beastcoast - Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 337 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Handicap Analysis by League

ESL One Bangkok 2024 powered by Intel

10 matches (2 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 50% 0% 10%
-10.5 50% 0% 10%
-8.5 100% 0% 20%
-6.5 100% 0% 20%
-4.5 100% 0% 20%
-2.5 100% 0% 20%
-0.5 100% 0% 20%
0.5 100% 0% 20%
2.5 100% 0% 20%
4.5 100% 0% 20%
6.5 100% 0% 20%
8.5 100% 12.5% 30%
10.5 100% 25% 40%
12.5 100% 25% 40%
14.5 100% 25% 40%
16.5 100% 37.5% 50%

PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2

22 matches (12 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 27.27%
-14.5 66.67% 10% 40.91%
-12.5 75% 10% 45.45%
-10.5 91.67% 10% 54.55%
-8.5 91.67% 10% 54.55%
-6.5 100% 10% 59.09%
-4.5 100% 10% 59.09%
-2.5 100% 10% 59.09%
-0.5 100% 10% 59.09%
0.5 100% 10% 59.09%
2.5 100% 10% 59.09%
4.5 100% 10% 59.09%
6.5 100% 10% 59.09%
8.5 100% 10% 59.09%
10.5 100% 20% 63.64%
12.5 100% 30% 68.18%
14.5 100% 50% 77.27%
16.5 100% 60% 81.82%

The International 2024

11 matches (1 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 0% 0% 0%
-10.5 100% 0% 9.09%
-8.5 100% 0% 9.09%
-6.5 100% 0% 9.09%
-4.5 100% 0% 9.09%
-2.5 100% 0% 9.09%
-0.5 100% 0% 9.09%
0.5 100% 0% 9.09%
2.5 100% 0% 9.09%
4.5 100% 0% 9.09%
6.5 100% 10% 18.18%
8.5 100% 10% 18.18%
10.5 100% 20% 27.27%
12.5 100% 20% 27.27%
14.5 100% 20% 27.27%
16.5 100% 30% 36.36%

Elite League Season 2 Main Event – presented by ESB

27 matches (10 wins, 17 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 30% 0% 11.11%
-14.5 30% 0% 11.11%
-12.5 40% 0% 14.81%
-10.5 40% 0% 14.81%
-8.5 70% 5.88% 29.63%
-6.5 70% 5.88% 29.63%
-4.5 80% 5.88% 33.33%
-2.5 90% 11.76% 40.74%
-0.5 90% 11.76% 40.74%
0.5 100% 11.76% 44.44%
2.5 100% 17.65% 48.15%
4.5 100% 23.53% 51.85%
6.5 100% 35.29% 59.26%
8.5 100% 47.06% 66.67%
10.5 100% 52.94% 70.37%
12.5 100% 58.82% 74.07%
14.5 100% 58.82% 74.07%
16.5 100% 58.82% 74.07%

Riyadh Masters 2024 at Esports World Cup

24 matches (9 wins, 15 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 77.78% 0% 29.17%
-14.5 77.78% 0% 29.17%
-12.5 88.89% 0% 33.33%
-10.5 88.89% 0% 33.33%
-8.5 100% 0% 37.5%
-6.5 100% 0% 37.5%
-4.5 100% 0% 37.5%
-2.5 100% 0% 37.5%
-0.5 100% 6.67% 41.67%
0.5 100% 6.67% 41.67%
2.5 100% 13.33% 45.83%
4.5 100% 13.33% 45.83%
6.5 100% 13.33% 45.83%
8.5 100% 13.33% 45.83%
10.5 100% 20% 50%
12.5 100% 20% 50%
14.5 100% 33.33% 58.33%
16.5 100% 46.67% 66.67%

