HEROIC - Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 285 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Handicap Analysis by League

Esports World Cup 2025

11 matches (4 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 75% 0% 27.27%
-14.5 100% 0% 36.36%
-12.5 100% 0% 36.36%
-10.5 100% 0% 36.36%
-8.5 100% 0% 36.36%
-6.5 100% 0% 36.36%
-4.5 100% 0% 36.36%
-2.5 100% 0% 36.36%
-0.5 100% 0% 36.36%
0.5 100% 14.29% 45.45%
2.5 100% 14.29% 45.45%
4.5 100% 28.57% 54.55%
6.5 100% 28.57% 54.55%
8.5 100% 28.57% 54.55%
10.5 100% 28.57% 54.55%
12.5 100% 42.86% 63.64%
14.5 100% 57.14% 72.73%
16.5 100% 71.43% 81.82%

FISSURE Universe Episode 5

13 matches (8 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 62.5% 0% 38.46%
-14.5 75% 0% 46.15%
-12.5 75% 0% 46.15%
-10.5 75% 0% 46.15%
-8.5 75% 0% 46.15%
-6.5 75% 0% 46.15%
-4.5 87.5% 0% 53.85%
-2.5 100% 0% 61.54%
-0.5 100% 0% 61.54%
0.5 100% 0% 61.54%
2.5 100% 0% 61.54%
4.5 100% 0% 61.54%
6.5 100% 0% 61.54%
8.5 100% 0% 61.54%
10.5 100% 20% 69.23%
12.5 100% 20% 69.23%
14.5 100% 20% 69.23%
16.5 100% 40% 76.92%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

13 matches (6 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 23.08%
-14.5 66.67% 0% 30.77%
-12.5 66.67% 0% 30.77%
-10.5 83.33% 0% 38.46%
-8.5 83.33% 0% 38.46%
-6.5 100% 0% 46.15%
-4.5 100% 0% 46.15%
-2.5 100% 0% 46.15%
-0.5 100% 0% 46.15%
0.5 100% 0% 46.15%
2.5 100% 14.29% 53.85%
4.5 100% 14.29% 53.85%
6.5 100% 28.57% 61.54%
8.5 100% 28.57% 61.54%
10.5 100% 57.14% 76.92%
12.5 100% 57.14% 76.92%
14.5 100% 57.14% 76.92%
16.5 100% 85.71% 92.31%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

12 matches (4 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 25% 0% 8.33%
-12.5 75% 0% 25%
-10.5 75% 0% 25%
-8.5 100% 0% 33.33%
-6.5 100% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 100% 0% 33.33%
-2.5 100% 12.5% 41.67%
-0.5 100% 12.5% 41.67%
0.5 100% 12.5% 41.67%
2.5 100% 12.5% 41.67%
4.5 100% 12.5% 41.67%
6.5 100% 12.5% 41.67%
8.5 100% 12.5% 41.67%
10.5 100% 37.5% 58.33%
12.5 100% 50% 66.67%
14.5 100% 50% 66.67%
16.5 100% 62.5% 75%

ESL One Raleigh 2025

10 matches (2 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 100% 0% 20%
-14.5 100% 0% 20%
-12.5 100% 0% 20%
-10.5 100% 0% 20%
-8.5 100% 0% 20%
-6.5 100% 0% 20%
-4.5 100% 0% 20%
-2.5 100% 0% 20%
-0.5 100% 0% 20%
0.5 100% 0% 20%
2.5 100% 12.5% 30%
4.5 100% 12.5% 30%
6.5 100% 37.5% 50%
8.5 100% 50% 60%
10.5 100% 62.5% 70%
12.5 100% 62.5% 70%
14.5 100% 75% 80%
16.5 100% 75% 80%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

10 matches (4 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 20%
-14.5 50% 0% 20%
-12.5 50% 0% 20%
-10.5 50% 0% 20%
-8.5 75% 0% 30%
-6.5 75% 0% 30%
-4.5 75% 0% 30%
-2.5 75% 0% 30%
-0.5 75% 0% 30%
0.5 75% 0% 30%
2.5 100% 0% 40%
4.5 100% 0% 40%
6.5 100% 16.67% 50%
8.5 100% 16.67% 50%
10.5 100% 16.67% 50%
12.5 100% 16.67% 50%
14.5 100% 33.33% 60%
16.5 100% 33.33% 60%

DreamLeague Season 25 powered by Intel

32 matches (14 wins, 18 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 57.14% 0% 25%
-14.5 71.43% 0% 31.25%
-12.5 78.57% 0% 34.38%
-10.5 85.71% 0% 37.5%
-8.5 92.86% 0% 40.63%
-6.5 92.86% 0% 40.63%
-4.5 92.86% 0% 40.63%
-2.5 100% 0% 43.75%
-0.5 100% 0% 43.75%
0.5 100% 0% 43.75%
2.5 100% 5.56% 46.88%
4.5 100% 11.11% 50%
6.5 100% 11.11% 50%
8.5 100% 27.78% 59.38%
10.5 100% 33.33% 62.5%
12.5 100% 38.89% 65.63%
14.5 100% 38.89% 65.63%
16.5 100% 50% 71.88%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota

