Handicap analysis

Azure Ray Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 257 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5.

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Total Matches

257

Total Wins

127

Total Losses

130

Overall Handicap Summary

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %	Matches Covered
-16.5	32.28%	0%	15.95%	41
-14.5	44.88%	0%	22.18%	57
-12.5	55.12%	0%	27.24%	70
-10.5	61.42%	0%	30.35%	78
-8.5	74.02%	0%	36.58%	94
-6.5	81.89%	0%	40.47%	104
-4.5	83.46%	0%	41.25%	106
-2.5	85.83%	0%	42.41%	109
-0.5	91.34%	1.54%	45.91%	118
0.5	92.13%	1.54%	46.3%	119
2.5	93.7%	2.31%	47.47%	122
4.5	97.64%	3.85%	50.19%	129
6.5	99.21%	6.92%	52.53%	135
8.5	99.21%	12.31%	55.25%	142
10.5	99.21%	22.31%	60.31%	155
12.5	99.21%	35.38%	66.93%	172
14.5	100%	39.23%	69.26%	178
16.5	100%	46.15%	72.76%	187

Handicap Analysis by League

The Bali Major

25 matches • 12 wins • 13 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	16%
-14.5	41.67%	0%	20%
-12.5	58.33%	0%	28%
-10.5	58.33%	0%	28%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	40%
-6.5	100%	0%	48%
-4.5	100%	0%	48%
-2.5	100%	0%	48%
-0.5	100%	0%	48%
0.5	100%	0%	48%
2.5	100%	0%	48%
4.5	100%	0%	48%
6.5	100%	0%	48%
8.5	100%	7.69%	52%
10.5	100%	30.77%	64%
12.5	100%	30.77%	64%
14.5	100%	38.46%	68%
16.5	100%	38.46%	68%

Elite League by FISSURE and ESB

23 matches • 12 wins • 11 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	25%	0%	13.04%
-14.5	41.67%	0%	21.74%
-12.5	50%	0%	26.09%
-10.5	50%	0%	26.09%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	43.48%
-6.5	91.67%	0%	47.83%
-4.5	91.67%	0%	47.83%
-2.5	91.67%	0%	47.83%
-0.5	100%	9.09%	56.52%
0.5	100%	9.09%	56.52%
2.5	100%	9.09%	56.52%
4.5	100%	18.18%	60.87%
6.5	100%	18.18%	60.87%
8.5	100%	27.27%	65.22%
10.5	100%	36.36%	69.57%
12.5	100%	45.45%	73.91%
14.5	100%	45.45%	73.91%
16.5	100%	45.45%	73.91%

ESL One Kuala Lumpur powered by Intel

23 matches • 15 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	21.74%
-14.5	46.67%	0%	30.43%
-12.5	53.33%	0%	34.78%
-10.5	66.67%	0%	43.48%
-8.5	73.33%	0%	47.83%
-6.5	73.33%	0%	47.83%
-4.5	80%	0%	52.17%
-2.5	80%	0%	52.17%
-0.5	86.67%	0%	56.52%
0.5	86.67%	0%	56.52%
2.5	86.67%	0%	56.52%
4.5	100%	0%	65.22%
6.5	100%	12.5%	69.57%
8.5	100%	12.5%	69.57%
10.5	100%	12.5%	69.57%
12.5	100%	25%	73.91%
14.5	100%	25%	73.91%
16.5	100%	25%	73.91%

The International 2023

20 matches • 11 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	36.36%	0%	20%
-14.5	36.36%	0%	20%
-12.5	45.45%	0%	25%
-10.5	54.55%	0%	30%
-8.5	63.64%	0%	35%
-6.5	72.73%	0%	40%
-4.5	72.73%	0%	40%
-2.5	81.82%	0%	45%
-0.5	81.82%	0%	45%
0.5	81.82%	0%	45%
2.5	90.91%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	0%	55%
6.5	100%	0%	55%
8.5	100%	0%	55%
10.5	100%	22.22%	65%
12.5	100%	22.22%	65%
14.5	100%	22.22%	65%
16.5	100%	22.22%	65%

BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024

19 matches • 10 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	30%	0%	15.79%
-14.5	50%	0%	26.32%
-12.5	50%	0%	26.32%
-10.5	70%	0%	36.84%
-8.5	90%	0%	47.37%
-6.5	90%	0%	47.37%
-4.5	90%	0%	47.37%
-2.5	90%	0%	47.37%
-0.5	90%	0%	47.37%
0.5	90%	0%	47.37%
2.5	90%	0%	47.37%
4.5	90%	0%	47.37%
6.5	100%	11.11%	57.89%
8.5	100%	11.11%	57.89%
10.5	100%	11.11%	57.89%
12.5	100%	33.33%	68.42%
14.5	100%	33.33%	68.42%
16.5	100%	44.44%	73.68%

DPC 2023 CN Summer Tour Division I - presented by Perfect World Esports

19 matches • 11 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	18.18%	0%	10.53%
-14.5	36.36%	0%	21.05%
-12.5	54.55%	0%	31.58%
-10.5	54.55%	0%	31.58%
-8.5	63.64%	0%	36.84%
-6.5	63.64%	0%	36.84%
-4.5	72.73%	0%	42.11%
-2.5	81.82%	0%	47.37%
-0.5	90.91%	0%	52.63%
0.5	90.91%	0%	52.63%
2.5	90.91%	0%	52.63%
4.5	90.91%	0%	52.63%
6.5	90.91%	0%	52.63%
8.5	90.91%	0%	52.63%
10.5	90.91%	0%	52.63%
12.5	90.91%	25%	63.16%
14.5	100%	25%	68.42%
16.5	100%	25%	68.42%

Clavision DOTA League S1 : Snow-Ruyi

15 matches • 7 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	42.86%	0%	20%
-14.5	57.14%	0%	26.67%
-12.5	71.43%	0%	33.33%
-10.5	85.71%	0%	40%
-8.5	85.71%	0%	40%
-6.5	85.71%	0%	40%
-4.5	85.71%	0%	40%
-2.5	85.71%	0%	40%
-0.5	100%	0%	46.67%
0.5	100%	0%	46.67%
2.5	100%	12.5%	53.33%
4.5	100%	12.5%	53.33%
6.5	100%	12.5%	53.33%
8.5	100%	25%	60%
10.5	100%	50%	73.33%
12.5	100%	75%	86.67%
14.5	100%	75%	86.67%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

DreamLeague Season 23 powered by Intel

15 matches • 7 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	14.29%	0%	6.67%
-12.5	28.57%	0%	13.33%
-10.5	28.57%	0%	13.33%
-8.5	42.86%	0%	20%
-6.5	71.43%	0%	33.33%
-4.5	71.43%	0%	33.33%
-2.5	71.43%	0%	33.33%
-0.5	100%	0%	46.67%
0.5	100%	0%	46.67%
2.5	100%	0%	46.67%
4.5	100%	0%	46.67%
6.5	100%	0%	46.67%
8.5	100%	0%	46.67%
10.5	100%	0%	46.67%
12.5	100%	0%	46.67%
14.5	100%	12.5%	53.33%
16.5	100%	25%	60%

DPC 2023 CN Spring Tour Division I - presented by Perfect World Esports

15 matches • 6 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	13.33%
-14.5	33.33%	0%	13.33%
-12.5	33.33%	0%	13.33%
-10.5	33.33%	0%	13.33%
-8.5	33.33%	0%	13.33%
-6.5	50%	0%	20%
-4.5	50%	0%	20%
-2.5	50%	0%	20%
-0.5	50%	0%	20%
0.5	66.67%	0%	26.67%
2.5	66.67%	0%	26.67%
4.5	83.33%	0%	33.33%
6.5	100%	22.22%	53.33%
8.5	100%	33.33%	60%
10.5	100%	33.33%	60%
12.5	100%	33.33%	60%
14.5	100%	33.33%	60%
16.5	100%	44.44%	66.67%

DPC 2023 CN Winter Tour Division II - presented by Perfect World Esports

15 matches • 14 wins • 1 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	46.67%
-14.5	71.43%	0%	66.67%
-12.5	85.71%	0%	80%
-10.5	85.71%	0%	80%
-8.5	92.86%	0%	86.67%
-6.5	100%	0%	93.33%
-4.5	100%	0%	93.33%
-2.5	100%	0%	93.33%
-0.5	100%	0%	93.33%
0.5	100%	0%	93.33%
2.5	100%	0%	93.33%
4.5	100%	0%	93.33%
6.5	100%	0%	93.33%
8.5	100%	0%	93.33%
10.5	100%	0%	93.33%
12.5	100%	0%	93.33%
14.5	100%	0%	93.33%
16.5	100%	0%	93.33%

