AVULUS - Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 143 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Handicap Analysis by League

FISSURE Universe Episode 5

26 matches (14 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 26.92%
-14.5 57.14% 0% 30.77%
-12.5 57.14% 0% 30.77%
-10.5 57.14% 0% 30.77%
-8.5 64.29% 0% 34.62%
-6.5 64.29% 0% 34.62%
-4.5 71.43% 0% 38.46%
-2.5 85.71% 0% 46.15%
-0.5 85.71% 0% 46.15%
0.5 85.71% 0% 46.15%
2.5 92.86% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 0% 53.85%
6.5 100% 0% 53.85%
8.5 100% 0% 53.85%
10.5 100% 0% 53.85%
12.5 100% 8.33% 57.69%
14.5 100% 25% 65.38%
16.5 100% 33.33% 69.23%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

6 matches (0 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 0% 0% 0%
-10.5 0% 0% 0%
-8.5 0% 0% 0%
-6.5 0% 0% 0%
-4.5 0% 0% 0%
-2.5 0% 0% 0%
-0.5 0% 16.67% 16.67%
0.5 0% 16.67% 16.67%
2.5 0% 16.67% 16.67%
4.5 0% 16.67% 16.67%
6.5 0% 33.33% 33.33%
8.5 0% 33.33% 33.33%
10.5 0% 33.33% 33.33%
12.5 0% 66.67% 66.67%
14.5 0% 66.67% 66.67%
16.5 0% 100% 100%

DreamLeague Season 26

14 matches (4 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 25% 0% 7.14%
-12.5 50% 0% 14.29%
-10.5 75% 0% 21.43%
-8.5 75% 0% 21.43%
-6.5 75% 10% 28.57%
-4.5 75% 10% 28.57%
-2.5 75% 10% 28.57%
-0.5 75% 10% 28.57%
0.5 75% 10% 28.57%
2.5 75% 20% 35.71%
4.5 75% 30% 42.86%
6.5 75% 30% 42.86%
8.5 100% 30% 50%
10.5 100% 50% 64.29%
12.5 100% 50% 64.29%
14.5 100% 50% 64.29%
16.5 100% 70% 78.57%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

8 matches (2 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 12.5%
-14.5 50% 0% 12.5%
-12.5 50% 0% 12.5%
-10.5 50% 0% 12.5%
-8.5 100% 0% 25%
-6.5 100% 0% 25%
-4.5 100% 0% 25%
-2.5 100% 0% 25%
-0.5 100% 0% 25%
0.5 100% 0% 25%
2.5 100% 0% 25%
4.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
6.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
8.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
10.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
12.5 100% 16.67% 37.5%
14.5 100% 50% 62.5%
16.5 100% 50% 62.5%

ESL One Raleigh 2025

12 matches (5 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 60% 0% 25%
-14.5 60% 0% 25%
-12.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-10.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-8.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-6.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 100% 0% 41.67%
-2.5 100% 14.29% 50%
-0.5 100% 14.29% 50%
0.5 100% 14.29% 50%
2.5 100% 14.29% 50%
4.5 100% 14.29% 50%
6.5 100% 28.57% 58.33%
8.5 100% 28.57% 58.33%
10.5 100% 28.57% 58.33%
12.5 100% 28.57% 58.33%
14.5 100% 28.57% 58.33%
16.5 100% 42.86% 66.67%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

9 matches (2 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 0% 0% 0%
-10.5 0% 0% 0%
-8.5 0% 0% 0%
-6.5 50% 0% 11.11%
-4.5 50% 0% 11.11%
-2.5 50% 0% 11.11%
-0.5 50% 0% 11.11%
0.5 50% 0% 11.11%
2.5 50% 0% 11.11%
4.5 50% 0% 11.11%
6.5 100% 0% 22.22%
8.5 100% 28.57% 44.44%
10.5 100% 28.57% 44.44%
12.5 100% 28.57% 44.44%
14.5 100% 28.57% 44.44%
16.5 100% 42.86% 55.56%

DreamLeague Season 25 powered by Intel

14 matches (2 wins, 12 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 50% 0% 7.14%
-10.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-8.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-6.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-4.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-2.5 100% 0% 14.29%
-0.5 100% 0% 14.29%
0.5 100% 0% 14.29%
2.5 100% 0% 14.29%
4.5 100% 0% 14.29%
6.5 100% 8.33% 21.43%
8.5 100% 8.33% 21.43%
10.5 100% 8.33% 21.43%
12.5 100% 8.33% 21.43%
14.5 100% 8.33% 21.43%
16.5 100% 8.33% 21.43%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota

10 matches (5 wins, 5 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 100% 0% 50%
-14.5 100% 0% 50%
-12.5 100% 0% 50%
-10.5 100% 0% 50%
-8.5 100% 0% 50%
-6.5 100% 0% 50%
-4.5 100% 0% 50%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 20% 60%
6.5 100% 20% 60%
8.5 100% 40% 70%
10.5 100% 40% 70%
12.5 100% 40% 70%
14.5 100% 40% 70%
16.5 100% 40% 70%

