Handicap analysis

Aurora Gaming Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 272 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5.

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Total Matches

272

Total Wins

130

Total Losses

142

Overall Handicap Summary

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %	Matches Covered
-16.5	46.15%	0%	22.06%	60
-14.5	55.38%	0%	26.47%	72
-12.5	61.54%	0%	29.41%	80
-10.5	70%	0%	33.46%	91
-8.5	76.92%	0.7%	37.13%	101
-6.5	82.31%	0.7%	39.71%	108
-4.5	87.69%	3.52%	43.75%	119
-2.5	92.31%	4.93%	46.69%	127
-0.5	93.08%	7.04%	48.16%	131
0.5	93.85%	8.45%	49.26%	134
2.5	93.85%	10.56%	50.37%	137
4.5	95.38%	14.79%	53.31%	145
6.5	97.69%	18.31%	56.25%	153
8.5	97.69%	24.65%	59.56%	162
10.5	97.69%	29.58%	62.13%	169
12.5	98.46%	38.73%	67.28%	183
14.5	99.23%	50%	73.53%	200
16.5	100%	57.75%	77.94%	212

Handicap Analysis by League

DreamLeague Season 26

38 matches • 21 wins • 17 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	38.1%	0%	21.05%
-14.5	38.1%	0%	21.05%
-12.5	57.14%	0%	31.58%
-10.5	61.9%	0%	34.21%
-8.5	66.67%	0%	36.84%
-6.5	71.43%	0%	39.47%
-4.5	76.19%	0%	42.11%
-2.5	80.95%	0%	44.74%
-0.5	80.95%	0%	44.74%
0.5	80.95%	5.88%	47.37%
2.5	80.95%	17.65%	52.63%
4.5	80.95%	23.53%	55.26%
6.5	85.71%	29.41%	60.53%
8.5	85.71%	35.29%	63.16%
10.5	85.71%	41.18%	65.79%
12.5	90.48%	52.94%	73.68%
14.5	95.24%	58.82%	78.95%
16.5	100%	70.59%	86.84%

Riyadh Masters 2024 at Esports World Cup

26 matches • 13 wins • 13 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	61.54%	0%	30.77%
-14.5	69.23%	0%	34.62%
-12.5	69.23%	0%	34.62%
-10.5	76.92%	0%	38.46%
-8.5	84.62%	0%	42.31%
-6.5	84.62%	0%	42.31%
-4.5	92.31%	0%	46.15%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	0%	50%
0.5	100%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	0%	50%
6.5	100%	7.69%	53.85%
8.5	100%	7.69%	53.85%
10.5	100%	15.38%	57.69%
12.5	100%	53.85%	76.92%
14.5	100%	69.23%	84.62%
16.5	100%	69.23%	84.62%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

21 matches • 11 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	45.45%	0%	23.81%
-14.5	54.55%	0%	28.57%
-12.5	63.64%	0%	33.33%
-10.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-8.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-6.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-4.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-2.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-0.5	90.91%	10%	52.38%
0.5	90.91%	10%	52.38%
2.5	90.91%	10%	52.38%
4.5	90.91%	10%	52.38%
6.5	100%	10%	57.14%
8.5	100%	40%	71.43%
10.5	100%	40%	71.43%
12.5	100%	40%	71.43%
14.5	100%	40%	71.43%
16.5	100%	40%	71.43%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

21 matches • 11 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	36.36%	0%	19.05%
-14.5	45.45%	0%	23.81%
-12.5	54.55%	0%	28.57%
-10.5	63.64%	0%	33.33%
-8.5	72.73%	0%	38.1%
-6.5	72.73%	0%	38.1%
-4.5	81.82%	0%	42.86%
-2.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-0.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
0.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
2.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
4.5	100%	10%	57.14%
6.5	100%	10%	57.14%
8.5	100%	20%	61.9%
10.5	100%	20%	61.9%
12.5	100%	40%	71.43%
14.5	100%	50%	76.19%
16.5	100%	60%	80.95%

BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024

17 matches • 7 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	42.86%	0%	17.65%
-14.5	42.86%	0%	17.65%
-12.5	42.86%	0%	17.65%
-10.5	57.14%	0%	23.53%
-8.5	57.14%	10%	29.41%
-6.5	71.43%	10%	35.29%
-4.5	85.71%	20%	47.06%
-2.5	85.71%	20%	47.06%
-0.5	85.71%	20%	47.06%
0.5	85.71%	20%	47.06%
2.5	85.71%	30%	52.94%
4.5	100%	40%	64.71%
6.5	100%	40%	64.71%
8.5	100%	40%	64.71%
10.5	100%	50%	70.59%
12.5	100%	50%	70.59%
14.5	100%	70%	82.35%
16.5	100%	70%	82.35%

