40% 76.92%
6.5 100% 40% 76.92%
8.5 100% 40% 76.92%
10.5 100% 60% 84.62%
12.5 100% 80% 92.31%
14.5 100% 80% 92.31%
16.5 100% 80% 92.31%

Clavision DOTA2 Masters 2025: Snow-Ruyi

1 matches (0 wins, 1 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 0% 0% 0%
-10.5 0% 0% 0%
-8.5 0% 0% 0%
-6.5 0% 0% 0%
-4.5 0% 0% 0%
-2.5 0% 0% 0%
-0.5 0% 0% 0%
0.5 0% 0% 0%
2.5 0% 0% 0%
4.5 0% 0% 0%
6.5 0% 100% 100%
8.5 0% 100% 100%
10.5 0% 100% 100%
12.5 0% 100% 100%
14.5 0% 100% 100%
16.5 0% 100% 100%

FISSURE Universe Episode 5

15 matches (9 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 44.44% 0% 26.67%
-14.5 44.44% 0% 26.67%
-12.5 44.44% 0% 26.67%
-10.5 44.44% 0% 26.67%
-8.5 55.56% 0% 33.33%
-6.5 66.67% 0% 40%
-4.5 66.67% 0% 40%
-2.5 66.67% 0% 40%
-0.5 66.67% 0% 40%
0.5 66.67% 0% 40%
2.5 66.67% 0% 40%
4.5 88.89% 16.67% 60%
6.5 88.89% 16.67% 60%
8.5 100% 16.67% 66.67%
10.5 100% 33.33% 73.33%
12.5 100% 33.33% 73.33%
14.5 100% 50% 80%
16.5 100% 50% 80%

DreamLeague Season 26

35 matches (31 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 29.03% 0% 25.71%
-14.5 35.48% 0% 31.43%
-12.5 41.94% 0% 37.14%
-10.5 45.16% 0% 40%
-8.5 58.06% 0% 51.43%
-6.5 70.97% 0% 62.86%
-4.5 80.65% 0% 71.43%
-2.5 83.87% 0% 74.29%
-0.5 83.87% 0% 74.29%
0.5 87.1% 0% 77.14%
2.5 90.32% 0% 80%
4.5 90.32% 0% 80%
6.5 93.55% 0% 82.86%
8.5 96.77% 0% 85.71%
10.5 96.77% 0% 85.71%
12.5 96.77% 0% 85.71%
14.5 100% 0% 88.57%
16.5 100% 0% 88.57%

SLAM III

7 matches (3 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 0% 0% 0%
-10.5 33.33% 0% 14.29%
-8.5 33.33% 0% 14.29%
-6.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-4.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-2.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-0.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
0.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
2.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
4.5 66.67% 25% 42.86%
6.5 100% 25% 57.14%
8.5 100% 25% 57.14%
10.5 100% 25% 57.14%
12.5 100% 50% 71.43%
14.5 100% 75% 85.71%
16.5 100% 75% 85.71%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

19 matches (14 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.86% 0% 31.58%
-14.5 50% 0% 36.84%
-12.5 57.14% 0% 42.11%
-10.5 71.43% 0% 52.63%
-8.5 71.43% 0% 52.63%
-6.5 85.71% 0% 63.16%
-4.5 85.71% 0% 63.16%
-2.5 92.86% 0% 68.42%
-0.5 92.86% 0% 68.42%
0.5 92.86% 0% 68.42%
2.5 100% 20% 78.95%
4.5 100% 20% 78.95%
6.5 100% 40% 84.21%
8.5 100% 40% 84.21%
10.5 100% 40% 84.21%
12.5 100% 80% 94.74%
14.5 100% 80% 94.74%
16.5 100% 80% 94.74%

ESL One Raleigh 2025

26 matches (19 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 47.37% 0% 34.62%
-14.5 63.16% 0% 46.15%
-12.5 73.68% 0% 53.85%
-10.5 84.21% 0% 61.54%
-8.5 84.21% 0% 61.54%
-6.5 84.21% 0% 61.54%
-4.5 84.21% 0% 61.54%
-2.5 89.47% 0% 65.38%
-0.5 94.74% 0% 69.23%
0.5 94.74% 0% 69.23%
2.5 100% 14.29% 76.92%
4.5 100% 14.29% 76.92%
6.5 100% 14.29% 76.92%
8.5 100% 14.29% 76.92%
10.5 100% 28.57% 80.77%
12.5 100% 28.57% 80.77%
14.5 100% 28.57% 80.77%
16.5 100% 57.14% 88.46%