9 matches (5 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 60% 0% 33.33%
-14.5 80% 0% 44.44%
-12.5 80% 0% 44.44%
-10.5 80% 0% 44.44%
-8.5 80% 0% 44.44%
-6.5 100% 0% 55.56%
-4.5 100% 0% 55.56%
-2.5 100% 0% 55.56%
-0.5 100% 0% 55.56%
0.5 100% 0% 55.56%
2.5 100% 0% 55.56%
4.5 100% 0% 55.56%
6.5 100% 0% 55.56%
8.5 100% 0% 55.56%
10.5 100% 0% 55.56%
12.5 100% 25% 66.67%
14.5 100% 75% 88.89%
16.5 100% 75% 88.89%

BLAST SLAM I

10 matches (3 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 66.67% 0% 20%
-12.5 100% 0% 30%
-10.5 100% 0% 30%
-8.5 100% 0% 30%
-6.5 100% 14.29% 40%
-4.5 100% 14.29% 40%
-2.5 100% 14.29% 40%
-0.5 100% 14.29% 40%
0.5 100% 14.29% 40%
2.5 100% 14.29% 40%
4.5 100% 14.29% 40%
6.5 100% 14.29% 40%
8.5 100% 28.57% 50%
10.5 100% 28.57% 50%
12.5 100% 28.57% 50%
14.5 100% 42.86% 60%
16.5 100% 57.14% 70%

DreamLeague Season 24 powered by Intel

14 matches (3 wins, 11 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 7.14%
-14.5 33.33% 0% 7.14%
-12.5 33.33% 0% 7.14%
-10.5 33.33% 0% 7.14%
-8.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-6.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-4.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-2.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-0.5 100% 0% 21.43%
0.5 100% 0% 21.43%
2.5 100% 9.09% 28.57%
4.5 100% 9.09% 28.57%
6.5 100% 9.09% 28.57%
8.5 100% 18.18% 35.71%
10.5 100% 18.18% 35.71%
12.5 100% 18.18% 35.71%
14.5 100% 18.18% 35.71%
16.5 100% 63.64% 71.43%

PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2

23 matches (16 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 43.75% 0% 30.43%
-14.5 56.25% 0% 39.13%
-12.5 56.25% 0% 39.13%
-10.5 56.25% 0% 39.13%
-8.5 68.75% 0% 47.83%
-6.5 68.75% 0% 47.83%
-4.5 75% 0% 52.17%
-2.5 75% 0% 52.17%
-0.5 93.75% 14.29% 69.57%
0.5 100% 14.29% 73.91%
2.5 100% 14.29% 73.91%
4.5 100% 14.29% 73.91%
6.5 100% 14.29% 73.91%
8.5 100% 14.29% 73.91%
10.5 100% 14.29% 73.91%
12.5 100% 14.29% 73.91%
14.5 100% 42.86% 82.61%
16.5 100% 42.86% 82.61%

The International 2024

14 matches (5 wins, 9 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 80% 0% 28.57%
-14.5 80% 0% 28.57%
-12.5 100% 0% 35.71%
-10.5 100% 0% 35.71%
-8.5 100% 0% 35.71%
-6.5 100% 0% 35.71%
-4.5 100% 0% 35.71%
-2.5 100% 11.11% 42.86%
-0.5 100% 22.22% 50%
0.5 100% 22.22% 50%
2.5 100% 22.22% 50%
4.5 100% 22.22% 50%
6.5 100% 33.33% 57.14%
8.5 100% 44.44% 64.29%
10.5 100% 44.44% 64.29%
12.5 100% 77.78% 85.71%
14.5 100% 77.78% 85.71%
16.5 100% 77.78% 85.71%

Elite League Season 2 Main Event – presented by ESB

12 matches (6 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 25%
-14.5 66.67% 0% 33.33%
-12.5 100% 0% 50%
-10.5 100% 0% 50%
-8.5 100% 0% 50%
-6.5 100% 0% 50%
-4.5 100% 0% 50%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 16.67% 58.33%
6.5 100% 16.67% 58.33%
8.5 100% 16.67% 58.33%
10.5 100% 16.67% 58.33%
12.5 100% 16.67% 58.33%
14.5 100% 33.33% 66.67%
16.5 100% 50% 75%