DreamLeague Season 27

16 matches • 6 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	18.75%
-14.5	66.67%	0%	25%
-12.5	66.67%	0%	25%
-10.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-6.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-4.5	83.33%	10%	37.5%
-2.5	83.33%	10%	37.5%
-0.5	83.33%	20%	43.75%
0.5	100%	20%	50%
2.5	100%	20%	50%
4.5	100%	30%	56.25%
6.5	100%	30%	56.25%
8.5	100%	40%	62.5%
10.5	100%	40%	62.5%
12.5	100%	40%	62.5%
14.5	100%	70%	81.25%
16.5	100%	70%	81.25%

SLAM IV

16 matches • 7 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-14.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-12.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-10.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-8.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-6.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-4.5	85.71%	0%	37.5%
-2.5	100%	0%	43.75%
-0.5	100%	0%	43.75%
0.5	100%	0%	43.75%
2.5	100%	0%	43.75%
4.5	100%	11.11%	50%
6.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
8.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
10.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
12.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
14.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
16.5	100%	33.33%	62.5%

FISSURE Universe Episode 5

16 matches • 8 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	25%
-14.5	62.5%	0%	31.25%
-12.5	62.5%	0%	31.25%
-10.5	62.5%	0%	31.25%
-8.5	75%	0%	37.5%
-6.5	75%	0%	37.5%
-4.5	87.5%	0%	43.75%
-2.5	87.5%	12.5%	50%
-0.5	87.5%	12.5%	50%
0.5	87.5%	25%	56.25%
2.5	87.5%	25%	56.25%
4.5	87.5%	25%	56.25%
6.5	100%	25%	62.5%
8.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%
10.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%
12.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%
14.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%
16.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%

The International 2024

16 matches • 6 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	12.5%
-14.5	33.33%	0%	12.5%
-12.5	33.33%	0%	12.5%
-10.5	50%	0%	18.75%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-6.5	100%	0%	37.5%
-4.5	100%	0%	37.5%
-2.5	100%	0%	37.5%
-0.5	100%	10%	43.75%
0.5	100%	10%	43.75%
2.5	100%	10%	43.75%
4.5	100%	10%	43.75%
6.5	100%	10%	43.75%
8.5	100%	20%	50%
10.5	100%	50%	68.75%
12.5	100%	70%	81.25%
14.5	100%	90%	93.75%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2

14 matches • 7 wins • 7 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	42.86%	0%	21.43%
-14.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-12.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-10.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-8.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-6.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-4.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	0%	50%
0.5	100%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
6.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
8.5	100%	28.57%	64.29%
10.5	100%	28.57%	64.29%
12.5	100%	42.86%	71.43%
14.5	100%	42.86%	71.43%
16.5	100%	42.86%	71.43%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

14 matches • 7 wins • 7 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-14.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-12.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-10.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-8.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-6.5	100%	0%	50%
-4.5	100%	0%	50%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	0%	50%
0.5	100%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	0%	50%
6.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
8.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
10.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
12.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
14.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
16.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%

Esports World Cup 2025

12 matches • 8 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	25%	0%	16.67%
-14.5	50%	0%	33.33%
-12.5	50%	0%	33.33%
-10.5	50%	0%	33.33%
-8.5	75%	0%	50%
-6.5	100%	0%	66.67%
-4.5	100%	0%	66.67%
-2.5	100%	0%	66.67%
-0.5	100%	0%	66.67%
0.5	100%	0%	66.67%
2.5	100%	0%	66.67%
4.5	100%	0%	66.67%
6.5	100%	25%	75%
8.5	100%	25%	75%
10.5	100%	25%	75%
12.5	100%	25%	75%
14.5	100%	25%	75%
16.5	100%	50%	83.33%

FISSURE Universe Episode 4

12 matches • 5 wins • 7 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	40%	0%	16.67%
-14.5	60%	0%	25%
-12.5	60%	0%	25%
-10.5	60%	0%	25%
-8.5	80%	0%	33.33%
-6.5	80%	0%	33.33%
-4.5	80%	0%	33.33%
-2.5	80%	0%	33.33%
-0.5	100%	0%	41.67%
0.5	100%	0%	41.67%
2.5	100%	0%	41.67%
4.5	100%	0%	41.67%
6.5	100%	0%	41.67%
8.5	100%	0%	41.67%
10.5	100%	0%	41.67%
12.5	100%	14.29%	50%
14.5	100%	28.57%	58.33%
16.5	100%	42.86%	66.67%

FISSURE Universe Episode 6

11 matches • 5 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	60%	0%	27.27%
-14.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-12.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-10.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-8.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-6.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-4.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-2.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-0.5	100%	0%	45.45%
0.5	100%	0%	45.45%
2.5	100%	0%	45.45%
4.5	100%	0%	45.45%
6.5	100%	0%	45.45%
8.5	100%	0%	45.45%
10.5	100%	0%	45.45%
12.5	100%	0%	45.45%
14.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
16.5	100%	50%	72.73%

