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Handicap analysis

Nigma Galaxy Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 338 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5.

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How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Total Matches

338

Total Wins

148

Total Losses

190

Overall Handicap Summary
HandicapWins %Losses %Total %Matches Covered
-16.544.59%0.53%19.82%67
-14.556.08%0.53%24.85%84
-12.567.57%1.05%30.18%102
-10.576.35%1.05%34.02%115
-8.584.46%1.05%37.57%127
-6.589.86%1.58%40.24%136
-4.594.59%2.11%42.6%144
-2.595.95%2.63%43.49%147
-0.596.62%2.63%43.79%148
0.596.62%3.16%44.08%149
2.597.97%7.89%47.34%160
4.598.65%12.11%50%169
6.598.65%17.37%52.96%179
8.598.65%23.16%56.21%190
10.5100%32.63%62.13%210
12.5100%39.47%65.98%223
14.5100%44.74%68.93%233
16.5100%53.16%73.67%249

Handicap Analysis by League

DreamLeague Season 26

33 matches • 17 wins • 16 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.541.18%0%21.21%
-14.552.94%0%27.27%
-12.558.82%0%30.3%
-10.576.47%0%39.39%
-8.588.24%0%45.45%
-6.588.24%0%45.45%
-4.594.12%0%48.48%
-2.594.12%0%48.48%
-0.594.12%0%48.48%
0.594.12%0%48.48%
2.594.12%6.25%51.52%
4.594.12%6.25%51.52%
6.594.12%6.25%51.52%
8.594.12%6.25%51.52%
10.5100%18.75%60.61%
12.5100%18.75%60.61%
14.5100%25%63.64%
16.5100%37.5%69.7%
Clavision DOTA League S1 : Snow-Ruyi

23 matches • 14 wins • 9 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.542.86%0%26.09%
-14.557.14%0%34.78%
-12.564.29%0%39.13%
-10.564.29%0%39.13%
-8.578.57%0%47.83%
-6.585.71%0%52.17%
-4.592.86%0%56.52%
-2.592.86%0%56.52%
-0.592.86%0%56.52%
0.592.86%0%56.52%
2.5100%0%60.87%
4.5100%0%60.87%
6.5100%0%60.87%
8.5100%11.11%65.22%
10.5100%11.11%65.22%
12.5100%22.22%69.57%
14.5100%22.22%69.57%
16.5100%55.56%82.61%
BetBoom Dacha

22 matches • 13 wins • 9 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.538.46%0%22.73%
-14.553.85%0%31.82%
-12.561.54%0%36.36%
-10.569.23%0%40.91%
-8.569.23%0%40.91%
-6.576.92%0%45.45%
-4.592.31%0%54.55%
-2.592.31%11.11%59.09%
-0.592.31%11.11%59.09%
0.592.31%11.11%59.09%
2.5100%11.11%63.64%
4.5100%11.11%63.64%
6.5100%11.11%63.64%
8.5100%11.11%63.64%
10.5100%11.11%63.64%
12.5100%11.11%63.64%
14.5100%11.11%63.64%
16.5100%22.22%68.18%
HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.514.29%0%5.26%
-14.557.14%0%21.05%
-12.571.43%0%26.32%
-10.571.43%0%26.32%
-8.585.71%0%31.58%
-6.5100%0%36.84%
-4.5100%0%36.84%
-2.5100%0%36.84%
-0.5100%0%36.84%
0.5100%0%36.84%
2.5100%0%36.84%
4.5100%8.33%42.11%
6.5100%8.33%42.11%
8.5100%16.67%47.37%
10.5100%25%52.63%
12.5100%25%52.63%
14.5100%25%52.63%
16.5100%33.33%57.89%
HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.575%0%50%
-14.575%0%50%
-12.583.33%0%55.56%
-10.583.33%0%55.56%
-8.591.67%0%61.11%
-6.591.67%0%61.11%
-4.5100%0%66.67%
-2.5100%0%66.67%
-0.5100%0%66.67%
0.5100%0%66.67%
2.5100%16.67%72.22%
4.5100%33.33%77.78%
6.5100%33.33%77.78%
8.5100%33.33%77.78%
10.5100%33.33%77.78%
12.5100%33.33%77.78%
14.5100%33.33%77.78%
16.5100%33.33%77.78%
HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.5100%0%35.29%
-14.5100%0%35.29%
-12.5100%0%35.29%
-10.5100%0%35.29%
-8.5100%0%35.29%
-6.5100%0%35.29%
-4.5100%0%35.29%
-2.5100%0%35.29%
-0.5100%0%35.29%
0.5100%0%35.29%
2.5100%0%35.29%
4.5100%9.09%41.18%
6.5100%18.18%47.06%
8.5100%27.27%52.94%
10.5100%36.36%58.82%
12.5100%45.45%64.71%
14.5100%54.55%70.59%
16.5100%54.55%70.59%
Clavision DOTA2 Masters 2025: Snow-Ruyi