Riyadh Masters 2024 at Esports World Cup

24 matches (13 wins, 11 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 38.46% 0% 20.83%
-14.5 38.46% 0% 20.83%
-12.5 38.46% 0% 20.83%
-10.5 53.85% 0% 29.17%
-8.5 76.92% 0% 41.67%
-6.5 76.92% 0% 41.67%
-4.5 84.62% 0% 45.83%
-2.5 84.62% 0% 45.83%
-0.5 92.31% 0% 50%
0.5 92.31% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 54.17%
4.5 100% 9.09% 58.33%
6.5 100% 9.09% 58.33%
8.5 100% 9.09% 58.33%
10.5 100% 27.27% 66.67%
12.5 100% 27.27% 66.67%
14.5 100% 36.36% 70.83%
16.5 100% 45.45% 75%

DreamLeague Season 23 powered by Intel

15 matches (6 wins, 9 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 13.33%
-14.5 33.33% 0% 13.33%
-12.5 50% 0% 20%
-10.5 50% 0% 20%
-8.5 50% 0% 20%
-6.5 83.33% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 83.33% 0% 33.33%
-2.5 83.33% 0% 33.33%
-0.5 100% 0% 40%
0.5 100% 0% 40%
2.5 100% 22.22% 53.33%
4.5 100% 22.22% 53.33%
6.5 100% 22.22% 53.33%
8.5 100% 22.22% 53.33%
10.5 100% 44.44% 66.67%
12.5 100% 44.44% 66.67%
14.5 100% 55.56% 73.33%
16.5 100% 77.78% 86.67%

PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 1

6 matches (0 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 0% 0% 0%
-10.5 0% 0% 0%
-8.5 0% 0% 0%
-6.5 0% 0% 0%
-4.5 0% 0% 0%
-2.5 0% 0% 0%
-0.5 0% 0% 0%
0.5 0% 0% 0%
2.5 0% 0% 0%
4.5 0% 0% 0%
6.5 0% 0% 0%
8.5 0% 0% 0%
10.5 0% 16.67% 16.67%
12.5 0% 33.33% 33.33%
14.5 0% 50% 50%
16.5 0% 66.67% 66.67%

ESL One Birmingham 2024 Powered by Intel

16 matches (7 wins, 9 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.86% 0% 18.75%
-14.5 57.14% 0% 25%
-12.5 57.14% 0% 25%
-10.5 57.14% 0% 25%
-8.5 71.43% 0% 31.25%
-6.5 71.43% 11.11% 37.5%
-4.5 85.71% 11.11% 43.75%
-2.5 100% 11.11% 50%
-0.5 100% 11.11% 50%
0.5 100% 11.11% 50%
2.5 100% 11.11% 50%
4.5 100% 11.11% 50%
6.5 100% 11.11% 50%
8.5 100% 11.11% 50%
10.5 100% 33.33% 62.5%
12.5 100% 33.33% 62.5%
14.5 100% 44.44% 68.75%
16.5 100% 44.44% 68.75%

Elite League by FISSURE and ESB

27 matches (11 wins, 16 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 36.36% 0% 14.81%
-14.5 36.36% 0% 14.81%
-12.5 54.55% 0% 22.22%
-10.5 54.55% 0% 22.22%
-8.5 63.64% 0% 25.93%
-6.5 63.64% 0% 25.93%
-4.5 63.64% 0% 25.93%
-2.5 81.82% 0% 33.33%
-0.5 81.82% 0% 33.33%
0.5 81.82% 6.25% 37.04%
2.5 81.82% 6.25% 37.04%
4.5 90.91% 6.25% 40.74%
6.5 90.91% 18.75% 48.15%
8.5 90.91% 25% 51.85%
10.5 100% 31.25% 59.26%
12.5 100% 31.25% 59.26%
14.5 100% 43.75% 66.67%
16.5 100% 43.75% 66.67%

DreamLeague Season 22 powered by Intel

14 matches (6 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 14.29%
-14.5 33.33% 0% 14.29%
-12.5 33.33% 0% 14.29%
-10.5 50% 0% 21.43%
-8.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-6.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
-4.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
-2.5 100% 0% 42.86%
-0.5 100% 0% 42.86%
0.5 100% 0% 42.86%
2.5 100% 0% 42.86%
4.5 100% 0% 42.86%
6.5 100% 0% 42.86%
8.5 100% 0% 42.86%
10.5 100% 0% 42.86%
12.5 100% 0% 42.86%
14.5 100% 0% 42.86%
16.5 100% 0% 42.86%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.39

37 matches (18 wins, 19 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 61.11% 0% 29.73%
-14.5 77.78% 0% 37.84%
-12.5 77.78% 0% 37.84%
-10.5 83.33% 0% 40.54%
-8.5 83.33% 0% 40.54%
-6.5 88.89% 0% 43.24%
-4.5 94.44% 0% 45.95%
-2.5 100% 0% 48.65%
-0.5 100% 0% 48.65%
0.5 100% 5.26% 51.35%
2.5 100% 10.53% 54.05%
4.5 100% 15.79% 56.76%
6.5 100% 21.05% 59.46%
8.5 100% 21.05% 59.46%
10.5 100% 36.84% 67.57%
12.5 100% 42.11% 70.27%
14.5 100% 47.37% 72.97%
16.5 100% 68.42% 83.78%

