AVULUS - Handicap Analysis
Analyzing 143 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5
How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.
Handicap Analysis by League
FISSURE Universe Episode 5
26 matches
(14 wins,
12 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 50% | 0% | 26.92% |
-14.5 | 57.14% | 0% | 30.77% |
-12.5 | 57.14% | 0% | 30.77% |
-10.5 | 57.14% | 0% | 30.77% |
-8.5 | 64.29% | 0% | 34.62% |
-6.5 | 64.29% | 0% | 34.62% |
-4.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 38.46% |
-2.5 | 85.71% | 0% | 46.15% |
-0.5 | 85.71% | 0% | 46.15% |
0.5 | 85.71% | 0% | 46.15% |
2.5 | 92.86% | 0% | 50% |
4.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.85% |
6.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.85% |
8.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.85% |
10.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.85% |
12.5 | 100% | 8.33% | 57.69% |
14.5 | 100% | 25% | 65.38% |
16.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 69.23% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5
6 matches
(0 wins,
6 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-14.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-12.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-8.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-0.5 | 0% | 16.67% | 16.67% |
0.5 | 0% | 16.67% | 16.67% |
2.5 | 0% | 16.67% | 16.67% |
4.5 | 0% | 16.67% | 16.67% |
6.5 | 0% | 33.33% | 33.33% |
8.5 | 0% | 33.33% | 33.33% |
10.5 | 0% | 33.33% | 33.33% |
12.5 | 0% | 66.67% | 66.67% |
14.5 | 0% | 66.67% | 66.67% |
16.5 | 0% | 100% | 100% |
DreamLeague Season 26
14 matches
(4 wins,
10 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-14.5 | 25% | 0% | 7.14% |
-12.5 | 50% | 0% | 14.29% |
-10.5 | 75% | 0% | 21.43% |
-8.5 | 75% | 0% | 21.43% |
-6.5 | 75% | 10% | 28.57% |
-4.5 | 75% | 10% | 28.57% |
-2.5 | 75% | 10% | 28.57% |
-0.5 | 75% | 10% | 28.57% |
0.5 | 75% | 10% | 28.57% |
2.5 | 75% | 20% | 35.71% |
4.5 | 75% | 30% | 42.86% |
6.5 | 75% | 30% | 42.86% |
8.5 | 100% | 30% | 50% |
10.5 | 100% | 50% | 64.29% |
12.5 | 100% | 50% | 64.29% |
14.5 | 100% | 50% | 64.29% |
16.5 | 100% | 70% | 78.57% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4
8 matches
(2 wins,
6 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 50% | 0% | 12.5% |
-14.5 | 50% | 0% | 12.5% |
-12.5 | 50% | 0% | 12.5% |
-10.5 | 50% | 0% | 12.5% |
-8.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% |
-6.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% |
-4.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% |
-2.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% |
-0.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% |
0.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% |
2.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% |
4.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 37.5% |
6.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 37.5% |
8.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 37.5% |
10.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 37.5% |
12.5 | 100% | 16.67% | 37.5% |
14.5 | 100% | 50% | 62.5% |
16.5 | 100% | 50% | 62.5% |
ESL One Raleigh 2025
12 matches
(5 wins,
7 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 60% | 0% | 25% |
-14.5 | 60% | 0% | 25% |
-12.5 | 80% | 0% | 33.33% |
-10.5 | 80% | 0% | 33.33% |
-8.5 | 80% | 0% | 33.33% |
-6.5 | 80% | 0% | 33.33% |
-4.5 | 100% | 0% | 41.67% |
-2.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 50% |
-0.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 50% |
0.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 50% |
2.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 50% |
4.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 50% |
6.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 58.33% |
8.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 58.33% |
10.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 58.33% |
12.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 58.33% |
14.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 58.33% |
16.5 | 100% | 42.86% | 66.67% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3
