Aurora Gaming - Handicap Analysis
Analyzing 215 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5
How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.
Handicap Analysis by League
Esports World Cup 2025
12 matches
(8 wins,
4 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 25% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -14.5 | 50% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -12.5 | 50% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -10.5 | 50% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -8.5 | 75% | 0% | 50% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 66.67% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 66.67% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 66.67% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 66.67% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 66.67% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 66.67% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 66.67% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 25% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 25% | 75% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 25% | 75% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 25% | 75% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 25% | 75% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 50% | 83.33% |
FISSURE Universe Episode 5
16 matches
(8 wins,
8 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| -14.5 | 62.5% | 0% | 31.25% |
| -12.5 | 62.5% | 0% | 31.25% |
| -10.5 | 62.5% | 0% | 31.25% |
| -8.5 | 75% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -6.5 | 75% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -4.5 | 87.5% | 0% | 43.75% |
| -2.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% | 50% |
| 0.5 | 87.5% | 25% | 56.25% |
| 2.5 | 87.5% | 25% | 56.25% |
| 4.5 | 87.5% | 25% | 56.25% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 25% | 62.5% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 68.75% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 68.75% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 68.75% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 68.75% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 37.5% | 68.75% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5
14 matches
(7 wins,
7 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 35.71% |
| -14.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 35.71% |
| -12.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 35.71% |
| -10.5 | 85.71% | 0% | 42.86% |
| -8.5 | 85.71% | 0% | 42.86% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 57.14% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 57.14% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 57.14% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 57.14% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 57.14% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 57.14% |
DreamLeague Season 26
38 matches
(21 wins,
17 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 38.1% | 0% | 21.05% |
| -14.5 | 38.1% | 0% | 21.05% |
| -12.5 | 57.14% | 0% | 31.58% |
| -10.5 | 61.9% | 0% | 34.21% |
| -8.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 36.84% |
| -6.5 | 71.43% | 0% | 39.47% |
| -4.5 | 76.19% | 0% | 42.11% |
| -2.5 | 80.95% | 0% | 44.74% |
| -0.5 | 80.95% | 0% | 44.74% |
| 0.5 | 80.95% | 5.88% | 47.37% |
| 2.5 | 80.95% | 17.65% | 52.63% |
| 4.5 | 80.95% | 23.53% | 55.26% |
| 6.5 | 85.71% | 29.41% | 60.53% |
| 8.5 | 85.71% | 35.29% | 63.16% |
| 10.5 | 85.71% | 41.18% | 65.79% |
| 12.5 | 90.48% | 52.94% | 73.68% |
| 14.5 | 95.24% | 58.82% | 78.95% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 70.59% | 86.84% |
SLAM III
11 matches
(5 wins,
6 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 60% | 0% | 27.27% |
| -14.5 | 80% | 0% | 36.36% |
| -12.5 | 100% | 0% | 45.45% |
| -10.5 | 100% | 0% | 45.45% |
| -8.5 | 100% | 0% | 45.45% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 45.45% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 50% | 72.73% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4
21 matches
(11 wins,
10 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 45.45% | 0% | 23.81% |
| -14.5 | 54.55% | 0% | 28.57% |
| -12.5 | 63.64% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -10.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| -8.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| -6.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| -4.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| -2.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| -0.5 | 90.91% | 10% | 52.38% |
| 0.5 | 90.91% | 10% | 52.38% |
| 2.5 | 90.91% | 10% | 52.38% |
| 4.5 | 90.91% | 10% | 52.38% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 10% | 57.14% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 40% | 71.43% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 40% | 71.43% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 40% | 71.43% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 40% | 71.43% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 40% | 71.43% |
