Aurora Gaming - Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 267 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Handicap Analysis by League

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2

14 matches (7 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.86% 0% 21.43%
-14.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-12.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-10.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-8.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-6.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-4.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
6.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
8.5 100% 28.57% 64.29%
10.5 100% 28.57% 64.29%
12.5 100% 42.86% 71.43%
14.5 100% 42.86% 71.43%
16.5 100% 42.86% 71.43%

SLAM IV

14 matches (7 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 57.14% 0% 28.57%
-14.5 57.14% 0% 28.57%
-12.5 57.14% 0% 28.57%
-10.5 57.14% 0% 28.57%
-8.5 57.14% 0% 28.57%
-6.5 57.14% 0% 28.57%
-4.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 0% 50%
6.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
8.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
10.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
12.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
14.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
16.5 100% 28.57% 64.29%

The International 2025

13 matches (7 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 57.14% 0% 30.77%
-14.5 57.14% 0% 30.77%
-12.5 57.14% 0% 30.77%
-10.5 85.71% 0% 46.15%
-8.5 85.71% 0% 46.15%
-6.5 85.71% 0% 46.15%
-4.5 100% 0% 53.85%
-2.5 100% 0% 53.85%
-0.5 100% 0% 53.85%
0.5 100% 0% 53.85%
2.5 100% 0% 53.85%
4.5 100% 0% 53.85%
6.5 100% 16.67% 61.54%
8.5 100% 33.33% 69.23%
10.5 100% 33.33% 69.23%
12.5 100% 33.33% 69.23%
14.5 100% 33.33% 69.23%
16.5 100% 33.33% 69.23%

FISSURE Universe Episode 6

11 matches (5 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 60% 0% 27.27%
-14.5 80% 0% 36.36%
-12.5 80% 0% 36.36%
-10.5 80% 0% 36.36%
-8.5 80% 0% 36.36%
-6.5 80% 0% 36.36%
-4.5 80% 0% 36.36%
-2.5 100% 0% 45.45%
-0.5 100% 0% 45.45%
0.5 100% 0% 45.45%
2.5 100% 0% 45.45%
4.5 100% 0% 45.45%
6.5 100% 0% 45.45%
8.5 100% 0% 45.45%
10.5 100% 0% 45.45%
12.5 100% 0% 45.45%
14.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
16.5 100% 50% 72.73%

Esports World Cup 2025

12 matches (8 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 25% 0% 16.67%
-14.5 50% 0% 33.33%
-12.5 50% 0% 33.33%
-10.5 50% 0% 33.33%
-8.5 75% 0% 50%
-6.5 100% 0% 66.67%
-4.5 100% 0% 66.67%
-2.5 100% 0% 66.67%
-0.5 100% 0% 66.67%
0.5 100% 0% 66.67%
2.5 100% 0% 66.67%
4.5 100% 0% 66.67%
6.5 100% 25% 75%
8.5 100% 25% 75%
10.5 100% 25% 75%
12.5 100% 25% 75%
14.5 100% 25% 75%
16.5 100% 50% 83.33%

FISSURE Universe Episode 5

16 matches (8 wins, 8 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 25%
-14.5 62.5% 0% 31.25%
-12.5 62.5% 0% 31.25%
-10.5 62.5% 0% 31.25%
-8.5 75% 0% 37.5%
-6.5 75% 0% 37.5%
-4.5 87.5% 0% 43.75%
-2.5 87.5% 12.5% 50%
-0.5 87.5% 12.5% 50%
0.5 87.5% 25% 56.25%
2.5 87.5% 25% 56.25%
4.5 87.5% 25% 56.25%
6.5 100% 25% 62.5%
8.5 100% 37.5% 68.75%
10.5 100% 37.5% 68.75%
12.5 100% 37.5% 68.75%
14.5 100% 37.5% 68.75%
16.5 100% 37.5% 68.75%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