15 matches • 9 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.555.56%0%33.33%
-14.555.56%0%33.33%
-12.566.67%0%40%
-10.588.89%0%53.33%
-8.588.89%0%53.33%
-6.5100%0%60%
-4.5100%0%60%
-2.5100%0%60%
-0.5100%0%60%
0.5100%0%60%
2.5100%0%60%
4.5100%16.67%66.67%
6.5100%16.67%66.67%
8.5100%33.33%73.33%
10.5100%66.67%86.67%
12.5100%83.33%93.33%
14.5100%83.33%93.33%
16.5100%83.33%93.33%
DreamLeague Season 27

14 matches • 6 wins • 8 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.516.67%0%7.14%
-14.533.33%0%14.29%
-12.550%0%21.43%
-10.566.67%0%28.57%
-8.566.67%0%28.57%
-6.583.33%0%35.71%
-4.583.33%0%35.71%
-2.583.33%0%35.71%
-0.583.33%0%35.71%
0.583.33%12.5%42.86%
2.583.33%12.5%42.86%
4.583.33%25%50%
6.583.33%25%50%
8.583.33%50%64.29%
10.5100%50%71.43%
12.5100%62.5%78.57%
14.5100%62.5%78.57%
16.5100%62.5%78.57%
DreamLeague Season 24 powered by Intel

14 matches • 4 wins • 10 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.525%0%7.14%
-14.525%0%7.14%
-12.575%0%21.43%
-10.5100%0%28.57%
-8.5100%0%28.57%
-6.5100%0%28.57%
-4.5100%0%28.57%
-2.5100%0%28.57%
-0.5100%0%28.57%
0.5100%0%28.57%
2.5100%10%35.71%
4.5100%20%42.86%
6.5100%20%42.86%
8.5100%20%42.86%
10.5100%30%50%
12.5100%50%64.29%
14.5100%60%71.43%
16.5100%80%85.71%
DreamLeague Season 19 powered by Intel

14 matches • 4 wins • 10 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.525%0%7.14%
-14.525%0%7.14%
-12.550%0%14.29%
-10.550%0%14.29%
-8.575%0%21.43%
-6.5100%0%28.57%
-4.5100%0%28.57%
-2.5100%0%28.57%
-0.5100%0%28.57%
0.5100%0%28.57%
2.5100%0%28.57%
4.5100%0%28.57%
6.5100%0%28.57%
8.5100%0%28.57%
10.5100%20%42.86%
12.5100%20%42.86%
14.5100%40%57.14%
16.5100%50%64.29%
The International 2021

14 matches • 8 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.512.5%0%7.14%
-14.525%0%14.29%
-12.550%0%28.57%
-10.562.5%0%35.71%
-8.562.5%0%35.71%
-6.562.5%0%35.71%
-4.575%0%42.86%
-2.587.5%0%50%
-0.5100%0%57.14%
0.5100%0%57.14%
2.5100%0%57.14%
4.5100%0%57.14%
6.5100%0%57.14%
8.5100%0%57.14%
10.5100%33.33%71.43%
12.5100%33.33%71.43%
14.5100%33.33%71.43%
16.5100%33.33%71.43%
FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2

12 matches • 5 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.520%0%8.33%
-14.520%0%8.33%
-12.560%0%25%
-10.580%0%33.33%
-8.580%0%33.33%
-6.5100%0%41.67%
-4.5100%0%41.67%
-2.5100%0%41.67%
-0.5100%0%41.67%
0.5100%0%41.67%
2.5100%0%41.67%
4.5100%0%41.67%
6.5100%0%41.67%
8.5100%14.29%50%
10.5100%28.57%58.33%
12.5100%28.57%58.33%
14.5100%42.86%66.67%
16.5100%57.14%75%
ESL One Raleigh 2025