DreamLeague Season 24 powered by Intel

14 matches • 5 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	40%	0%	14.29%
-14.5	60%	0%	21.43%
-12.5	60%	0%	21.43%
-10.5	60%	0%	21.43%
-8.5	60%	0%	21.43%
-6.5	60%	0%	21.43%
-4.5	60%	0%	21.43%
-2.5	60%	0%	21.43%
-0.5	80%	11.11%	35.71%
0.5	80%	11.11%	35.71%
2.5	80%	11.11%	35.71%
4.5	100%	22.22%	50%
6.5	100%	22.22%	50%
8.5	100%	33.33%	57.14%
10.5	100%	55.56%	71.43%
12.5	100%	55.56%	71.43%
14.5	100%	55.56%	71.43%
16.5	100%	66.67%	78.57%

DreamLeague Season 22 powered by Intel

14 matches • 6 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	21.43%
-14.5	50%	0%	21.43%
-12.5	50%	0%	21.43%
-10.5	50%	0%	21.43%
-8.5	66.67%	0%	28.57%
-6.5	100%	0%	42.86%
-4.5	100%	0%	42.86%
-2.5	100%	0%	42.86%
-0.5	100%	0%	42.86%
0.5	100%	0%	42.86%
2.5	100%	0%	42.86%
4.5	100%	0%	42.86%
6.5	100%	0%	42.86%
8.5	100%	12.5%	50%
10.5	100%	25%	57.14%
12.5	100%	62.5%	78.57%
14.5	100%	75%	85.71%
16.5	100%	87.5%	92.86%

PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2

12 matches • 4 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-14.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-12.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-10.5	75%	0%	25%
-8.5	100%	0%	33.33%
-6.5	100%	0%	33.33%
-4.5	100%	0%	33.33%
-2.5	100%	0%	33.33%
-0.5	100%	0%	33.33%
0.5	100%	0%	33.33%
2.5	100%	0%	33.33%
4.5	100%	0%	33.33%
6.5	100%	0%	33.33%
8.5	100%	12.5%	41.67%
10.5	100%	12.5%	41.67%
12.5	100%	50%	66.67%
14.5	100%	62.5%	75%
16.5	100%	62.5%	75%

Riyadh Masters 2024 at Esports World Cup

10 matches • 1 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	0%	0%	0%
-10.5	0%	0%	0%
-8.5	0%	0%	0%
-6.5	0%	0%	0%
-4.5	0%	0%	0%
-2.5	0%	0%	0%
-0.5	0%	0%	0%
0.5	0%	0%	0%
2.5	100%	0%	10%
4.5	100%	0%	10%
6.5	100%	0%	10%
8.5	100%	0%	10%
10.5	100%	22.22%	30%
12.5	100%	33.33%	40%
14.5	100%	44.44%	50%
16.5	100%	44.44%	50%

Games of Future 2024

10 matches • 4 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	50%	0%	20%
-10.5	75%	0%	30%
-8.5	75%	0%	30%
-6.5	75%	0%	30%
-4.5	75%	0%	30%
-2.5	100%	0%	40%
-0.5	100%	0%	40%
0.5	100%	0%	40%
2.5	100%	0%	40%
4.5	100%	0%	40%
6.5	100%	0%	40%
8.5	100%	0%	40%
10.5	100%	0%	40%
12.5	100%	16.67%	50%
14.5	100%	16.67%	50%
16.5	100%	33.33%	60%

PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 1

8 matches • 2 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	12.5%
-14.5	100%	0%	25%
-12.5	100%	0%	25%
-10.5	100%	0%	25%
-8.5	100%	0%	25%
-6.5	100%	0%	25%
-4.5	100%	0%	25%
-2.5	100%	0%	25%
-0.5	100%	0%	25%
0.5	100%	0%	25%
2.5	100%	0%	25%
4.5	100%	0%	25%
6.5	100%	0%	25%
8.5	100%	0%	25%
10.5	100%	0%	25%
12.5	100%	16.67%	37.5%
14.5	100%	16.67%	37.5%
16.5	100%	33.33%	50%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.35