14 matches (7 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-14.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-12.5 71.43% 0% 35.71%
-10.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-8.5 85.71% 0% 42.86%
-6.5 100% 0% 50%
-4.5 100% 0% 50%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 0% 50%
6.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
8.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
10.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
12.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
14.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%
16.5 100% 14.29% 57.14%

DreamLeague Season 26

38 matches (21 wins, 17 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 38.1% 0% 21.05%
-14.5 38.1% 0% 21.05%
-12.5 57.14% 0% 31.58%
-10.5 61.9% 0% 34.21%
-8.5 66.67% 0% 36.84%
-6.5 71.43% 0% 39.47%
-4.5 76.19% 0% 42.11%
-2.5 80.95% 0% 44.74%
-0.5 80.95% 0% 44.74%
0.5 80.95% 5.88% 47.37%
2.5 80.95% 17.65% 52.63%
4.5 80.95% 23.53% 55.26%
6.5 85.71% 29.41% 60.53%
8.5 85.71% 35.29% 63.16%
10.5 85.71% 41.18% 65.79%
12.5 90.48% 52.94% 73.68%
14.5 95.24% 58.82% 78.95%
16.5 100% 70.59% 86.84%

SLAM III

11 matches (5 wins, 6 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 60% 0% 27.27%
-14.5 80% 0% 36.36%
-12.5 100% 0% 45.45%
-10.5 100% 0% 45.45%
-8.5 100% 0% 45.45%
-6.5 100% 0% 45.45%
-4.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
-2.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
-0.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
0.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
2.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
4.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
6.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
8.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
10.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
12.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
14.5 100% 33.33% 63.64%
16.5 100% 50% 72.73%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

21 matches (11 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 45.45% 0% 23.81%
-14.5 54.55% 0% 28.57%
-12.5 63.64% 0% 33.33%
-10.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
-8.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
-6.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
-4.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
-2.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
-0.5 90.91% 10% 52.38%
0.5 90.91% 10% 52.38%
2.5 90.91% 10% 52.38%
4.5 90.91% 10% 52.38%
6.5 100% 10% 57.14%
8.5 100% 40% 71.43%
10.5 100% 40% 71.43%
12.5 100% 40% 71.43%
14.5 100% 40% 71.43%
16.5 100% 40% 71.43%

FISSURE Universe Episode 4

12 matches (5 wins, 7 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 40% 0% 16.67%
-14.5 60% 0% 25%
-12.5 60% 0% 25%
-10.5 60% 0% 25%
-8.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-6.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-2.5 80% 0% 33.33%
-0.5 100% 0% 41.67%
0.5 100% 0% 41.67%
2.5 100% 0% 41.67%
4.5 100% 0% 41.67%
6.5 100% 0% 41.67%
8.5 100% 0% 41.67%
10.5 100% 0% 41.67%
12.5 100% 14.29% 50%
14.5 100% 28.57% 58.33%
16.5 100% 42.86% 66.67%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

21 matches (11 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 36.36% 0% 19.05%
-14.5 45.45% 0% 23.81%
-12.5 54.55% 0% 28.57%
-10.5 63.64% 0% 33.33%
-8.5 72.73% 0% 38.1%
-6.5 72.73% 0% 38.1%
-4.5 81.82% 0% 42.86%
-2.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
-0.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
0.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
2.5 90.91% 0% 47.62%
4.5 100% 10% 57.14%
6.5 100% 10% 57.14%
8.5 100% 20% 61.9%
10.5 100% 20% 61.9%
12.5 100% 40% 71.43%
14.5 100% 50% 76.19%
16.5 100% 60% 80.95%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota

5 matches (1 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 0% 0% 0%
-14.5 0% 0% 0%
-12.5 100% 0% 20%
-10.5 100% 0% 20%
-8.5 100% 0% 20%
-6.5 100% 0% 20%
-4.5 100% 0% 20%
-2.5 100% 0% 20%
-0.5 100% 0% 20%
0.5 100% 0% 20%
2.5 100% 0% 20%
4.5 100% 0% 20%
6.5 100% 0% 20%
8.5 100% 0% 20%
10.5 100% 0% 20%
12.5 100% 0% 20%
14.5 100% 50% 60%
16.5 100% 75% 80%

BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024

17 matches (7 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.86% 0% 17.65%
-14.5 42.86% 0% 17.65%
-12.5 42.86% 0% 17.65%
-10.5 57.14% 0% 23.53%
-8.5 57.14% 10% 29.41%
-6.5 71.43% 10% 35.29%
-4.5 85.71% 20% 47.06%
-2.5 85.71% 20% 47.06%
-0.5 85.71% 20% 47.06%
0.5 85.71% 20% 47.06%
2.5 85.71% 30% 52.94%
4.5 100% 40% 64.71%
6.5 100% 40% 64.71%
8.5 100% 40% 64.71%
10.5 100% 50% 70.59%
12.5 100% 50% 70.59%
14.5 100% 70% 82.35%
16.5 100% 70% 82.35%

The International 2024

16 matches (6 wins, 10 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 33.33% 0% 12.5%
-14.5 33.33% 0% 12.5%
-12.5 33.33% 0% 12.5%
-10.5 50% 0% 18.75%
-8.5 83.33% 0% 31.25%
-6.5 100% 0% 37.5%
-4.5 100% 0% 37.5%
-2.5 100% 0% 37.5%
-0.5 100% 10% 43.75%
0.5 100% 10% 43.75%
2.5 100% 10% 43.75%
4.5 100% 10% 43.75%
6.5 100% 10% 43.75%
8.5 100% 20% 50%
10.5 100% 50% 68.75%
12.5 100% 70% 81.25%
14.5 100% 90% 93.75%
16.5 100% 100% 100%

FISSURE Universe: Episode 3

6 matches (2 wins, 4 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 50% 0% 16.67%
-14.5 50% 0% 16.67%
-12.5 50% 0% 16.67%
-10.5 50% 0% 16.67%
-8.5 50% 0% 16.67%
-6.5 100% 0% 33.33%
-4.5 100% 0% 33.33%
-2.5 100% 25% 50%
-0.5 100% 25% 50%
0.5 100% 25% 50%
2.5 100% 25% 50%
4.5 100% 25% 50%
6.5 100% 25% 50%
8.5 100% 25% 50%
10.5 100% 50% 66.67%
12.5 100% 50% 66.67%
14.5 100% 50% 66.67%
16.5 100% 75% 83.33%

Riyadh Masters 2024 at Esports World Cup

26 matches (13 wins, 13 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 61.54% 0% 30.77%
-14.5 69.23% 0% 34.62%
-12.5 69.23% 0% 34.62%
-10.5 76.92% 0% 38.46%
-8.5 84.62% 0% 42.31%
-6.5 84.62% 0% 42.31%
-4.5 92.31% 0% 46.15%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 0% 50%
6.5 100% 7.69% 53.85%
8.5 100% 7.69% 53.85%
10.5 100% 15.38% 57.69%
12.5 100% 53.85% 76.92%
14.5 100% 69.23% 84.62%
16.5 100% 69.23% 84.62%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.39

118 matches (60 wins, 58 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 48.33% 0% 24.58%
-14.5 58.33% 0% 29.66%
-12.5 60% 0% 30.51%
-10.5 68.33% 0% 34.75%
-8.5 75% 0% 38.14%
-6.5 80% 0% 40.68%
-4.5 88.33% 0% 44.92%
-2.5 93.33% 1.72% 48.31%
-0.5 93.33% 1.72% 48.31%
0.5 93.33% 5.17% 50%
2.5 93.33% 6.9% 50.85%
4.5 93.33% 8.62% 51.69%
6.5 96.67% 17.24% 57.63%
8.5 96.67% 24.14% 61.02%
10.5 96.67% 25.86% 61.86%
12.5 96.67% 29.31% 63.56%
14.5 98.33% 34.48% 66.95%
16.5 100% 41.38% 71.19%