1WIN SERIES DOTA 2

4 matches (1 wins, 3 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 100% 0% 25%
-14.5 100% 0% 25%
-12.5 100% 0% 25%
-10.5 100% 0% 25%
-8.5 100% 0% 25%
-6.5 100% 0% 25%
-4.5 100% 33.33% 50%
-2.5 100% 33.33% 50%
-0.5 100% 33.33% 50%
0.5 100% 33.33% 50%
2.5 100% 33.33% 50%
4.5 100% 33.33% 50%
6.5 100% 66.67% 75%
8.5 100% 66.67% 75%
10.5 100% 66.67% 75%
12.5 100% 66.67% 75%
14.5 100% 66.67% 75%
16.5 100% 66.67% 75%

Games of Future 2024

7 matches (2 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 14.29%
-14.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-12.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-10.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-8.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-6.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-4.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-2.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-0.5 100% 20% 42.86%
0.5 100% 20% 42.86%
2.5 100% 20% 42.86%
4.5 100% 20% 42.86%
6.5 100% 20% 42.86%
8.5 100% 40% 57.14%
10.5 100% 40% 57.14%
12.5 100% 40% 57.14%
14.5 100% 40% 57.14%
16.5 100% 40% 57.14%

The International 2023

8 matches (2 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 12.5%
-14.5 50% 0% 12.5%
-12.5 100% 0% 25%
-10.5 100% 0% 25%
-8.5 100% 0% 25%
-6.5 100% 0% 25%
-4.5 100% 0% 25%
-2.5 100% 0% 25%
-0.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
0.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
2.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
4.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
6.5 100% 33.33% 50%
8.5 100% 33.33% 50%
10.5 100% 33.33% 50%
12.5 100% 33.33% 50%
14.5 100% 33.33% 50%
16.5 100% 33.33% 50%

BetBoom Dacha

14 matches (6 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 14.29%
-14.5 50% 0% 21.43%
-12.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-10.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-8.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-6.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
-4.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
-2.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
-0.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
0.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
2.5 83.33% 12.5% 42.86%
4.5 83.33% 12.5% 42.86%
6.5 83.33% 12.5% 42.86%
8.5 83.33% 25% 50%
10.5 83.33% 37.5% 57.14%
12.5 83.33% 37.5% 57.14%
14.5 100% 50% 71.43%
16.5 100% 62.5% 78.57%

Riyadh Masters 2023 by Gamers8

12 matches (2 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 0% 0% 0%
-10.5 0% 0% 0%
-8.5 0% 0% 0%
-6.5 0% 0% 0%
-4.5 0% 0% 0%
-2.5 50% 0% 8.33%
-0.5 50% 10% 16.67%
0.5 50% 10% 16.67%
2.5 50% 10% 16.67%
4.5 50% 10% 16.67%
6.5 50% 20% 25%
8.5 50% 20% 25%
10.5 50% 40% 41.67%
12.5 50% 40% 41.67%
14.5 50% 50% 50%
16.5 50% 60% 58.33%

The Bali Major

25 matches (14 wins, 11 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 28.57% 0% 16%
-14.5 28.57% 0% 16%
-12.5 35.71% 0% 20%
-10.5 42.86% 0% 24%
-8.5 42.86% 0% 24%
-6.5 42.86% 0% 24%
-4.5 57.14% 0% 32%
-2.5 57.14% 0% 32%
-0.5 71.43% 0% 40%
0.5 85.71% 0% 48%
2.5 85.71% 0% 48%
4.5 92.86% 0% 52%
6.5 92.86% 0% 52%
8.5 100% 18.18% 64%
10.5 100% 18.18% 64%
12.5 100% 27.27% 68%
14.5 100% 54.55% 80%
16.5 100% 63.64% 84%

DreamLeague Season 20 powered by Intel

14 matches (7 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 14.29% 0% 7.14%
-14.5 42.86% 0% 21.43%
-12.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-10.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-8.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-6.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-4.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-2.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-0.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
0.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
2.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
4.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
6.5 85.71% 14.29% 50%
8.5 85.71% 14.29% 50%
10.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
12.5 100% 57.14% 78.57%
14.5 100% 57.14% 78.57%
16.5 100% 57.14% 78.57%