84 matches • 38 wins • 46 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	26.32%	0%	11.9%
-14.5	42.11%	0%	19.05%
-12.5	52.63%	0%	23.81%
-10.5	60.53%	0%	27.38%
-8.5	81.58%	0%	36.9%
-6.5	92.11%	0%	41.67%
-4.5	92.11%	0%	41.67%
-2.5	94.74%	0%	42.86%
-0.5	97.37%	2.17%	45.24%
0.5	97.37%	2.17%	45.24%
2.5	97.37%	2.17%	45.24%
4.5	97.37%	4.35%	46.43%
6.5	100%	6.52%	48.81%
8.5	100%	10.87%	51.19%
10.5	100%	15.22%	53.57%
12.5	100%	32.61%	63.1%
14.5	100%	36.96%	65.48%
16.5	100%	45.65%	70.24%

Patch 7.33

44 matches • 23 wins • 21 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	26.09%	0%	13.64%
-14.5	39.13%	0%	20.45%
-12.5	56.52%	0%	29.55%
-10.5	56.52%	0%	29.55%
-8.5	73.91%	0%	38.64%
-6.5	82.61%	0%	43.18%
-4.5	86.96%	0%	45.45%
-2.5	91.3%	0%	47.73%
-0.5	95.65%	0%	50%
0.5	95.65%	0%	50%
2.5	95.65%	0%	50%
4.5	95.65%	0%	50%
6.5	95.65%	0%	50%
8.5	95.65%	4.76%	52.27%
10.5	95.65%	19.05%	59.09%
12.5	95.65%	28.57%	63.64%
14.5	100%	33.33%	68.18%
16.5	100%	33.33%	68.18%

Patch 7.34

43 matches • 26 wins • 17 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	34.62%	0%	20.93%
-14.5	42.31%	0%	25.58%
-12.5	50%	0%	30.23%
-10.5	61.54%	0%	37.21%
-8.5	69.23%	0%	41.86%
-6.5	73.08%	0%	44.19%
-4.5	76.92%	0%	46.51%
-2.5	80.77%	0%	48.84%
-0.5	84.62%	0%	51.16%
0.5	84.62%	0%	51.16%
2.5	88.46%	0%	53.49%
4.5	100%	0%	60.47%
6.5	100%	5.88%	62.79%
8.5	100%	5.88%	62.79%
10.5	100%	17.65%	67.44%
12.5	100%	23.53%	69.77%
14.5	100%	23.53%	69.77%
16.5	100%	23.53%	69.77%

Patch 7.36

30 matches • 11 wins • 19 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	27.27%	0%	10%
-14.5	36.36%	0%	13.33%
-12.5	45.45%	0%	16.67%
-10.5	54.55%	0%	20%
-8.5	54.55%	0%	20%
-6.5	63.64%	0%	23.33%
-4.5	63.64%	0%	23.33%
-2.5	63.64%	0%	23.33%
-0.5	90.91%	0%	33.33%
0.5	90.91%	0%	33.33%
2.5	100%	5.26%	40%
4.5	100%	5.26%	40%
6.5	100%	5.26%	40%
8.5	100%	10.53%	43.33%
10.5	100%	31.58%	56.67%
12.5	100%	47.37%	66.67%
14.5	100%	52.63%	70%
16.5	100%	68.42%	80%

Patch 7.32

30 matches • 20 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	45%	0%	30%
-14.5	60%	0%	40%
-12.5	70%	0%	46.67%
-10.5	70%	0%	46.67%
-8.5	75%	0%	50%
-6.5	85%	0%	56.67%
-4.5	85%	0%	56.67%
-2.5	85%	0%	56.67%
-0.5	85%	0%	56.67%
0.5	90%	0%	60%
2.5	90%	0%	60%
4.5	95%	0%	63.33%
6.5	100%	20%	73.33%
8.5	100%	30%	76.67%
10.5	100%	30%	76.67%
12.5	100%	30%	76.67%
14.5	100%	30%	76.67%
16.5	100%	40%	80%

Patch 7.37

26 matches • 9 wins • 17 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	44.44%	0%	15.38%
-14.5	55.56%	0%	19.23%
-12.5	55.56%	0%	19.23%
-10.5	66.67%	0%	23.08%
-8.5	77.78%	0%	26.92%
-6.5	77.78%	0%	26.92%
-4.5	77.78%	0%	26.92%
-2.5	77.78%	0%	26.92%
-0.5	88.89%	5.88%	34.62%
0.5	88.89%	5.88%	34.62%
2.5	88.89%	5.88%	34.62%
4.5	100%	11.76%	42.31%
6.5	100%	11.76%	42.31%
8.5	100%	23.53%	50%
10.5	100%	35.29%	57.69%
12.5	100%	52.94%	69.23%
14.5	100%	58.82%	73.08%
16.5	100%	64.71%	76.92%