Patch 7.38

79 matches (42 wins, 37 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 42.86% 0% 22.78%
-14.5 52.38% 0% 27.85%
-12.5 66.67% 0% 35.44%
-10.5 76.19% 0% 40.51%
-8.5 80.95% 0% 43.04%
-6.5 83.33% 0% 44.3%
-4.5 85.71% 5.41% 48.1%
-2.5 90.48% 5.41% 50.63%
-0.5 92.86% 8.11% 53.16%
0.5 92.86% 8.11% 53.16%
2.5 92.86% 10.81% 54.43%
4.5 95.24% 16.22% 58.23%
6.5 97.62% 16.22% 59.49%
8.5 97.62% 27.03% 64.56%
10.5 97.62% 27.03% 64.56%
12.5 100% 37.84% 70.89%
14.5 100% 43.24% 73.42%
16.5 100% 54.05% 78.48%

Patch 7.37

44 matches (16 wins, 28 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 37.5% 0% 13.64%
-14.5 37.5% 0% 13.64%
-12.5 43.75% 0% 15.91%
-10.5 56.25% 0% 20.45%
-8.5 68.75% 3.57% 27.27%
-6.5 87.5% 3.57% 34.09%
-4.5 93.75% 7.14% 38.64%
-2.5 93.75% 10.71% 40.91%
-0.5 93.75% 14.29% 43.18%
0.5 93.75% 14.29% 43.18%
2.5 93.75% 17.86% 45.45%
4.5 100% 21.43% 50%
6.5 100% 21.43% 50%
8.5 100% 25% 52.27%
10.5 100% 42.86% 63.64%
12.5 100% 50% 68.18%
14.5 100% 71.43% 81.82%
16.5 100% 82.14% 88.64%

Patch 7.36

26 matches (13 wins, 13 losses)
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total %
-16.5 61.54% 0% 30.77%
-14.5 69.23% 0% 34.62%
-12.5 69.23% 0% 34.62%
-10.5 76.92% 0% 38.46%
-8.5 84.62% 0% 42.31%
-6.5 84.62% 0% 42.31%
-4.5 92.31% 0% 46.15%
-2.5 100% 0% 50%
-0.5 100% 0% 50%
0.5 100% 0% 50%
2.5 100% 0% 50%
4.5 100% 0% 50%
6.5 100% 7.69% 53.85%
8.5 100% 7.69% 53.85%
10.5 100% 15.38% 57.69%
12.5 100% 53.85% 76.92%
14.5 100% 69.23% 84.62%
16.5 100% 69.23% 84.62%

Overall Handicap Summary (All Matches)

267
Total Matches
131
Total Wins
136
Total Losses
Handicap Wins % Losses % Total % Matches Covered
-16.5 46.56% 0%
22.85%
61
-14.5 54.96% 0%
26.97%
72
-12.5 61.07% 0%
29.96%
80
-10.5 70.23% 0%
34.46%
92
-8.5 77.1% 0.74%
38.2%
102
-6.5 82.44% 0.74%
40.82%
109
-4.5 88.55% 2.94%
44.94%
120
-2.5 93.13% 4.41%
47.94%
128
-0.5 93.89% 5.88%
49.06%
131
0.5 93.89% 7.35%
49.81%
133
2.5 93.89% 9.56%
50.94%
136
4.5 95.42% 12.5%
53.18%
142
6.5 97.71% 16.91%
56.55%
151
8.5 97.71% 23.53%
59.93%
160
10.5 97.71% 28.68%
62.55%
167
12.5 98.47% 38.24%
67.79%
181
14.5 99.24% 47.79%
73.03%
195
16.5 100% 55.88%
77.53%
207

Summary

267
Total Matches
17
Leagues Analyzed
4
Patches Analyzed