12 matches • 4 wins • 8 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.525%0%8.33%
-14.550%0%16.67%
-12.550%0%16.67%
-10.575%0%25%
-8.5100%0%33.33%
-6.5100%0%33.33%
-4.5100%0%33.33%
-2.5100%0%33.33%
-0.5100%0%33.33%
0.5100%0%33.33%
2.5100%12.5%41.67%
4.5100%12.5%41.67%
6.5100%12.5%41.67%
8.5100%12.5%41.67%
10.5100%25%50%
12.5100%50%66.67%
14.5100%50%66.67%
16.5100%50%66.67%
ESL One Bangkok 2024 powered by Intel

12 matches • 4 wins • 8 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.550%12.5%25%
-14.575%12.5%33.33%
-12.5100%12.5%41.67%
-10.5100%12.5%41.67%
-8.5100%12.5%41.67%
-6.5100%12.5%41.67%
-4.5100%12.5%41.67%
-2.5100%12.5%41.67%
-0.5100%12.5%41.67%
0.5100%12.5%41.67%
2.5100%12.5%41.67%
4.5100%12.5%41.67%
6.5100%37.5%58.33%
8.5100%37.5%58.33%
10.5100%37.5%58.33%
12.5100%50%66.67%
14.5100%62.5%75%
16.5100%62.5%75%
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

10 matches • 3 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.533.33%0%10%
-14.566.67%0%20%
-12.566.67%14.29%30%
-10.5100%14.29%40%
-8.5100%14.29%40%
-6.5100%14.29%40%
-4.5100%14.29%40%
-2.5100%14.29%40%
-0.5100%14.29%40%
0.5100%14.29%40%
2.5100%14.29%40%
4.5100%14.29%40%
6.5100%28.57%50%
8.5100%42.86%60%
10.5100%57.14%70%
12.5100%57.14%70%
14.5100%57.14%70%
16.5100%57.14%70%
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

10 matches • 3 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.5100%0%30%
-14.5100%0%30%
-12.5100%0%30%
-10.5100%0%30%
-8.5100%0%30%
-6.5100%0%30%
-4.5100%14.29%40%
-2.5100%14.29%40%
-0.5100%14.29%40%
0.5100%14.29%40%
2.5100%28.57%50%
4.5100%28.57%50%
6.5100%28.57%50%
8.5100%42.86%60%
10.5100%42.86%60%
12.5100%57.14%70%
14.5100%57.14%70%
16.5100%71.43%80%
SLAM II

10 matches • 6 wins • 4 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.533.33%0%20%
-14.550%0%30%
-12.550%0%30%
-10.566.67%0%40%
-8.566.67%0%40%
-6.566.67%0%40%
-4.583.33%0%50%
-2.5100%0%60%
-0.5100%0%60%
0.5100%0%60%
2.5100%25%70%
4.5100%25%70%
6.5100%25%70%
8.5100%25%70%
10.5100%25%70%
12.5100%25%70%
14.5100%50%80%
16.5100%75%90%
Elite League by FISSURE and ESB

10 matches • 3 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.566.67%0%20%
-14.5100%0%30%
-12.5100%0%30%
-10.5100%0%30%
-8.5100%0%30%
-6.5100%0%30%
-4.5100%0%30%
-2.5100%0%30%
-0.5100%0%30%
0.5100%0%30%
2.5100%28.57%50%
4.5100%28.57%50%
6.5100%42.86%60%
8.5100%42.86%60%
10.5100%42.86%60%
12.5100%42.86%60%
14.5100%42.86%60%
16.5100%57.14%70%
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

9 matches • 2 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.5100%0%22.22%
-14.5100%0%22.22%
-12.5100%0%22.22%
-10.5100%0%22.22%
-8.5100%0%22.22%
-6.5100%14.29%33.33%
-4.5100%14.29%33.33%
-2.5100%14.29%33.33%
-0.5100%14.29%33.33%
0.5100%14.29%33.33%
2.5100%28.57%44.44%
4.5100%57.14%66.67%
6.5100%57.14%66.67%
8.5100%57.14%66.67%
10.5100%57.14%66.67%
12.5100%57.14%66.67%
14.5100%57.14%66.67%
16.5100%57.14%66.67%
1WIN SERIES DOTA 2

9 matches • 3 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.533.33%0%11.11%
-14.533.33%0%11.11%
-12.566.67%0%22.22%
-10.566.67%0%22.22%
-8.5100%0%33.33%
-6.5100%0%33.33%
-4.5100%0%33.33%
-2.5100%0%33.33%
-0.5100%0%33.33%
0.5100%0%33.33%
2.5100%0%33.33%
4.5100%0%33.33%
6.5100%16.67%44.44%
8.5100%33.33%55.56%
10.5100%50%66.67%
12.5100%50%66.67%
14.5100%50%66.67%
16.5100%50%66.67%
PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2