9 matches
(2 wins,
7 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-14.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-12.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-8.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-6.5 | 50% | 0% | 11.11% |
-4.5 | 50% | 0% | 11.11% |
-2.5 | 50% | 0% | 11.11% |
-0.5 | 50% | 0% | 11.11% |
0.5 | 50% | 0% | 11.11% |
2.5 | 50% | 0% | 11.11% |
4.5 | 50% | 0% | 11.11% |
6.5 | 100% | 0% | 22.22% |
8.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 44.44% |
10.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 44.44% |
12.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 44.44% |
14.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 44.44% |
16.5 | 100% | 42.86% | 55.56% |
DreamLeague Season 25 powered by Intel
14 matches
(2 wins,
12 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-14.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-12.5 | 50% | 0% | 7.14% |
-10.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
-8.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
-6.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
-4.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
-2.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
-0.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
0.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
2.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
4.5 | 100% | 0% | 14.29% |
6.5 | 100% | 8.33% | 21.43% |
8.5 | 100% | 8.33% | 21.43% |
10.5 | 100% | 8.33% | 21.43% |
12.5 | 100% | 8.33% | 21.43% |
14.5 | 100% | 8.33% | 21.43% |
16.5 | 100% | 8.33% | 21.43% |
FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota
10 matches
(5 wins,
5 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
-14.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
-12.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
-10.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
-8.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
-6.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
-4.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
-2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
-0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
4.5 | 100% | 20% | 60% |
6.5 | 100% | 20% | 60% |
8.5 | 100% | 40% | 70% |
10.5 | 100% | 40% | 70% |
12.5 | 100% | 40% | 70% |
14.5 | 100% | 40% | 70% |
16.5 | 100% | 40% | 70% |
ESL One Bangkok 2024 powered by Intel
15 matches
(7 wins,
8 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
-14.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
-12.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
-10.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
-8.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
-6.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
-4.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
-2.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
-0.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
0.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 33.33% |
2.5 | 71.43% | 12.5% | 40% |
4.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 53.33% |
6.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 53.33% |
8.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 53.33% |
10.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 53.33% |
12.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 53.33% |
14.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 53.33% |
16.5 | 100% | 25% | 60% |
DreamLeague Season 24 powered by Intel
14 matches
(6 wins,
8 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
-14.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 14.29% |
-12.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 14.29% |
-10.5 | 50% | 0% | 21.43% |
-8.5 | 50% | 0% | 21.43% |
-6.5 | 50% | 0% | 21.43% |
-4.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 28.57% |
-2.5 | 83.33% | 0% | 35.71% |
-0.5 | 83.33% | 0% | 35.71% |
0.5 | 83.33% | 0% | 35.71% |
2.5 | 83.33% | 0% | 35.71% |
4.5 | 100% | 0% | 42.86% |
6.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 50% |
8.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 50% |
10.5 | 100% | 12.5% | 50% |