Patch 7.38

52 matches (18 wins, 34 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 38.89% 0% 13.46%
-14.5 50% 0% 17.31%
-12.5 66.67% 0% 23.08%
-10.5 72.22% 0% 25%
-8.5 88.89% 0% 30.77%
-6.5 88.89% 0% 30.77%
-4.5 88.89% 0% 30.77%
-2.5 94.44% 2.94% 34.62%
-0.5 94.44% 2.94% 34.62%
0.5 94.44% 2.94% 34.62%
2.5 100% 5.88% 38.46%
4.5 100% 5.88% 38.46%
6.5 100% 14.71% 44.23%
8.5 100% 20.59% 48.08%
10.5 100% 32.35% 55.77%
12.5 100% 38.24% 59.62%
14.5 100% 44.12% 63.46%
16.5 100% 52.94% 69.23%

Patch 7.37

82 matches (38 wins, 44 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 52.63% 0% 24.39%
-14.5 68.42% 0% 31.71%
-12.5 73.68% 0% 34.15%
-10.5 73.68% 0% 34.15%
-8.5 81.58% 0% 37.8%
-6.5 84.21% 2.27% 40.24%
-4.5 86.84% 2.27% 41.46%
-2.5 86.84% 4.55% 42.68%
-0.5 97.37% 9.09% 50%
0.5 100% 9.09% 51.22%
2.5 100% 13.64% 53.66%
4.5 100% 15.91% 54.88%
6.5 100% 18.18% 56.1%
8.5 100% 29.55% 62.2%
10.5 100% 29.55% 62.2%
12.5 100% 38.64% 67.07%
14.5 100% 50% 73.17%
16.5 100% 63.64% 80.49%

Patch 7.36

38 matches (19 wins, 19 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.11% 0% 21.05%
-14.5 47.37% 0% 23.68%
-12.5 57.89% 0% 28.95%
-10.5 68.42% 0% 34.21%
-8.5 84.21% 0% 42.11%
-6.5 84.21% 0% 42.11%
-4.5 89.47% 0% 44.74%
-2.5 89.47% 0% 44.74%
-0.5 94.74% 0% 47.37%
0.5 94.74% 0% 47.37%
2.5 100% 10.53% 55.26%
4.5 100% 21.05% 60.53%
6.5 100% 21.05% 60.53%
8.5 100% 21.05% 60.53%
10.5 100% 31.58% 65.79%
12.5 100% 31.58% 65.79%
14.5 100% 42.11% 71.05%
16.5 100% 52.63% 76.32%

Patch 7.35

76 matches (30 wins, 46 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 36.67% 0% 14.47%
-14.5 40% 0% 15.79%
-12.5 50% 0% 19.74%
-10.5 53.33% 0% 21.05%
-8.5 63.33% 0% 25%
-6.5 73.33% 2.17% 30.26%
-4.5 76.67% 2.17% 31.58%
-2.5 90% 2.17% 36.84%
-0.5 93.33% 2.17% 38.16%
0.5 93.33% 4.35% 39.47%
2.5 93.33% 4.35% 39.47%
4.5 96.67% 4.35% 40.79%
6.5 96.67% 8.7% 43.42%
8.5 96.67% 10.87% 44.74%
10.5 100% 23.91% 53.95%
12.5 100% 26.09% 55.26%
14.5 100% 36.96% 61.84%
16.5 100% 43.48% 65.79%

Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)

285
Total Matches
123
Total Wins
162
Total Losses
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total % Matches Covered
-16.5 46.34% 0%
20%
57
-14.5 56.91% 0%
24.56%
70
-12.5 65.04% 0%
28.07%
80
-10.5 69.11% 0%
29.82%
85
-8.5 78.86% 0%
34.04%
97
-6.5 82.93% 1.23%
36.49%
104
-4.5 86.18% 1.23%
37.89%
108
-2.5 91.06% 2.47%
40.7%
116
-0.5 95.93% 3.7%
43.51%
124
0.5 96.75% 4.94%
44.56%
127
2.5 98.37% 8.64%
47.37%
135
4.5 99.19% 11.11%
49.12%
140
6.5 99.19% 15.43%
51.58%
147
8.5 99.19% 20.37%
54.39%
155
10.5 100% 29.63%
60%
171
12.5 100% 34.57%
62.81%
179
14.5 100% 43.83%
68.07%
194
16.5 100% 54.94%
74.39%
212

Summary

285
Total Matches
19
Leagues Analyzed
5
Patches Analyzed