9 matches • 4 wins • 5 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.525%0%11.11%
-14.550%0%22.22%
-12.575%0%33.33%
-10.575%0%33.33%
-8.5100%0%44.44%
-6.5100%0%44.44%
-4.5100%0%44.44%
-2.5100%0%44.44%
-0.5100%0%44.44%
0.5100%0%44.44%
2.5100%0%44.44%
4.5100%0%44.44%
6.5100%0%44.44%
8.5100%0%44.44%
10.5100%20%55.56%
12.5100%60%77.78%
14.5100%80%88.89%
16.5100%80%88.89%
FISSURE Tournament

9 matches • 4 wins • 5 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.550%0%22.22%
-14.550%0%22.22%
-12.550%0%22.22%
-10.550%0%22.22%
-8.575%0%33.33%
-6.5100%0%44.44%
-4.5100%0%44.44%
-2.5100%0%44.44%
-0.5100%0%44.44%
0.5100%0%44.44%
2.5100%0%44.44%
4.5100%0%44.44%
6.5100%40%66.67%
8.5100%40%66.67%
10.5100%40%66.67%
12.5100%60%77.78%
14.5100%60%77.78%
16.5100%60%77.78%
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 6

8 matches • 2 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.5100%0%25%
-14.5100%0%25%
-12.5100%0%25%
-10.5100%0%25%
-8.5100%0%25%
-6.5100%0%25%
-4.5100%0%25%
-2.5100%0%25%
-0.5100%0%25%
0.5100%0%25%
2.5100%0%25%
4.5100%0%25%
6.5100%0%25%
8.5100%0%25%
10.5100%33.33%50%
12.5100%33.33%50%
14.5100%33.33%50%
16.5100%33.33%50%
Riyadh Masters 2023 by Gamers8

8 matches • 4 wins • 4 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.550%0%25%
-14.550%0%25%
-12.550%0%25%
-10.550%0%25%
-8.575%0%37.5%
-6.575%0%37.5%
-4.575%0%37.5%
-2.575%0%37.5%
-0.575%0%37.5%
0.575%0%37.5%
2.575%0%37.5%
4.5100%0%50%
6.5100%0%50%
8.5100%25%62.5%
10.5100%25%62.5%
12.5100%25%62.5%
14.5100%50%75%
16.5100%75%87.5%
FISSURE Universe Episode 5

7 matches • 1 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.5100%0%14.29%
-14.5100%0%14.29%
-12.5100%0%14.29%
-10.5100%0%14.29%
-8.5100%0%14.29%
-6.5100%0%14.29%
-4.5100%0%14.29%
-2.5100%0%14.29%
-0.5100%0%14.29%
0.5100%0%14.29%
2.5100%0%14.29%
4.5100%0%14.29%
6.5100%33.33%42.86%
8.5100%33.33%42.86%
10.5100%33.33%42.86%
12.5100%33.33%42.86%
14.5100%33.33%42.86%
16.5100%50%57.14%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.39

85 matches • 33 wins • 52 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.545.45%0%17.65%
-14.554.55%0%21.18%
-12.566.67%1.92%27.06%
-10.584.85%1.92%34.12%
-8.584.85%1.92%34.12%
-6.593.94%1.92%37.65%
-4.596.97%1.92%38.82%
-2.596.97%1.92%38.82%
-0.596.97%1.92%38.82%
0.596.97%3.85%40%
2.596.97%3.85%40%
4.596.97%7.69%42.35%
6.596.97%13.46%45.88%
8.596.97%23.08%51.76%
10.5100%38.46%62.35%
12.5100%42.31%64.71%
14.5100%46.15%67.06%
16.5100%53.85%71.76%
Patch 7.37

52 matches • 21 wins • 31 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.533.33%3.23%15.38%
-14.547.62%3.23%21.15%
-12.571.43%3.23%30.77%
-10.580.95%3.23%34.62%
-8.590.48%3.23%38.46%
-6.590.48%3.23%38.46%
-4.595.24%3.23%40.38%
-2.5100%3.23%42.31%
-0.5100%3.23%42.31%
0.5100%3.23%42.31%
2.5100%9.68%46.15%
4.5100%12.9%48.08%
6.5100%22.58%53.85%
8.5100%25.81%55.77%
10.5100%35.48%61.54%
12.5100%51.61%71.15%
14.5100%64.52%78.85%
16.5100%74.19%84.62%
Patch 7.32