FISSURE Universe Episode 4

13 matches (7 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.86% 0% 23.08%
-14.5 42.86% 0% 23.08%
-12.5 71.43% 0% 38.46%
-10.5 71.43% 0% 38.46%
-8.5 71.43% 0% 38.46%
-6.5 100% 0% 53.85%
-4.5 100% 0% 53.85%
-2.5 100% 0% 53.85%
-0.5 100% 0% 53.85%
0.5 100% 0% 53.85%
2.5 100% 0% 53.85%
4.5 100% 0% 53.85%
6.5 100% 0% 53.85%
8.5 100% 0% 53.85%
10.5 100% 0% 53.85%
12.5 100% 16.67% 61.54%
14.5 100% 16.67% 61.54%
16.5 100% 33.33% 69.23%

DreamLeague Season 25 powered by Intel

35 matches (23 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 39.13% 0% 25.71%
-14.5 43.48% 0% 28.57%
-12.5 60.87% 0% 40%
-10.5 65.22% 16.67% 48.57%
-8.5 69.57% 16.67% 51.43%
-6.5 73.91% 16.67% 54.29%
-4.5 82.61% 16.67% 60%
-2.5 82.61% 16.67% 60%
-0.5 91.3% 16.67% 65.71%
0.5 91.3% 16.67% 65.71%
2.5 100% 16.67% 71.43%
4.5 100% 25% 74.29%
6.5 100% 25% 74.29%
8.5 100% 25% 74.29%
10.5 100% 33.33% 77.14%
12.5 100% 33.33% 77.14%
14.5 100% 41.67% 80%
16.5 100% 41.67% 80%

SLAM II

12 matches (7 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.86% 0% 25%
-14.5 42.86% 0% 25%
-12.5 42.86% 0% 25%
-10.5 42.86% 0% 25%
-8.5 42.86% 0% 25%
-6.5 57.14% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 57.14% 0% 33.33%
-2.5 57.14% 0% 33.33%
-0.5 71.43% 0% 41.67%
0.5 71.43% 0% 41.67%
2.5 85.71% 0% 50%
4.5 85.71% 20% 58.33%
6.5 100% 40% 75%
8.5 100% 40% 75%
10.5 100% 40% 75%
12.5 100% 40% 75%
14.5 100% 60% 83.33%
16.5 100% 60% 83.33%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota

17 matches (11 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 36.36% 0% 23.53%
-14.5 36.36% 0% 23.53%
-12.5 63.64% 0% 41.18%
-10.5 72.73% 0% 47.06%
-8.5 72.73% 0% 47.06%
-6.5 72.73% 0% 47.06%
-4.5 81.82% 0% 52.94%
-2.5 81.82% 0% 52.94%
-0.5 81.82% 0% 52.94%
0.5 81.82% 0% 52.94%
2.5 90.91% 0% 58.82%
4.5 90.91% 0% 58.82%
6.5 90.91% 0% 58.82%
8.5 90.91% 0% 58.82%
10.5 90.91% 16.67% 64.71%
12.5 90.91% 16.67% 64.71%
14.5 90.91% 50% 76.47%
16.5 100% 50% 82.35%

ESL One Bangkok 2024 powered by Intel

20 matches (16 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 62.5% 0% 50%
-14.5 62.5% 0% 50%
-12.5 62.5% 0% 50%
-10.5 62.5% 0% 50%
-8.5 62.5% 0% 50%
-6.5 68.75% 0% 55%
-4.5 68.75% 0% 55%
-2.5 75% 0% 60%
-0.5 93.75% 0% 75%
0.5 93.75% 0% 75%
2.5 93.75% 0% 75%
4.5 100% 0% 80%
6.5 100% 0% 80%
8.5 100% 0% 80%
10.5 100% 0% 80%
12.5 100% 25% 85%
14.5 100% 50% 90%
16.5 100% 50% 90%

BLAST SLAM I

11 matches (6 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 27.27%
-14.5 50% 0% 27.27%
-12.5 50% 0% 27.27%
-10.5 66.67% 0% 36.36%
-8.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
-6.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
-4.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
-2.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
-0.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
0.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
2.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
4.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
6.5 83.33% 0% 45.45%
8.5 100% 0% 54.55%
10.5 100% 40% 72.73%
12.5 100% 40% 72.73%
14.5 100% 80% 90.91%
16.5 100% 100% 100%

1WIN SERIES DOTA 2

10 matches (5 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 80% 0% 40%
-14.5 100% 0% 50%
-12.5 100% 0% 50%
-10.5 100% 0% 50%
-8.5 100% 0% 50%
-6.5 100% 0% 50%
-4.5 100% 0% 50%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 0% 50%
6.5 100% 0% 50%
8.5 100% 0% 50%
10.5 100% 20% 60%
12.5 100% 60% 80%
14.5 100% 60% 80%
16.5 100% 60% 80%