FISSURE Universe Episode 4
12 matches
(5 wins,
7 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 40% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -14.5 | 60% | 0% | 25% |
| -12.5 | 60% | 0% | 25% |
| -10.5 | 60% | 0% | 25% |
| -8.5 | 80% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -6.5 | 80% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -4.5 | 80% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -2.5 | 80% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 41.67% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 41.67% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 41.67% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 41.67% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 0% | 41.67% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 0% | 41.67% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 0% | 41.67% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 14.29% | 50% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 28.57% | 58.33% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 42.86% | 66.67% |
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3
21 matches
(11 wins,
10 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 36.36% | 0% | 19.05% |
| -14.5 | 45.45% | 0% | 23.81% |
| -12.5 | 54.55% | 0% | 28.57% |
| -10.5 | 63.64% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -8.5 | 72.73% | 0% | 38.1% |
| -6.5 | 72.73% | 0% | 38.1% |
| -4.5 | 81.82% | 0% | 42.86% |
| -2.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| -0.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| 0.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| 2.5 | 90.91% | 0% | 47.62% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 10% | 57.14% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 10% | 57.14% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 20% | 61.9% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 20% | 61.9% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 40% | 71.43% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 50% | 76.19% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 60% | 80.95% |
FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota
5 matches
(1 wins,
4 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| -14.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| -12.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| -10.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| -8.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 0% | 20% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 50% | 60% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 75% | 80% |
BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024
17 matches
(7 wins,
10 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 42.86% | 0% | 17.65% |
| -14.5 | 42.86% | 0% | 17.65% |
| -12.5 | 42.86% | 0% | 17.65% |
| -10.5 | 57.14% | 0% | 23.53% |
| -8.5 | 57.14% | 10% | 29.41% |
| -6.5 | 71.43% | 10% | 35.29% |
| -4.5 | 85.71% | 20% | 47.06% |
| -2.5 | 85.71% | 20% | 47.06% |
| -0.5 | 85.71% | 20% | 47.06% |
| 0.5 | 85.71% | 20% | 47.06% |
| 2.5 | 85.71% | 30% | 52.94% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 40% | 64.71% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 40% | 64.71% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 40% | 64.71% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 50% | 70.59% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 50% | 70.59% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 70% | 82.35% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 70% | 82.35% |
The International 2024
16 matches
(6 wins,
10 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 12.5% |
| -14.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 12.5% |
| -12.5 | 33.33% | 0% | 12.5% |
| -10.5 | 50% | 0% | 18.75% |
| -8.5 | 83.33% | 0% | 31.25% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 37.5% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 10% | 43.75% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 10% | 43.75% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 10% | 43.75% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 10% | 43.75% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 10% | 43.75% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 20% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 50% | 68.75% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 70% | 81.25% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 90% | 93.75% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
FISSURE Universe: Episode 3
6 matches
(2 wins,
4 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 50% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -14.5 | 50% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -12.5 | 50% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -10.5 | 50% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -8.5 | 50% | 0% | 16.67% |