ESL One Bangkok 2024 powered by Intel

15 matches (7 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
-14.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
-12.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
-10.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
-8.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
-6.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
-2.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
-0.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
0.5 71.43% 0% 33.33%
2.5 71.43% 12.5% 40%
4.5 100% 12.5% 53.33%
6.5 100% 12.5% 53.33%
8.5 100% 12.5% 53.33%
10.5 100% 12.5% 53.33%
12.5 100% 12.5% 53.33%
14.5 100% 12.5% 53.33%
16.5 100% 25% 60%

DreamLeague Season 24 powered by Intel

14 matches (6 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 33.33% 0% 14.29%
-12.5 33.33% 0% 14.29%
-10.5 50% 0% 21.43%
-8.5 50% 0% 21.43%
-6.5 50% 0% 21.43%
-4.5 66.67% 0% 28.57%
-2.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
-0.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
0.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
2.5 83.33% 0% 35.71%
4.5 100% 0% 42.86%
6.5 100% 12.5% 50%
8.5 100% 12.5% 50%
10.5 100% 12.5% 50%
12.5 100% 25% 57.14%
14.5 100% 37.5% 64.29%
16.5 100% 37.5% 64.29%

PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2

15 matches (8 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 37.5% 0% 20%
-14.5 37.5% 0% 20%
-12.5 50% 0% 26.67%
-10.5 75% 0% 40%
-8.5 75% 0% 40%
-6.5 87.5% 0% 46.67%
-4.5 100% 0% 53.33%
-2.5 100% 0% 53.33%
-0.5 100% 0% 53.33%
0.5 100% 0% 53.33%
2.5 100% 0% 53.33%
4.5 100% 0% 53.33%
6.5 100% 0% 53.33%
8.5 100% 0% 53.33%
10.5 100% 0% 53.33%
12.5 100% 28.57% 66.67%
14.5 100% 42.86% 73.33%
16.5 100% 42.86% 73.33%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.39

14 matches (3 wins, 11 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-14.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-12.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-10.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-8.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-6.5 66.67% 0% 14.29%
-4.5 100% 0% 21.43%
-2.5 100% 0% 21.43%
-0.5 100% 9.09% 28.57%
0.5 100% 9.09% 28.57%
2.5 100% 9.09% 28.57%
4.5 100% 9.09% 28.57%
6.5 100% 18.18% 35.71%
8.5 100% 18.18% 35.71%
10.5 100% 18.18% 35.71%
12.5 100% 36.36% 50%
14.5 100% 36.36% 50%
16.5 100% 54.55% 64.29%

Patch 7.38

63 matches (24 wins, 39 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 37.5% 0% 14.29%
-14.5 45.83% 0% 17.46%
-12.5 54.17% 0% 20.63%
-10.5 58.33% 0% 22.22%
-8.5 66.67% 0% 25.4%
-6.5 70.83% 2.56% 28.57%
-4.5 75% 2.56% 30.16%
-2.5 83.33% 5.13% 34.92%
-0.5 83.33% 5.13% 34.92%
0.5 83.33% 5.13% 34.92%
2.5 87.5% 7.69% 38.1%
4.5 91.67% 12.82% 42.86%
6.5 95.83% 15.38% 46.03%
8.5 100% 20.51% 50.79%
10.5 100% 25.64% 53.97%
12.5 100% 28.21% 55.56%
14.5 100% 38.46% 61.9%
16.5 100% 51.28% 69.84%

Patch 7.37

66 matches (28 wins, 38 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 46.43% 0% 19.7%
-14.5 53.57% 0% 22.73%
-12.5 60.71% 0% 25.76%
-10.5 75% 0% 31.82%
-8.5 75% 0% 31.82%
-6.5 78.57% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 85.71% 0% 36.36%
-2.5 89.29% 0% 37.88%
-0.5 89.29% 0% 37.88%
0.5 89.29% 0% 37.88%
2.5 89.29% 2.63% 39.39%
4.5 100% 5.26% 45.45%
6.5 100% 10.53% 48.48%
8.5 100% 13.16% 50%
10.5 100% 13.16% 50%
12.5 100% 21.05% 54.55%
14.5 100% 26.32% 57.58%
16.5 100% 28.95% 59.09%

Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)

143
Total Matches
55
Total Wins
88
Total Losses
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total % Matches Covered
-16.5 43.64% 0%
16.78%
24
-14.5 50.91% 0%
19.58%
28
-12.5 58.18% 0%
22.38%
32
-10.5 67.27% 0%
25.87%
37
-8.5 70.91% 0%
27.27%
39
-6.5 74.55% 1.14%
29.37%
42
-4.5 81.82% 1.14%
32.17%
46
-2.5 87.27% 2.27%
34.97%
50
-0.5 87.27% 3.41%
35.66%
51
0.5 87.27% 3.41%
35.66%
51
2.5 89.09% 5.68%
37.76%
54
4.5 96.36% 9.09%
42.66%
61
6.5 98.18% 13.64%
46.15%
66
8.5 100% 17.05%
48.95%
70
10.5 100% 19.32%
50.35%
72
12.5 100% 26.14%
54.55%
78
14.5 100% 32.95%
58.74%
84
16.5 100% 42.05%
64.34%
92

Summary

143
Total Matches
11
Leagues Analyzed
3
Patches Analyzed