DPC 2023 SA Summer Tour Division I – presented by ESB Liga Esports

18 matches (12 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 22.22%
-14.5 58.33% 0% 38.89%
-12.5 58.33% 0% 38.89%
-10.5 58.33% 0% 38.89%
-8.5 58.33% 0% 38.89%
-6.5 58.33% 0% 38.89%
-4.5 58.33% 0% 38.89%
-2.5 58.33% 0% 38.89%
-0.5 75% 0% 50%
0.5 75% 0% 50%
2.5 75% 16.67% 55.56%
4.5 83.33% 16.67% 61.11%
6.5 83.33% 16.67% 61.11%
8.5 91.67% 16.67% 66.67%
10.5 91.67% 16.67% 66.67%
12.5 91.67% 50% 77.78%
14.5 91.67% 83.33% 88.89%
16.5 91.67% 83.33% 88.89%

ESL One The Berlin Major powered by Intel

16 matches (5 wins, 11 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 40% 0% 12.5%
-14.5 60% 0% 18.75%
-12.5 60% 0% 18.75%
-10.5 80% 0% 25%
-8.5 80% 0% 25%
-6.5 80% 0% 25%
-4.5 80% 0% 25%
-2.5 80% 0% 25%
-0.5 80% 0% 25%
0.5 80% 0% 25%
2.5 100% 0% 31.25%
4.5 100% 0% 31.25%
6.5 100% 0% 31.25%
8.5 100% 9.09% 37.5%
10.5 100% 27.27% 50%
12.5 100% 27.27% 50%
14.5 100% 27.27% 50%
16.5 100% 36.36% 56.25%

DreamLeague Season 19 powered by Intel

30 matches (13 wins, 17 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 46.15% 0% 20%
-14.5 46.15% 0% 20%
-12.5 53.85% 0% 23.33%
-10.5 53.85% 0% 23.33%
-8.5 69.23% 0% 30%
-6.5 69.23% 0% 30%
-4.5 69.23% 0% 30%
-2.5 76.92% 0% 33.33%
-0.5 76.92% 0% 33.33%
0.5 84.62% 0% 36.67%
2.5 84.62% 11.76% 43.33%
4.5 84.62% 11.76% 43.33%
6.5 84.62% 17.65% 46.67%
8.5 84.62% 23.53% 50%
10.5 92.31% 23.53% 53.33%
12.5 92.31% 23.53% 53.33%
14.5 92.31% 23.53% 53.33%
16.5 92.31% 41.18% 63.33%

DPC 2023 SA Spring Tour Division I – presented by ESB Liga Esports

18 matches (14 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 28.57% 0% 22.22%
-14.5 42.86% 0% 33.33%
-12.5 64.29% 0% 50%
-10.5 78.57% 0% 61.11%
-8.5 78.57% 0% 61.11%
-6.5 78.57% 0% 61.11%
-4.5 85.71% 0% 66.67%
-2.5 92.86% 0% 72.22%
-0.5 92.86% 0% 72.22%
0.5 92.86% 0% 72.22%
2.5 92.86% 0% 72.22%
4.5 92.86% 0% 72.22%
6.5 100% 0% 77.78%
8.5 100% 25% 83.33%
10.5 100% 25% 83.33%
12.5 100% 25% 83.33%
14.5 100% 25% 83.33%
16.5 100% 25% 83.33%

Lima Major 2023

21 matches (9 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 44.44% 0% 19.05%
-14.5 44.44% 0% 19.05%
-12.5 44.44% 0% 19.05%
-10.5 44.44% 0% 19.05%
-8.5 55.56% 0% 23.81%
-6.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-4.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-2.5 77.78% 0% 33.33%
-0.5 100% 0% 42.86%
0.5 100% 0% 42.86%
2.5 100% 0% 42.86%
4.5 100% 0% 42.86%
6.5 100% 8.33% 47.62%
8.5 100% 16.67% 52.38%
10.5 100% 16.67% 52.38%
12.5 100% 16.67% 52.38%
14.5 100% 33.33% 61.9%
16.5 100% 33.33% 61.9%