| -6.5 | 100% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -4.5 | 100% | 0% | 33.33% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 50% | 66.67% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 50% | 66.67% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 50% | 66.67% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 75% | 83.33% |
Riyadh Masters 2024 at Esports World Cup
26 matches
(13 wins,
13 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 61.54% | 0% | 30.77% |
| -14.5 | 69.23% | 0% | 34.62% |
| -12.5 | 69.23% | 0% | 34.62% |
| -10.5 | 76.92% | 0% | 38.46% |
| -8.5 | 84.62% | 0% | 42.31% |
| -6.5 | 84.62% | 0% | 42.31% |
| -4.5 | 92.31% | 0% | 46.15% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 7.69% | 53.85% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 7.69% | 53.85% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 15.38% | 57.69% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 53.85% | 76.92% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 69.23% | 84.62% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 69.23% | 84.62% |
Handicap Analysis by Patch
Patch 7.39
66 matches
(34 wins,
32 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 44.12% | 0% | 22.73% |
| -14.5 | 52.94% | 0% | 27.27% |
| -12.5 | 55.88% | 0% | 28.79% |
| -10.5 | 61.76% | 0% | 31.82% |
| -8.5 | 73.53% | 0% | 37.88% |
| -6.5 | 82.35% | 0% | 42.42% |
| -4.5 | 88.24% | 0% | 45.45% |
| -2.5 | 88.24% | 3.13% | 46.97% |
| -0.5 | 88.24% | 3.13% | 46.97% |
| 0.5 | 88.24% | 9.38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 88.24% | 12.5% | 51.52% |
| 4.5 | 88.24% | 12.5% | 51.52% |
| 6.5 | 94.12% | 21.88% | 59.09% |
| 8.5 | 94.12% | 28.13% | 62.12% |
| 10.5 | 94.12% | 31.25% | 63.64% |
| 12.5 | 94.12% | 34.38% | 65.15% |
| 14.5 | 97.06% | 37.5% | 68.18% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 43.75% | 72.73% |
Patch 7.38
79 matches
(42 wins,
37 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 42.86% | 0% | 22.78% |
| -14.5 | 52.38% | 0% | 27.85% |
| -12.5 | 66.67% | 0% | 35.44% |
| -10.5 | 76.19% | 0% | 40.51% |
| -8.5 | 80.95% | 0% | 43.04% |
| -6.5 | 83.33% | 0% | 44.3% |
| -4.5 | 85.71% | 5.41% | 48.1% |
| -2.5 | 90.48% | 5.41% | 50.63% |
| -0.5 | 92.86% | 8.11% | 53.16% |
| 0.5 | 92.86% | 8.11% | 53.16% |
| 2.5 | 92.86% | 10.81% | 54.43% |
| 4.5 | 95.24% | 16.22% | 58.23% |
| 6.5 | 97.62% | 16.22% | 59.49% |
| 8.5 | 97.62% | 27.03% | 64.56% |
| 10.5 | 97.62% | 27.03% | 64.56% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 37.84% | 70.89% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 43.24% | 73.42% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 54.05% | 78.48% |
Patch 7.37
44 matches
(16 wins,
28 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 37.5% | 0% | 13.64% |
| -14.5 | 37.5% | 0% | 13.64% |
| -12.5 | 43.75% | 0% | 15.91% |
| -10.5 | 56.25% | 0% | 20.45% |
| -8.5 | 68.75% | 3.57% | 27.27% |
| -6.5 | 87.5% | 3.57% | 34.09% |
| -4.5 | 93.75% | 7.14% | 38.64% |
| -2.5 | 93.75% | 10.71% | 40.91% |
| -0.5 | 93.75% | 14.29% | 43.18% |
| 0.5 | 93.75% | 14.29% | 43.18% |
| 2.5 | 93.75% | 17.86% | 45.45% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 21.43% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 21.43% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 25% | 52.27% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 42.86% | 63.64% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 50% | 68.18% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 71.43% | 81.82% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 82.14% | 88.64% |
Patch 7.36
26 matches
(13 wins,
13 losses)
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 61.54% | 0% | 30.77% |
| -14.5 | 69.23% | 0% | 34.62% |
| -12.5 | 69.23% | 0% | 34.62% |
| -10.5 | 76.92% | 0% | 38.46% |
| -8.5 | 84.62% | 0% | 42.31% |
| -6.5 | 84.62% | 0% | 42.31% |
| -4.5 | 92.31% | 0% | 46.15% |
| -2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 100% | 7.69% | 53.85% |
| 8.5 | 100% | 7.69% | 53.85% |
| 10.5 | 100% | 15.38% | 57.69% |
| 12.5 | 100% | 53.85% | 76.92% |
| 14.5 | 100% | 69.23% | 84.62% |
| 16.5 | 100% | 69.23% | 84.62% |
Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)
215
Total Matches
105
Total Wins
110
Total Losses
| Handicap | Wins % | Losses % | Total % | Matches Covered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5 | 44.76% | 0% |
21.86%
|
47 |
| -14.5 | 52.38% | 0% |
25.58%
|
55 |
| -12.5 | 60% | 0% |
29.3%
|
63 |
| -10.5 | 68.57% | 0% |
33.49%
|
72 |
| -8.5 | 77.14% | 0.91% |
38.14%
|
82 |
| -6.5 | 83.81% | 0.91% |
41.4%
|
89 |
| -4.5 | 88.57% | 3.64% |
45.12%
|
97 |
| -2.5 | 91.43% | 5.45% |
47.44%
|
102 |
| -0.5 | 92.38% | 7.27% |
48.84%
|
105 |
| 0.5 | 92.38% | 9.09% |
49.77%
|
107 |
| 2.5 | 92.38% | 11.82% |
51.16%
|
110 |
| 4.5 | 94.29% | 14.55% |
53.49%
|
115 |
| 6.5 | 97.14% | 18.18% |
56.74%
|
122 |
| 8.5 | 97.14% | 24.55% |
60%
|
129 |
| 10.5 | 97.14% | 30.91% |
63.26%
|
136 |
| 12.5 | 98.1% | 41.82% |
69.3%
|
149 |
| 14.5 | 99.05% | 51.82% |
74.88%
|
161 |
| 16.5 | 100% | 60% |
79.53%
|
171 |
Summary
215
Total Matches
13
Leagues Analyzed
4
Patches Analyzed