12.5 | 100% | 25% | 57.14% |
14.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 64.29% |
16.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 64.29% |
PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2
15 matches
(8 wins,
7 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 37.5% | 0% | 20% |
-14.5 | 37.5% | 0% | 20% |
-12.5 | 50% | 0% | 26.67% |
-10.5 | 75% | 0% | 40% |
-8.5 | 75% | 0% | 40% |
-6.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 46.67% |
-4.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
-2.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
-0.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
0.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
2.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
4.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
6.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
8.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
10.5 | 100% | 0% | 53.33% |
12.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 66.67% |
14.5 | 100% | 42.86% | 73.33% |
16.5 | 100% | 42.86% | 73.33% |
Handicap Analysis by Patch
Patch 7.39
14 matches
(3 wins,
11 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 14.29% |
-14.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 14.29% |
-12.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 14.29% |
-10.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 14.29% |
-8.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 14.29% |
-6.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 14.29% |
-4.5 | 100% | 0% | 21.43% |
-2.5 | 100% | 0% | 21.43% |
-0.5 | 100% | 9.09% | 28.57% |
0.5 | 100% | 9.09% | 28.57% |
2.5 | 100% | 9.09% | 28.57% |
4.5 | 100% | 9.09% | 28.57% |
6.5 | 100% | 18.18% | 35.71% |
8.5 | 100% | 18.18% | 35.71% |
10.5 | 100% | 18.18% | 35.71% |
12.5 | 100% | 36.36% | 50% |
14.5 | 100% | 36.36% | 50% |
16.5 | 100% | 54.55% | 64.29% |
Patch 7.38
63 matches
(24 wins,
39 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 37.5% | 0% | 14.29% |
-14.5 | 45.83% | 0% | 17.46% |
-12.5 | 54.17% | 0% | 20.63% |
-10.5 | 58.33% | 0% | 22.22% |
-8.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 25.4% |
-6.5 | 70.83% | 2.56% | 28.57% |
-4.5 | 75% | 2.56% | 30.16% |
-2.5 | 83.33% | 5.13% | 34.92% |
-0.5 | 83.33% | 5.13% | 34.92% |
0.5 | 83.33% | 5.13% | 34.92% |
2.5 | 87.5% | 7.69% | 38.1% |
4.5 | 91.67% | 12.82% | 42.86% |
6.5 | 95.83% | 15.38% | 46.03% |
8.5 | 100% | 20.51% | 50.79% |
10.5 | 100% | 25.64% | 53.97% |
12.5 | 100% | 28.21% | 55.56% |
14.5 | 100% | 38.46% | 61.9% |
16.5 | 100% | 51.28% | 69.84% |
Patch 7.37
66 matches
(28 wins,
38 losses)
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 46.43% | 0% | 19.7% |
-14.5 | 53.57% | 0% | 22.73% |
-12.5 | 60.71% | 0% | 25.76% |
-10.5 | 75% | 0% | 31.82% |
-8.5 | 75% | 0% | 31.82% |
-6.5 | 78.57% | 0% | 33.33% |
-4.5 | 85.71% | 0% | 36.36% |
-2.5 | 89.29% | 0% | 37.88% |
-0.5 | 89.29% | 0% | 37.88% |
0.5 | 89.29% | 0% | 37.88% |
2.5 | 89.29% | 2.63% | 39.39% |
4.5 | 100% | 5.26% | 45.45% |
6.5 | 100% | 10.53% | 48.48% |
8.5 | 100% | 13.16% | 50% |
10.5 | 100% | 13.16% | 50% |
12.5 | 100% | 21.05% | 54.55% |
14.5 | 100% | 26.32% | 57.58% |
16.5 | 100% | 28.95% | 59.09% |
Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)
143
Total Matches
55
Total Wins
88
Total Losses
Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % | Matches Covered |
---|---|---|---|---|
-16.5 | 43.64% | 0% |
16.78%
|
24 |
-14.5 | 50.91% | 0% |
19.58%
|
28 |
-12.5 | 58.18% | 0% |
22.38%
|
32 |
-10.5 | 67.27% | 0% |
25.87%
|
37 |
-8.5 | 70.91% | 0% |
27.27%
|
39 |
-6.5 | 74.55% | 1.14% |
29.37%
|
42 |
-4.5 | 81.82% | 1.14% |
32.17%
|
46 |
-2.5 | 87.27% | 2.27% |
34.97%
|
50 |
-0.5 | 87.27% | 3.41% |
35.66%
|
51 |
0.5 | 87.27% | 3.41% |
35.66%
|
51 |
2.5 | 89.09% | 5.68% |
37.76%
|
54 |
4.5 | 96.36% | 9.09% |
42.66%
|
61 |
6.5 | 98.18% | 13.64% |
46.15%
|
66 |
8.5 | 100% | 17.05% |
48.95%
|
70 |
10.5 | 100% | 19.32% |
50.35%
|
72 |
12.5 | 100% | 26.14% |
54.55%
|
78 |
14.5 | 100% | 32.95% |
58.74%
|
84 |
16.5 | 100% | 42.05% |
64.34%
|
92 |
Summary
143
Total Matches
11
Leagues Analyzed
3
Patches Analyzed