DreamLeague Season 24 powered by Intel

36 matches (21 wins, 15 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 47.62% 0% 27.78%
-14.5 57.14% 0% 33.33%
-12.5 71.43% 0% 41.67%
-10.5 71.43% 0% 41.67%
-8.5 71.43% 0% 41.67%
-6.5 85.71% 0% 50%
-4.5 90.48% 6.67% 55.56%
-2.5 95.24% 6.67% 58.33%
-0.5 100% 6.67% 61.11%
0.5 100% 6.67% 61.11%
2.5 100% 13.33% 63.89%
4.5 100% 13.33% 63.89%
6.5 100% 13.33% 63.89%
8.5 100% 13.33% 63.89%
10.5 100% 40% 75%
12.5 100% 46.67% 77.78%
14.5 100% 66.67% 86.11%
16.5 100% 73.33% 88.89%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.39

73 matches (51 wins, 22 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 25.49% 0% 17.81%
-14.5 39.22% 0% 27.4%
-12.5 47.06% 0% 32.88%
-10.5 54.9% 0% 38.36%
-8.5 60.78% 0% 42.47%
-6.5 68.63% 0% 47.95%
-4.5 78.43% 0% 54.79%
-2.5 80.39% 0% 56.16%
-0.5 80.39% 0% 56.16%
0.5 82.35% 4.55% 58.9%
2.5 86.27% 4.55% 61.64%
4.5 90.2% 13.64% 67.12%
6.5 92.16% 18.18% 69.86%
8.5 98.04% 22.73% 75.34%
10.5 98.04% 36.36% 79.45%
12.5 98.04% 45.45% 82.19%
14.5 100% 59.09% 87.67%
16.5 100% 59.09% 87.67%

Patch 7.38

102 matches (71 wins, 31 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 39.44% 0% 27.45%
-14.5 46.48% 0% 32.35%
-12.5 56.34% 0% 39.22%
-10.5 63.38% 6.45% 46.08%
-8.5 69.01% 6.45% 50%
-6.5 78.87% 6.45% 56.86%
-4.5 83.1% 6.45% 59.8%
-2.5 87.32% 6.45% 62.75%
-0.5 90.14% 6.45% 64.71%
0.5 90.14% 6.45% 64.71%
2.5 95.77% 12.9% 70.59%
4.5 95.77% 19.35% 72.55%
6.5 98.59% 22.58% 75.49%
8.5 100% 22.58% 76.47%
10.5 100% 25.81% 77.45%
12.5 100% 38.71% 81.37%
14.5 100% 45.16% 83.33%
16.5 100% 54.84% 86.27%

Patch 7.37

118 matches (73 wins, 45 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50.68% 0% 31.36%
-14.5 54.79% 0% 33.9%
-12.5 65.75% 0% 40.68%
-10.5 69.86% 0% 43.22%
-8.5 71.23% 0% 44.07%
-6.5 78.08% 0% 48.31%
-4.5 80.82% 2.22% 50.85%
-2.5 83.56% 2.22% 52.54%
-0.5 91.78% 2.22% 57.63%
0.5 91.78% 2.22% 57.63%
2.5 94.52% 4.44% 60.17%
4.5 95.89% 6.67% 61.86%
6.5 97.26% 8.89% 63.56%
8.5 98.63% 8.89% 64.41%
10.5 98.63% 28.89% 72.03%
12.5 98.63% 37.78% 75.42%
14.5 98.63% 57.78% 83.05%
16.5 100% 62.22% 85.59%

Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)

293
Total Matches
195
Total Wins
98
Total Losses
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total % Matches Covered
-16.5 40% 0%
26.62%
78
-14.5 47.69% 0%
31.74%
93
-12.5 57.44% 0%
38.23%
112
-10.5 63.59% 2.04%
43%
126
-8.5 67.69% 2.04%
45.73%
134
-6.5 75.9% 2.04%
51.19%
150
-4.5 81.03% 3.06%
54.95%
161
-2.5 84.1% 3.06%
57%
167
-0.5 88.21% 3.06%
59.73%
175
0.5 88.72% 4.08%
60.41%
177
2.5 92.82% 7.14%
64.16%
188
4.5 94.36% 12.24%
66.89%
196
6.5 96.41% 15.31%
69.28%
203
8.5 98.97% 16.33%
71.33%
209
10.5 98.97% 29.59%
75.77%
222
12.5 98.97% 39.8%
79.18%
232
14.5 99.49% 54.08%
84.3%
247
16.5 100% 59.18%
86.35%
253

Summary

293
Total Matches
16
Leagues Analyzed
3
Patches Analyzed