SLAM III

11 matches • 5 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	60%	0%	27.27%
-14.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-12.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-10.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-8.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-6.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-4.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
-2.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
-0.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
0.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
2.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
4.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
6.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
8.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
10.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
12.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
14.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
16.5	100%	50%	72.73%

FISSURE Universe: Episode 3

6 matches • 2 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-14.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-12.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-10.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-8.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-6.5	100%	0%	33.33%
-4.5	100%	0%	33.33%
-2.5	100%	25%	50%
-0.5	100%	25%	50%
0.5	100%	25%	50%
2.5	100%	25%	50%
4.5	100%	25%	50%
6.5	100%	25%	50%
8.5	100%	25%	50%
10.5	100%	50%	66.67%
12.5	100%	50%	66.67%
14.5	100%	50%	66.67%
16.5	100%	75%	83.33%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota

5 matches • 1 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	100%	0%	20%
-10.5	100%	0%	20%
-8.5	100%	0%	20%
-6.5	100%	0%	20%
-4.5	100%	0%	20%
-2.5	100%	0%	20%
-0.5	100%	0%	20%
0.5	100%	0%	20%
2.5	100%	0%	20%
4.5	100%	0%	20%
6.5	100%	0%	20%
8.5	100%	0%	20%
10.5	100%	0%	20%
12.5	100%	0%	20%
14.5	100%	50%	60%
16.5	100%	75%	80%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.39

123 matches • 59 wins • 64 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	47.46%	0%	22.76%
-14.5	59.32%	0%	28.46%
-12.5	61.02%	0%	29.27%
-10.5	67.8%	0%	32.52%
-8.5	74.58%	0%	35.77%
-6.5	79.66%	0%	38.21%
-4.5	86.44%	1.56%	42.28%
-2.5	91.53%	3.13%	45.53%
-0.5	91.53%	4.69%	46.34%
0.5	93.22%	7.81%	48.78%
2.5	93.22%	9.38%	49.59%
4.5	93.22%	14.06%	52.03%
6.5	96.61%	20.31%	56.91%
8.5	96.61%	26.56%	60.16%
10.5	96.61%	28.13%	60.98%
12.5	96.61%	31.25%	62.6%
14.5	98.31%	40.63%	68.29%
16.5	100%	46.88%	72.36%

Patch 7.38

79 matches • 42 wins • 37 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	42.86%	0%	22.78%
-14.5	52.38%	0%	27.85%
-12.5	66.67%	0%	35.44%
-10.5	76.19%	0%	40.51%
-8.5	80.95%	0%	43.04%
-6.5	83.33%	0%	44.3%
-4.5	85.71%	5.41%	48.1%
-2.5	90.48%	5.41%	50.63%
-0.5	92.86%	8.11%	53.16%
0.5	92.86%	8.11%	53.16%
2.5	92.86%	10.81%	54.43%
4.5	95.24%	16.22%	58.23%
6.5	97.62%	16.22%	59.49%
8.5	97.62%	27.03%	64.56%
10.5	97.62%	27.03%	64.56%
12.5	100%	37.84%	70.89%
14.5	100%	43.24%	73.42%
16.5	100%	54.05%	78.48%

Patch 7.37

44 matches • 16 wins • 28 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	37.5%	0%	13.64%
-14.5	37.5%	0%	13.64%
-12.5	43.75%	0%	15.91%
-10.5	56.25%	0%	20.45%
-8.5	68.75%	3.57%	27.27%
-6.5	87.5%	3.57%	34.09%
-4.5	93.75%	7.14%	38.64%
-2.5	93.75%	10.71%	40.91%
-0.5	93.75%	14.29%	43.18%
0.5	93.75%	14.29%	43.18%
2.5	93.75%	17.86%	45.45%
4.5	100%	21.43%	50%
6.5	100%	21.43%	50%
8.5	100%	25%	52.27%
10.5	100%	42.86%	63.64%
12.5	100%	50%	68.18%
14.5	100%	71.43%	81.82%
16.5	100%	82.14%	88.64%

Patch 7.36

26 matches • 13 wins • 13 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	61.54%	0%	30.77%
-14.5	69.23%	0%	34.62%
-12.5	69.23%	0%	34.62%
-10.5	76.92%	0%	38.46%
-8.5	84.62%	0%	42.31%
-6.5	84.62%	0%	42.31%
-4.5	92.31%	0%	46.15%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	0%	50%
0.5	100%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	0%	50%
6.5	100%	7.69%	53.85%
8.5	100%	7.69%	53.85%
10.5	100%	15.38%	57.69%
12.5	100%	53.85%	76.92%
14.5	100%	69.23%	84.62%
16.5	100%	69.23%	84.62%