DPC 2023 SA Winter Tour Division I – presented by ESB Liga Esports

15 matches (14 wins, 1 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.86% 0% 40%
-14.5 50% 0% 46.67%
-12.5 64.29% 0% 60%
-10.5 78.57% 0% 73.33%
-8.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
-6.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
-4.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
-2.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
-0.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
0.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
2.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
4.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
6.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
8.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
10.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
12.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
14.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%
16.5 92.86% 0% 86.67%

The International 2022

24 matches (12 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 41.67% 0% 20.83%
-14.5 50% 0% 25%
-12.5 50% 0% 25%
-10.5 58.33% 0% 29.17%
-8.5 58.33% 0% 29.17%
-6.5 75% 0% 37.5%
-4.5 75% 0% 37.5%
-2.5 75% 0% 37.5%
-0.5 83.33% 0% 41.67%
0.5 83.33% 8.33% 45.83%
2.5 91.67% 8.33% 50%
4.5 91.67% 16.67% 54.17%
6.5 91.67% 25% 58.33%
8.5 91.67% 25% 58.33%
10.5 100% 33.33% 66.67%
12.5 100% 33.33% 66.67%
14.5 100% 33.33% 66.67%
16.5 100% 41.67% 70.83%

The International 2021

17 matches (7 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 14.29% 0% 5.88%
-14.5 14.29% 0% 5.88%
-12.5 14.29% 0% 5.88%
-10.5 28.57% 0% 11.76%
-8.5 28.57% 0% 11.76%
-6.5 42.86% 0% 17.65%
-4.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
-2.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
-0.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
0.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
2.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
4.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
6.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
8.5 100% 0% 41.18%
10.5 100% 20% 52.94%
12.5 100% 20% 52.94%
14.5 100% 20% 52.94%
16.5 100% 30% 58.82%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.37

43 matches (15 wins, 28 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 40% 0% 13.95%
-14.5 53.33% 3.57% 20.93%
-12.5 66.67% 3.57% 25.58%
-10.5 86.67% 3.57% 32.56%
-8.5 93.33% 3.57% 34.88%
-6.5 100% 3.57% 37.21%
-4.5 100% 3.57% 37.21%
-2.5 100% 3.57% 37.21%
-0.5 100% 3.57% 37.21%
0.5 100% 3.57% 37.21%
2.5 100% 3.57% 37.21%
4.5 100% 3.57% 37.21%
6.5 100% 7.14% 39.53%
8.5 100% 10.71% 41.86%
10.5 100% 21.43% 48.84%
12.5 100% 25% 51.16%
14.5 100% 32.14% 55.81%
16.5 100% 42.86% 62.79%

Patch 7.36

55 matches (20 wins, 35 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 55% 0% 20%
-14.5 55% 0% 20%
-12.5 65% 0% 23.64%
-10.5 65% 0% 23.64%
-8.5 85% 2.86% 32.73%
-6.5 85% 2.86% 32.73%
-4.5 90% 5.71% 36.36%
-2.5 95% 8.57% 40%
-0.5 95% 11.43% 41.82%
0.5 100% 11.43% 43.64%
2.5 100% 17.14% 47.27%
4.5 100% 20% 49.09%
6.5 100% 28.57% 54.55%
8.5 100% 34.29% 58.18%
10.5 100% 40% 61.82%
12.5 100% 42.86% 63.64%
14.5 100% 48.57% 67.27%
16.5 100% 54.29% 70.91%

Patch 7.35

7 matches (2 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 14.29%
-14.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-12.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-10.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-8.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-6.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-4.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-2.5 100% 0% 28.57%
-0.5 100% 20% 42.86%
0.5 100% 20% 42.86%
2.5 100% 20% 42.86%
4.5 100% 20% 42.86%
6.5 100% 20% 42.86%
8.5 100% 40% 57.14%
10.5 100% 40% 57.14%
12.5 100% 40% 57.14%
14.5 100% 40% 57.14%
16.5 100% 40% 57.14%