50 matches • 17 wins • 33 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.547.06%0%16%
-14.564.71%0%22%
-12.576.47%0%26%
-10.576.47%0%26%
-8.588.24%0%30%
-6.5100%0%34%
-4.5100%0%34%
-2.5100%0%34%
-0.5100%0%34%
0.5100%0%34%
2.5100%0%34%
4.5100%6.06%38%
6.5100%9.09%40%
8.5100%15.15%44%
10.5100%27.27%52%
12.5100%30.3%54%
14.5100%39.39%60%
16.5100%45.45%64%
Patch 7.38

45 matches • 19 wins • 26 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.547.37%0%20%
-14.557.89%0%24.44%
-12.563.16%0%26.67%
-10.578.95%0%33.33%
-8.594.74%0%40%
-6.594.74%3.85%42.22%
-4.594.74%7.69%44.44%
-2.594.74%7.69%44.44%
-0.594.74%7.69%44.44%
0.594.74%7.69%44.44%
2.594.74%23.08%53.33%
4.594.74%30.77%57.78%
6.594.74%30.77%57.78%
8.594.74%34.62%60%
10.5100%38.46%64.44%
12.5100%50%71.11%
14.5100%50%71.11%
16.5100%53.85%73.33%
Patch 7.36

34 matches • 18 wins • 16 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.544.44%0%23.53%
-14.555.56%0%29.41%
-12.561.11%0%32.35%
-10.561.11%0%32.35%
-8.577.78%0%41.18%
-6.588.89%0%47.06%
-4.594.44%0%50%
-2.594.44%0%50%
-0.594.44%0%50%
0.594.44%0%50%
2.5100%0%52.94%
4.5100%0%52.94%
6.5100%12.5%58.82%
8.5100%18.75%61.76%
10.5100%18.75%61.76%
12.5100%31.25%67.65%
14.5100%31.25%67.65%
16.5100%50%76.47%
Patch 7.33

29 matches • 18 wins • 11 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.566.67%0%41.38%
-14.566.67%0%41.38%
-12.572.22%0%44.83%
-10.572.22%0%44.83%
-8.583.33%0%51.72%
-6.583.33%0%51.72%
-4.594.44%0%58.62%
-2.594.44%0%58.62%
-0.594.44%0%58.62%
0.594.44%0%58.62%
2.594.44%9.09%62.07%
4.5100%18.18%68.97%
6.5100%18.18%68.97%
8.5100%27.27%72.41%
10.5100%27.27%72.41%
12.5100%27.27%72.41%
14.5100%36.36%75.86%
16.5100%45.45%79.31%
Patch 7.34

19 matches • 11 wins • 8 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.536.36%0%21.05%
-14.554.55%0%31.58%
-12.563.64%0%36.84%
-10.572.73%0%42.11%
-8.572.73%0%42.11%
-6.581.82%0%47.37%
-4.590.91%0%52.63%
-2.590.91%12.5%57.89%
-0.590.91%12.5%57.89%
0.590.91%12.5%57.89%
2.5100%12.5%63.16%
4.5100%12.5%63.16%
6.5100%12.5%63.16%
8.5100%12.5%63.16%
10.5100%12.5%63.16%
12.5100%12.5%63.16%
14.5100%12.5%63.16%
16.5100%25%68.42%
Patch 7.29

14 matches • 8 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.512.5%0%7.14%
-14.525%0%14.29%
-12.550%0%28.57%
-10.562.5%0%35.71%
-8.562.5%0%35.71%
-6.562.5%0%35.71%
-4.575%0%42.86%
-2.587.5%0%50%
-0.5100%0%57.14%
0.5100%0%57.14%
2.5100%0%57.14%
4.5100%0%57.14%
6.5100%0%57.14%
8.5100%0%57.14%
10.5100%33.33%71.43%
12.5100%33.33%71.43%
14.5100%33.33%71.43%
16.5100%33.33%71.43%
Patch 7.35

10 matches • 3 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.566.67%0%20%
-14.5100%0%30%
-12.5100%0%30%
-10.5100%0%30%
-8.5100%0%30%
-6.5100%0%30%
-4.5100%0%30%
-2.5100%0%30%
-0.5100%0%30%
0.5100%0%30%
2.5100%28.57%50%
4.5100%28.57%50%
6.5100%42.86%60%
8.5100%42.86%60%
10.5100%42.86%60%
12.5100%42.86%60%
14.5100%42.86%60%
16.5100%57.14%70%