Patch 7.34

22 matches (8 wins, 14 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 37.5% 0% 13.64%
-14.5 50% 0% 18.18%
-12.5 75% 0% 27.27%
-10.5 75% 0% 27.27%
-8.5 75% 0% 27.27%
-6.5 87.5% 0% 31.82%
-4.5 87.5% 0% 31.82%
-2.5 87.5% 0% 31.82%
-0.5 87.5% 7.14% 36.36%
0.5 87.5% 7.14% 36.36%
2.5 87.5% 14.29% 40.91%
4.5 87.5% 14.29% 40.91%
6.5 87.5% 21.43% 45.45%
8.5 87.5% 28.57% 50%
10.5 87.5% 35.71% 54.55%
12.5 87.5% 35.71% 54.55%
14.5 100% 42.86% 63.64%
16.5 100% 50% 68.18%

Patch 7.33

85 matches (40 wins, 45 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 27.5% 0% 12.94%
-14.5 42.5% 0% 20%
-12.5 50% 0% 23.53%
-10.5 55% 0% 25.88%
-8.5 55% 0% 25.88%
-6.5 55% 0% 25.88%
-4.5 62.5% 0% 29.41%
-2.5 65% 0% 30.59%
-0.5 75% 2.22% 36.47%
0.5 80% 2.22% 38.82%
2.5 82.5% 4.44% 41.18%
4.5 87.5% 4.44% 43.53%
6.5 87.5% 8.89% 45.88%
8.5 92.5% 15.56% 51.76%
10.5 95% 24.44% 57.65%
12.5 95% 37.78% 64.71%
14.5 95% 51.11% 71.76%
16.5 95% 57.78% 75.29%

Patch 7.32

108 matches (62 wins, 46 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 40.32% 0% 23.15%
-14.5 46.77% 0% 26.85%
-12.5 56.45% 0% 32.41%
-10.5 64.52% 0% 37.04%
-8.5 72.58% 0% 41.67%
-6.5 77.42% 0% 44.44%
-4.5 79.03% 0% 45.37%
-2.5 83.87% 0% 48.15%
-0.5 88.71% 0% 50.93%
0.5 90.32% 2.17% 52.78%
2.5 91.94% 6.52% 55.56%
4.5 91.94% 8.7% 56.48%
6.5 93.55% 15.22% 60.19%
8.5 93.55% 21.74% 62.96%
10.5 96.77% 23.91% 65.74%
12.5 96.77% 23.91% 65.74%
14.5 96.77% 28.26% 67.59%
16.5 96.77% 36.96% 71.3%

Patch 7.30

17 matches (7 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 14.29% 0% 5.88%
-14.5 14.29% 0% 5.88%
-12.5 14.29% 0% 5.88%
-10.5 28.57% 0% 11.76%
-8.5 28.57% 0% 11.76%
-6.5 42.86% 0% 17.65%
-4.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
-2.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
-0.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
0.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
2.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
4.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
6.5 85.71% 0% 35.29%
8.5 100% 0% 41.18%
10.5 100% 20% 52.94%
12.5 100% 20% 52.94%
14.5 100% 20% 52.94%
16.5 100% 30% 58.82%

Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)

337
Total Matches
154
Total Wins
183
Total Losses
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total % Matches Covered
-16.5 37.66% 0%
17.21%
58
-14.5 46.75% 0.55%
21.66%
73
-12.5 56.49% 0.55%
26.11%
88
-10.5 63.64% 0.55%
29.38%
99
-8.5 70.13% 1.09%
32.64%
110
-6.5 74.03% 1.09%
34.42%
116
-4.5 79.22% 1.64%
37.09%
125
-2.5 82.47% 2.19%
38.87%
131
-0.5 87.01% 4.37%
42.14%
142
0.5 89.61% 4.92%
43.62%
147
2.5 90.91% 8.2%
45.99%
155
4.5 92.21% 9.29%
47.18%
159
6.5 92.86% 14.75%
50.45%
170
8.5 94.81% 20.77%
54.6%
184
10.5 96.75% 27.87%
59.35%
200
12.5 96.75% 32.24%
61.72%
208
14.5 97.4% 39.34%
65.88%
222
16.5 97.4% 46.99%
70.03%
236

Summary

337
Total Matches
20
Leagues Analyzed
7
Patches Analyzed